Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 1st April 2017

Flat turf racing fans will be pleased this Saturday with the start of the new season - the Betway-sponsored Lincoln Handicap is the feature race at Doncaster on the traditional curtain-raiser for the new season, while there is also LIVE AW racing from Kempton Park. The ITV4 cameras on at both tracks to take in 7 races across the two venues, and as always we've got all the main races covered from a trends angle.

 


 

 

 

 

DONCASTER Horse Racing Trends

 

1.50 - Betway Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

13/13 – Aged 7 or younger
12/13 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
12/13 – Had won no more than 5 times before
11/13 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
11/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/13 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Raced at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
9/13 – Had won over 6f before
9/13 – Last ran 4 months or longer ago
8/13 – Rated 102+
8/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
7/13 – Had raced at Doncaster before
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Had won at Doncaster before
Mobsta won the race in 2016
6 of the last 9 winners came between stalls 9-16 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

Note: The 2007 running was staged at Newcastle
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Redcar

 

2.25 - Betway Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

13/15 – Carried 8-13 or more
12/15 – Aged 4 years-old
12/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/15 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
10/15 – Won over a mile before
8/15 – Won from a double-figure draw
2/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Won last time out
1/15 – Won a race at Doncaster before
1/15 – Winners from stalls 3-7 (inclusive)
Lord Of The Rock won the race in 2016
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2010 & 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 16/1
Just 1 winner older than 6 in the last 15 years
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 50% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 29% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden is just 1 from 27 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3.00 – Betway Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV4

Just 4 previous running
4/4 – Last ran 4+ months ago
4/4 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
3/4 – Rated 110+
3/4 – Had won 6+ times before
3/4 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
3/4 – Had won over at least 1m last time out
2/4 – Winning favourites
2/4 – Ran at Ascot last time out
1/4 – Won last time out
Belardo won the race in 2016
Tullius won the race in 2015
Trainer Roger Varian has a 31% record with his older horses here
Trainer John Gosden is just 1 from 27 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

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3.35 - Betway Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

14/14 – Aged 6 or younger
13/14 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
12/14 – Had won over at least 1m before
12/14 – Had won between 2-4 times before
10/14 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
10/14 – Unplaced favourites
9/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
9/14 – Having their first run of the flat season
9/14 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
8/14 – Had raced at Doncaster before
7/14 – Officially rated between 95-98
7/14 – Placed first or second last time out
7/14 – Aged 4 years-old
6/14 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
5/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/14 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
5/14 – Won last time out
4/14  - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Mark Tompkins
2/14 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/14 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 14/1
Secret Brief won the race in 2016
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at Newcastle


KEMPTON Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)


2.05 – Betfred Mobile Magnolia Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV4

11/11 – Aged 6 or younger
10/11 – Had won over 1m2f before
9/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Drawn in stalls 1-4 (inc)
7/11 – Unplaced last time out
7/11 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
6/11 – Winning favourites
5/11 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/11 – Had won at Kempton before
4/11 – Unplaced favourites
4/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – Trained by William Haggas
3/11 – Trained by John Gosden
Our Channel won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

2.40 -Betfred “Like Us On Facebook” Handicap Cl2 6f ITV4

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/5 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
5/5 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/5 – Carried between 8-10 and 9-5
4/5 – Horses from stall 6 placed
4/5 – Ran within the last 2 months
3/5 – Winners from stall 6
3/5 – Rated between 87-91
2/5 – Winning favourites
Spring Loaded won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 7/2

 

3.15 – Betfred “Home Of Goals Galore” Rosebery Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Cl2 1m3f ITV4

14/14 – Had won over at least 1m1f before
11/14 – Had won between 2-4 times before
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Rated between 89 and 99
10/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
8/14 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/14 – Aged 4 years-old
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
2/14 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/14 – Winning favourites
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

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