Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 1st June 2019

It’s Derby Day at Epsom Racecourse this weekend and like every Saturday we’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips on each contest.

Did you know that 15 of the last 17 Epsom Derby winners had finished 1st or 2nd in their last race, while 11 of the last 17 Derby winners came from a single-figure stall?

Supporting the big race, we’ve got four more LIVE races to take in that include the Epsom Dash, which is run over one of the quickest 5f courses in the world – blink and you’ll miss it!

 

Saturday 1st June 2019

Epsom Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.00 - Investec Private Banking Handicap Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f18y ITV

16/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Never run at Epsom before
14/16 – Had won over 1m before (5 over 1m2f)
11/16 – Winners from stall 6 or higher
11/16 – Placed last time out
11/16 – Carried 8-10 or more
10/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Favourites that were placed
8/16 – Horses placed from stall 1
5/16 – Won their previous race
3/16 – Winners from stall 1
3/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
3/16 – Won by trainer Sylvester Kirk
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1
Stall 2 has just two places (1 win) to its name in the last 16 runnings

 

2.35 - Princess Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Investec) (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m114y ITV

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16/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/16 – Had won at Listed or Group 3 class before
14/16 – Drawn in stall 4,5,6, 7 or 8
14/16 – Favourites placed
13/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/16 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
13/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Had won between 4-6 times before
11/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Aged 4 years-old
9/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Had raced at Epsom before
8/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Drawn in either stall 5 or 6
5/16 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/16 – Won by a Cheveley Park-owned horse
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Trained by Roger Charlton
Jockeys Silvestre de Sousa (2), James Doyle (3) and Frankie Dettori (3) have won 8 of the last 9 runnings
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 9 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

 

3.10 - Investec Diomed Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 1m 114y ITV

16/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
14/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
13/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/16 – Aged 5 or older
13/16 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
12/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/16 – Had raced at Epsom before
12/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/16 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

3.45 – Investec Corporate Banking "Dash" (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV

Epsom Dash Betting Trends and Stats

16/17 – Didn’t win last time out
15/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks (12 within the last 4 weeks)
13/17 – Came from stall 8 or higher
13/17 – Won by horses aged between 5 and 8 years-old (inc)
13/17– Unplaced favourites
12/17 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/17 – Had raced at Epsom previously (4 had won)
11/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/17 – Horses from stall 1 that hit the frame
1/17 – Winning favourites
Caspian Prince won the race in 2016 and 2017
Duke Of Firenze won the race in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 16 renewals is 15.5/1

 

4.30 – Investec Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m4f10y ITV

Epsom Derby Betting Trends and Stats

16/17 – Raced no more than 5 times before
16/17 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/17 – Had won a Group race before
12/17 – Favourites that were placed
11/17 – Won from a single-figure stall
11/17 – Won last time out
11/17 – Had run over at least 1m2f before
10/17 – Had raced no more than 3 times before
8/17 – Had won a Group One before
8/17 – Irish-trained winners
6/17 – Won by the favourite
5/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won 6 in all)
5/17 – Ran in the 2,000 Guineas that season (2 winners)
4/17 – Won the Dante Stakes (York) last time out
3/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won 5 in all)
3/17 – Winners from stall 12 or higher
1/17 – Won over 1m4f before
0/17 – Run at the course before
0/17 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 13/2
10 Dante winners went onto win the Derby (Golden Horn, 2015 being the most-recent)
Only 1 horse that was beaten in the Dante (Workforce) went onto win the Derby

Epsom Derby Trainer Stats

Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2010, 2004, 2003, 1986 & 1981
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2002, 2001, 2012, 2013, 2014 & 2017

 

 

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