Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 20th April 2019

It’s been a busy week for the ITV Racing cameras, but there us no let-up as the LIVE Saturday action continues from Musselburgh and Haydock.

We’ve a flat card at Musselburgh, with the competitive Scottish Sprint Cup the feature, among four LIVE races – did you know 11 of the last 15 Scottish Sprint Cup winners carried 9-1 or less in weight?

Then at Haydock we are jumping with three LIVE races on their Challenger Series Final day.

Plenty to look forward to and, as always, we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races.


Musselburgh Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


1.50 - Easter Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 7f ITV4

Two previous runnings
Lualiwa (Kevin Ryan) won the race in 2018
Twin Appeal (David Baron) won the race in 2017
Last two winners from stalls 3 & 4
Last two winners carried between 9-3 and 9-4
Last two winners priced between 11/2 and 6/1
Trainer Garry Moss has a 50% record (5 from 10) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Rebecca Bastiman has a 19% record (15 from 78) with her 4+ year-olds at the track
The average winning SP in the last 2 runnings is 6/1

2.25 - Royal Mile Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 1m ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
Trainers William Haggas, John Quinn, Richard Fahey and Mark Johnston are the past winners
All previous winners carried between 8-0 and 8-12
All previous winners rated between 81-86 (inc)
All previous winners came from stalls 2-6 (inclusive)
All previous winners were placed in the top 4 last time out
3 of the last 4 winners won this off a 5+month break
3 of the last 4 winners returned between 6/1 and 11/1
3 of the last 4 winners won last time out
No winning favourite yet
Trainer Mark Johnston has a 22% strike-rate (21 from 94) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey has a 21% strike-rate (17 from 81) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Iain Jardine is just 1 from 42 with his 3 year-olds at the track.
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 10/1


3.00 – Scottish Sprint Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+) 5f ITV4

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14/15 – Won over 5f before
12/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 5
12/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/15 -  Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/15 – Had won between 2-5 times before
9/15 – Came from a double-figure stall
8/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
6/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Bryan Smart
2/15 – Trained by Mick Appleby
Line Of Reason (11/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 16/1
Trainer Mick Appleby has a 29% (6 from 21) record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 4 from 62 with his older horses at the track

3.35 Queen’s Cup Stakes (A Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4 yo+) 1m6f ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
Trainers, Jim Goldie, Brian Ellison, John Patrick Shananhan & Archie Watson are the past winners
All 4 winners returned a double figure price (10/1 to 16/1)
All 4 winners DIDN’T win last time out
All 4 winners aged between 5-7 years-old
No winning favourites as yet
3 of the last 4 winners draw between 3-4 (inc)
3 of the last 4 winners carried 8-12 or less in weight
Trainer Archie Watson has a 60% (3 from 5) record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke has a 33% (3 from 9) record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 12.5/1

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


2.05 – Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 1m7f ITV4

Three previous runnings
Trainers Nigel Twiston-Davies, Tom George and Donald McCain have won the race before
All 3 previous winners carried 10-4 or less in weight
All 3 previous winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
All 3 winners ran 1 ½ months or less ago
All 3 winners rated between 115-119 (inc)
All 3 winners DIDN’T win last time out
2 of the 3 winners were ridden by conditional claiming jockeys
Trainer Donald McCain is just 6 from 58 (10%) with his hurdlers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 8/1

2.40 – Challenger Staying Chase Series Final Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m 1 1/2f ITV4

Three previous runnings
Trainers Lucy Wadham, Alan King and Tom George have won the race before
No winning favourite yet
All 3 winners aged between 8-10 years-old
All 3 winners carried between 11-0 and 11-10
All 3 winners ran within the last month
All 3 winners rated between 125-132
All 3 winners DIDN’T win last time out
Trainer Tom George is just 2 from 22 with his chasers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 12/1

3.15 – Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV4

Three previous runnings
Trainers Nick Williams, Jonjo O’Neill and Stuart Edmunds have won this race before
No winning favourite as yet
All 3 winners placed in the top 3 last time out
All 3 winners ran within the last 2 months
All 3 winners aged 6 or 7 years-old
All 3 winners returned between 8/1 and 16/1
2 of the 3 winners carried 10-9 or less
Trainer Emma Lavelle has a 33% record (5 from 15) with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ben Pauling has a 50% record (2 from 4) with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Henry Daly is 0 from 14 with his hurdlers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 12/1

 

 

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