Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 20th Jan 2018

It’s off to Haydock and Ascot this Saturday for the LIVE ITV action with the Clarence House Chase and Peter Marsh Chase the two big highlights – like all big race days we've got all the big races covered from a trends and stats angle…….use these to help whittle down the final runners and find the best winning profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 - OLBG.com Mares´ Hurdle (Registered As The Warfield Mares´ Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
7/8 – Officially Rated 133 or higher
7/8 – From the top 4 in the betting
7/8 – Later ran in that season’s David Nicholson Mares’ Only Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
7/8 – Won over at least 2m5f (hurdles) previously
6/8 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
6/8 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
6/8 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Newbury (2) in their last race
5/8 – Favourites placed
4/8 – Won their last race
4/8 – Winning Favourites
3/8 – French bred
3/8 – Raced at Ascot previously
3/8 – Aged 6 years-old
2/8 – Trained by Harry Fry
2/8 - Later finished second in the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
1/8 – Won the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival) – Vroum Vroum Mag (2016)
Trainer Harry Fry won 2 of the last 3 runnings

2.25 – Ascot Spring Garden Show Holloway´s Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV4

8/10 – Priced 11/2 or bigger in the betting
8/10 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
8/10 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/10 – Aged 7 or younger
7/10 – Officially rated 139 or higher
7/10 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
6/10 – Ran within in the last 4 weeks
6/10 – French bred
6/10 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/10 – Went onto race in that season’s Coral Cup (best finish 3rd)
5/10 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles in the UK previously
5/10 – Had raced at Ascot previously
4/10 – Won their last race
4/10 – Aged 6 years-old
3/10 – Trained by David Pipe
3/10 – Raced at Cheltenham in their last race
2/10 – Later raced in that season’s World Hurdle (best finish 3rd)
2/10 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/10 – Favourites (1 co)

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Haydock

3.00 – bet365.com Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV4

11/11 – Won between 1-3 times over fences in the UK previously
10/11 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
9/11 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Either French (3) or Irish (6) bred
8/11 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
8/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
8/11 – Officially Rated 130 or higher
7/11 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
7/11 – Aged 8 or younger
5/11 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
5/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
5/11 – Winning distance  - 6 lengths or further
5/11 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/11 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2) or Chepstow (2) last time out
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 3 runnings)
2/11 – Ridden by Andrew Thornton
2/11 – Trained by Richard Rowe
1/11 – Won their last race
1/11 – Winning Favourites

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Uttoxeter

Your first 30 days for just £1

3.35 – Royal Salute Whisky Clarence House Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m1f ITV

15/15 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
15/15 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
15/15 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
14/15 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
13/15 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
13/15 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
13/15 – Favourites placed
11/15 – Won by a French-bred horse
10/15 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (4 winners)
10/15 – Won their last race
10/15 – Raced at Sandown (6) or Wetherby (3) last time out
9/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
8/15 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
8/15 – Favourites that won
7/15 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
4/15 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, Sprinter Sacre 2013, 2014 Sire de Grugy, 2015 Dodging Bullets)
4/15 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
4/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
4/15 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
3/15 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 4 times in all)
2/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
Un De Sceaux (Willie Mullins) has won the last two runnings
Since 1989 there have only been 2 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (27 runnings) there have been 12 winners aged 8 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 10/3

Note:

2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005 & 2017 – Renewals at Cheltenham

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.30 – Altcar Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m4f RUK

7/7 – Finished in the top three last time out
6/7 – Favourites placed in the first three
6/7 – Aged 7 or younger
6/7 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
5/7 – Had won over 2m4f (fences) before
5/7 – Had raced 4 or more times over fences
5/7 – Had won just twice over fences before
4/7 – Won last time out
4/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Trained by Donald McCain
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 5/2

>2.05 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

11/11 – Aged 7 or younger
11/11 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
10/11 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Aged 5 years-old
6/11 – Had raced at Haydock previously
7/11 – Won their last race
5/11 – Winning Favourites
4/11 -  Ran at Haydock last time out
3/11 – French bred
2/11 – Went onto win the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle
2/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/11 – Trained by Donald McCain Jnr
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 11/4
Note: 2004 Renewal was staged at Wetherby

2.40 – Unibet Champion Hurdle Trial (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

12/12 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
12/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
10/12 – Finished in the top three in their last race
10/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/12 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle
10/12 -  From the top 3 in the betting
10/12 – Priced 9/4 or shorter
9/12 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
9/12 – Officially Rated 152 or higher
9/12 – Either French (3) or Irish (6) bred
8/12 – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time out
7/12 – Aged 7 or younger
7/12 – Winning Favourites
4/12 – Placed in the top 4 in that season’s Champion Hurdle (no winners)
3/12 – Won their last race
1/12 – Went onto win that season’s World Hurdle
The New One (Sam Twiston-Davies/Nigel Twiston-Davies) has won the last three runnings
The average SP in the last 7 runnings is 2/1

3.15 - Peter Marsh Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

14/14 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously
13/14 – Aged 8 or older
13/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
12/14 – Had run within the last 36 days
11/14 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
10/14 – Officially Rated 139 or higher
10/14 – Won at Haydock previously
9/14 – Favourites unplaced
9/14 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
9/14 – Won between 3-5 times over fences before
8/14 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/14 – Won before (fences) over at least 3m
8/14 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
7/14 – Irish bred
6/14 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
6/14 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
6/14 – Won over fences at Haydock before
5/14 – Raced in the Roland Meyrick (Wetherby) last time out
5/14 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
3/14 – Trained by Sue Smith
2/14 – Trained by the McCain stable
2/14 – Won their last race
2/14 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 10/1

Your first 30 days for just £1
0 replies

Leave a Reply

Want to join the discussion?
Feel free to contribute!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *