Sat TV Trends: 20th June 2015

It's the final day of Royal Ascot today and the C4 cameras head there to cover ALL SIX races on the final afternoon of action. Like all Saturday's we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle.............

Find those TV winners!

2.30 - Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 7f

11/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/12 – Had no more than 2 previous career runs
11/12 – Ran over 6f last time out (7 won)
10/12 – Had just 1 previous career run
9/12 – Were foaled in March or earlier
8/12 – Won their previous race
8/12 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
3/12 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/12 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/12 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/12 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
1/12 – Irish trained-winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

3.05 - Wolferton Handicap (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+ 0-110) 1m2f

10/12 – Had between 1 and 3 runs already that season
9/12 – Aged 4 years-old
9/12 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
9/12 – Carried 8-11 or more
8/12 – Unplaced favourites
8/12 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/12 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
7/12 – Had run at Ascot before
7/12 – Returned a double-figure price
6/12 – Ran at either York (3) or Goodwood (3) last time out
2/12 – Trained at Kremlin House Stables (Roger Varian/M Jarvis)
1/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1

3.45 - Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m4f

12/12 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
12/12 – Had won a Group 2 or 3 previously
11/12 – Placed last time out
10/12 – Had won over 1m4f before
10/12 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
9/12 – Placed favourites
8/12 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2), Mark Johnston (2) or Sir Michael Stoute (4)
8/12 – Had run at Ascot before
7/12 – Aged 4 years-old (inc last 6 winners)
5/12 – Ran at Epsom last time out (Coronation Cup)
5/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Won their previous race
3/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1
Telescope won the race in 2014

4.25 - Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 6f

10/11 – Previous distance winners
9/11 – Had run at Ascot before
9/11 – Failed to win their last race
8/11 – Aged 5 or younger
7/11 – Won by a UK-based yard
8/11 – Previous Group Race winners
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
7/11 – Returned a double-figure price
4/11 – Ran in the King’s Stand Stakes earlier at the meeting
3/11 – Ridden by Johnny Murtagh
1/11 – Winning favourite (joint)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15.5/1

5.00 - Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-110) 6f

15/15 – Ran sixth or better last time out
15/15 – Had won before over 6 or 7f
15/15 – Had no more than 4 runs that season¬¬
14/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/15 – Had won a race over 6f before
10/15 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
8/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/15 – Had run at Ascot before (5 had won here)
6/15 – Ran at either Ascot, Goodwood or Newmarket last time
5/15 – Won their previous race
4/15 – Won by the favourite
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/1
The last five winners came from a double-figure stall
In the last 5 runnings all top 3 finishers have come from double-figure stalls
Horse from stall 15 has been placed in 3 of the last 5 runnings
Since 1980 there have been only 7 winning favourites
Since 1980 there have been 27 winners returning a double-figure price

5.35 - Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 2m5f159y

10/12 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/12 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years old
7/12 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
6/12 – Had run at Ascot before
3/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/12 – Won by a NH yard
3/13 – Irish-trained winners
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/12 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

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Trainers Quotes

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"Fantasy Gladiator: This old-timer continues to show a love for the game. Not much hiding place from the handicapper now but he's a past CD winner and has run well the last three times (not beaten far). Is on a handy mark and despite his advancing years seems very well and in what looks a poor race I expect him to be in the mix."
Mick Appleby

15/06/15 1st 5/2

"Lady Marl: Back to a more suitable trip at a track she runs well at which should give her every chance."
Gary Moore

15/06/15 1st 8/1

"Furrows: We are dropping him back in trip, he does seem to be a bridle horse. He has ran respectably so far but it would be nice to see him get his head in front and this looks like a good opportunity."
Oliver Sherwood

15/06/15 1st 13/8

"Fine Blend: Been money for the Henry Candy horse, but we come here hopeful too. Nice filly - works well at home and if running like that on the track will take some beating. But you never know how these young horses will act first time on the track so a small bit of caution based on that, but all that said I'm hoping for a big run."
William Muir

13/06/15 1st 11/4

"Royal Brave: Ran well last time - but we were unlucky to get stuck behind two pacesetters that were dropping back. That cost us time and ground. Ground, draw and trip ideal - should go well."
William Muir

13/06/15 1st 5/2

"Lamool: Ran well when third here the last time. That was over fences so the return to hurdles sees him running off a 4lb lower mark. Every chance and the horse seems in great order. I fear the Tom George horse (Roc D'Apsis) but really the horse is very well and we expect him to take this."
Tim Vaughan

12/06/15 1st 8/11

"Sellingallthetime: Our only runner in the race now with the other a non-runner. Been running well of late but another step forward needed off this mark. Jockey gets on well with the horse and conditions ideal. Upped in grade here too so really be delighted if he can hit the frame - anything else a plus."
Mick Appleby

12/06/15 1st 9/2

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