Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 19th Dec 2015

It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the C4 cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.

So to help you narrow down the fields Andy Newton returns with all the big-race trends, plus key jockey and trainer stats ahead of each race.

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Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/C4)

1.50 – BGC Partners Handicap Chase Cl3 2m1f CH4

7/7 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
6/7 – Aged 7 or older
6/7 – Officially Rated between 130-137
6/7 – Won at least twice over fences previously
6/7 – Won a chase race over 2m1f previously
5/7 – French bred
5/7 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/7 – Won their last race
2/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/7 – Trained by Venetia Williams
1/7 – Favourites

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Paul Nicholls has a 23% with his chasers at the track
Nigel Twiston-Davies is only 2 from 27 over fences here
Philip Hobbs is just 3 from 39 with his chasers here

2.25 – JLT Long Walk Hurdle Grade 1 Cl1 3m1f CH4

13/13 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
13/13 – Went onto compete in that season’s World Hurdle (4 won, 4 runners-up, 3 unplaced)
12/13 – French-bred horse
11/13 – Placed in the top three in their last race
11/13 – Favourites placed
10/13 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
10/13 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
10/13 – Won at least 5 times over hurdles previously
9/13 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
8/13 – Raced at Newbury last time out
7/13 – Favourites that won
6/13 – Won their last race
3/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 12 runnings is 9/2

Note:
2009 and 2010 runnings - Newbury
2005 running - Chepstow
2004  running –Windsor

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Paul Nicholls has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Alan King has a +£60 level stakes profit with his hurdlers at the track
Gordon Elliott is 2 from 3 with his hurdles runners at the track
Nick Williams has a 30% record with his hurdlers at the track
Willie Mullins has a 33% record with his hurdlers at the track
Sam Twiston-Davies is 1-from-36 riding over hurdles at the track

3.00 – Sodexo Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m CH4

10/10 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
8/10 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
7/10 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
7/10 – Won by a French bred horse
7/10 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
7/10 – Ran at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/10 – Raced at Ascot previously
6/10 – Favourites placed
5/10 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
4/10 – Aged 7 years-old
4/10 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
3/10 – Priced at double-figure price in the betting
3/10 – Favourite (1 joint)
2/10 – Trained by Henry Daly
The Young Master won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 10/1
Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Neil Mulholland has a 33% record with his chasers here
Nicky Henderson has a 28% record over fences here
Paul Nicholls has a 23% record over fences here
Philip Hobbs is just 3 from 39 with his chasers here
Barry Geraghty has a 30% record riding over fences here

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3.35 – The Ladbroke (A Handicap Hurdle) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m CH4

11/11 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
11/11 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
10/11 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
9/11 – Had raced within the last 2 months
8/11 – Unplaced favourites
7/11 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
7/11 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
7/11 – Carried 10-11 or more
6/11– Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
5/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/11 – Trained by the Pipe stable
1/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 15/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Harry Fry is 8 from 12 (67%) with his hurdlers at the track
Gordon Elliott is 2 from 3 with his hurdles runners at the track
Nick Williams has a 30% record with his hurdlers at the track
Jonjo O’Neill is just 1 from 23 with his hurdlers here
Wayne Hutchinson has a 31% record riding over hurdlers here


Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

2.05 – nationwidevehiclecontracts.co.uk Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m2f191y CH4

8/8 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
8/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Aged 7 or younger
6/8 – Had won 1-2 times over hurdles before
6/8 – Placed favourites
6/8 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
5/8 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
5/8 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/8 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
4/8 – Ran at either Newbury (2) or Haydock (2) last time out
4/8 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/8 – French bred
3/8 – Favourites
2/8 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 6/1

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Jonjo O’Neill is only 2 from 38 with his hurdlers at the track
Sue Smith is just 2 from 39 with his hurdlers at the track
Tom O’Brien has a 24% record riding over hurdles at the track

2.40 – Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m CH4

8/8 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
8/8 – Failed to win their last race
7/8 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
7/8 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
7/8 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
5/8 – Favourites placed
5/8 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
5/8 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
3/8 – Ridden by jockey Tom O’Brien
2/8 – French bred
2/8 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/8 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/8 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (both unplaced)
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 13/2

Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Tom George has a 20% record with his chasers at the track
Nigel Twiston-Davies is only 2 from 40 over fences here
Venetia Williams is just 4 from 48 over fences here
Note: All jockey and trainer stats correct as 18th Dec 15

 

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