Sat TV Trends: 19th May 2012

All Eyes On Frankel In The Lockinge

Frankel is back out in the Lockinge this Saturday, but are the trends in his favour?

 

NEWMARKET (C4/RUK)

2.15 – poptelecom.co.uk Fairway Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £18,714 CH4 Good 1m2f

9/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Finished third or better last time out
7/10 – Had run over 1m2f before
7/10 – Came from stall 2-4 (inc)
6/10 – Had run at Newmarket before (3 won there)
5/10 – Won over 1m2f before
5/10 – Ran at either Kempton or Newmarket last time out
4/10 – Won their previous race
3/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint) 3/10 – Had come here off the back of a just a maiden win
2/10 – Ran in the Dee Stakes at Chester last time out
1/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2
Sir Henry Cecil won this in 2008 – NOBLE MISSION
John Gosden won the race in 2007 – THOUGHT WORTHY
John Dunlop won the race in 2009 – FARHAAN
Eddie Ahern rode the winner in 2004 & 2009 – NOBLE MISSION
Henry Candy is 8 from 18 (44%) with his 3 year-olds here – RUGGED CROSS
Dane O’Neill has 21% record riding 3 year-olds here – RUGGED CROSS

 

2.45 – coralchampionsclub.co.uk Sprint Trophy (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) Winner £24,900 CH4 Good 6f

9/10 – Won over 6f before
7/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/10 – Carried 8-12 or more
6/10 – Favourites that finished unplaced
6/10 – Had run at Newmarket before
4/10 – Returned a double-figure price
4/10 – Won their previous race
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Richard Fahey won the race 12 months ago – KIMBALI
William Haggas has a +£21 level stakes profit with his 3 year-olds here - HEERAAT
Frankie Dettori has a 21% record riding 3 year-olds here - MINCE
Dane O’Neill has a 21% record riding 3 year-olds here – TIOMAN LEGEND
Andrea Atzeni has a 22% record riding 3 year-olds here – SAFARI SUNSEEKER
Adam Kirby is only 1 from 25 on 3 year-olds here - ACCESSION
Eddie Ahern is just 2 from 43 on 3 year-olds here – GABRIEL’S LAD

 

NEWBURY (C4/RUK)

Your first 30 days for just £1


2.00 –
JLT Aston Park Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) Winner £18,714 CH4 Good To Soft 1m5f61y

10/10 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Ran in a Group race last time out
7/10 – Won from stall 4 or lower
7/10 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/10 – Had run at Newbury before
7/10 – Favourites finished either 1st or 2nd
6/10 – Won by a 4 year-old
5/10 – Favourites finished second
3/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites
Luca Cumani won the race 12 months ago – IBICENCO
Kieren Fallon rode the winner in 2003, 2005 & 2011 – IBICENCO
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1
John Gosden has 33% record with his older horses here - NEHAAM
Kieren Fallon has a 22% record when riding older horses here - IBICENCO
Neil Callan is just 1 from 35 when riding 4+ year-olds here - MEGANISI
Jimmy Fortune is only 1 from 53 when riding 4+ year-olds here - DREAMSPEED


2.30 –
bluesq.com Handicap (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-100) Winner £9,338 CH4 Good To Soft 6f8y

5 previous runnings
5/5 – Aged 6 or younger
4/5 – Had won over 6f before
4/5 – Finished unplaced last time out
4/5 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
4/5 – Aged 4 years-old
4/5 – Carried 8-10 or more
3/5 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 15/2
William Knight has a 22% record with his older horses here – PALACE MOON
James Fanshawe has a 25% record with his older horses here – MAC’S POWER
Hughie Morrison has just a 5% record with his older horses here - SOHRAAB
Kieren Fallon has a 22% record when riding older horses here – MAC’S POWER
Fergus Sweeney is only 2 from 37 when riding older horses here – THE CONFESSOR
Neil Callan is just 1 from 35 when riding 4+ year-olds here – ESPRIT DE MIDAS


3.05 –
Blue Square London Gold Cup (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) Winner £15,563 CH4 Good To Soft 1m2f6y
8/10 – Carried 8-10 or more
8/10 – Came from single-figure stall
8/10 – Finished in the top three last time out
7/10 – Favourites that finished unplaced
6/10 – Had won over 1m2f before
5/10 – Won their previous race
4/10 – Returned a double-figure price
4/10 – Had run at Newbury before
2/10 – Winning favourites (1 co)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1
Roger Charlton won the race 12 months ago – TRADER JACK
Mark Johnston won the race in 2005 & 2007 – ICELANDER, HAJRAS
Sir Henry Cecil has a 25% record with his 3 year-olds here – THOMAS CHIPPENDALE
Mick Channon is only 4 from 86 with his 3 year-olds here - MCVICAR


3.40 -
JLT Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) Winner £99,243 CH4 Good To Soft 1m

10/10 – Aged 6 or younger
10/10 – Had won over a mile before
7/10 – Had not run at the track before winning
7/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Ran in a Group 1 last time out
7/10 – Aged 4 years-old
6/10 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Won their previous race
0/10 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 3/1
Richard Hannon has won the last 2 runnings – DUBAWI GOLD
Aidan O’Brien last won the race in 2003 – EXCELEBRATION & WINDSOR PALACE
Sir Henry Cecil won the race in 1980, 1981 & 1985 - FRANKEL
Richard Hughes rode the winner in 2010 & 2011 – DUBAWI GOLD
Kieren Fallon rode the winner in 2004 & 2006 – RANSOM NOTE
Richard Hannon is just 3 from 60 with his older horses here - DUBAWI GOLD
Kieren Fallon has a 22% record when riding older horses here – RANSOM NOTE

Note: All trainer and jockey stats correct before racing on Friday 18th May

 

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