This Saturday (20th July 2024) we’ve another busy day of LIVE ITV Racing with the cameras heading to Market Rasen and Newbury to take in seven races across the two venues.
At Market Rasen over the sticks it’s their biggest day of the season with the Unibet Summer Plate Chase (3.15) and Unibet Summer Handicap Hurdle (2.40) the feature contests.
Then at Newbury, the Group Three Hackwood Stakes (3.00) tops the bill - a race 16 of the last 20 winners were aged 5 or younger.
While the Irish Oaks (3.45) at the Curragh is another big race on the day - a contest trainer Aidan O’Brien has another strong hand in as he looks for win number eight
Like all big race days, we’ve got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.
Newbury Horse Racing Trends
1.50 - Get Best Odds Guaranteed At BetVictor Steventon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV
15/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
14/19 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Placed favourites
13/19 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
11/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/19 – Had run at the track before
8/19 – Winning favourites
8/19 – Had won a Group race before
6/19 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/19 – Winners from stall 1
3/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Godolphin have won 5 of the last 14 runnings
Al Aasy won the race in 2023
2.25 – Mettal UK Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV
Just six previous runnings
4/6 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/6 - Carried 8-12 or more in weight
5/6 – Returned 17/2 or shorter
3/6 – Aged 6 years-old
2/6 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/6 – Trained by Ian Williams (2 of the last 4)
2/6 – Winning favourites
Sweet William (5/2 fav) won the race in 2023
3.00 - Fidelity Energy Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV
19/20 – Won over 6f before
16/20 – Aged 5 or younger
15/20 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Had won 4 or more times before
13/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/20 – Placed favourites
9/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Had won a Group race before
7/20 – Ran at Ascot last time out
7/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (4 of the last 9)
4/20 – Winners from stall 8
2/20 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
2/20 – Trained by William Haggas
2/20 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 9)
2/20 – Winners from stall 1
2/20 – Trained by Owen Burrows (2 of the last 4)
10 of the last 13 winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Commanche Falls (4/1 fav) won the race in 2023
3.35 - Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV
18/20 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
17/20 – Had won over 5f before
16/20 – Won 1-2 times before
13/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/20 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/20 – Won by a Feb or March foal
11/20 – Irish bred winners
10/20 – Won by a filly
9/20 – Won last time out
8/20 – Raced at Ascot last time out
7/20 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
6/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Winners from stall 1
Richard Hannon has trained the winner in 2014, 2018, 2020 & 2021
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013, 2015 and 2017
Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends
2.05 – Unibet Moneyback As Cash Races Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-150) 2m4 1/2f ITV
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 24% strike-rate with this hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 22% strike-rate with this hurdlers at the track
Trainer Adrian Paul Keatley has a 24% strike-rate with this hurdlers at the track
Trainer Brian Ellison is just 1 from 28 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 27% strike-rate riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Sean Bowen has a 25% strike-rate riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Charlie Todd has a 21% strike-rate riding over hurdles at the track
2.40 – Unibet Daily Industry Best Prices Summer Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV
19/22 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
16/22 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
16/22 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
15/22 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
12/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/22 – Had run at Market Rasen before
3/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/22 -Ridden by Harry Cobden (2 of the last 4)
14 of the last 17 winners carried 11-5 or less
11 of the last 18 winners carried 11-0 or less
4 of the last 12 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
10 of the last 18 winners retuned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
Too Friendly (11/2) won the race in 2023
3.15 – Unibet Summer Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m5 1/2f ITV
21/22 – Had run within the last 3 months
20/22 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
18/22 – Aged 7 or older
16/22 – Had won 2 or more chases before
15/22 – Had run at Market Rasen before
15/22 – Carried 10-13 or less
14/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/22 – Won their previous race
9/22 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
7/22 – Trained by Peter Bowen (8 wins in total)
4/22 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/22 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/22 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 13)
2/22 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/22 – Ridden by James Bowen (2 of the last 3 runnings)
Francky Du Berlais won the race in 2021 and 2022
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2
12 of the last 15 winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
Born Famous (3/1 fav) won the race in 2023
Curragh Horse Racing Trends
3.40 – Juddmonte Irish Oaks (Group 1) (3yo) 1m4f RTV
19/21 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
19/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
17/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/21 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Won last time out
15/21 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Won over 1m4f before
10/21 – Irish-trained winners
10/21 – Ran in the Epsom Oaks last time out
9/21 – Won by a UK-based trainer
9/21 – Winning favourites
8/21 – Winning distance, 3 lengths or more
7/21 – Had won a Group One before
7/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 8)
6/21 – Won the Epsom Oaks last time out
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of the last 3)
2/21 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 7)
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