Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 20th Oct 2018

More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 20th October - and what a day in prospect! A top card at Ascot for Champions Day that sees four Group Ones, a Group Two and a super-competitive handicap. Bundles to look forward to and as always, we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these key trends to find the best profiles of past winners.

Good Luck!

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.25 - Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Cl1 2m ITV

14/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Won at Listed or better class previously
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or less
12/16 – Aged 5 or older
11/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter
11/16 – Favourites placed
11/16 – Raced at least 5 times that season
11/16 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat previously
11/16 – Won at least 5 times previously
8/16 – Raced at Longchamp (3), Ascot (2) or Doncaster (3) last time out
7/16 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
7/16 – Won their latest race
5/16 – Irish-trained winners
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/16 – Trained by Dermot Weld
Order Of St George (4/5 fav) won the race in 2016
Since 2011: 5 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 2-4 (inc)
Since 2011: Horses from stall 7 have been placed in 4 of the last 6
The average winning odds in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

2.00 - Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

15/16 – Won over 6f previously
15/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
15/16 – Won at least 3 times previously
14/16 –  Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Raced at least 4 times that season
13/16 – Won at Listed or better class previously
12/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/16 – Raced at Ascot previously (3 won)
12/16 – Finished in the top 4 in their latest race
11/16 – Won a Group race previously
10/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Raced at Haydock (5), Goodwood (2) or Newbury (3) last time out
4/16 – Won their latest race
4/16 – Favourites that won
Librisa Breeze (10/1) won the race in 2017
The Tin Man (13/2) won the race in 2016
Since 2011: 4 of the last 7 winners have come from stalls 12 (2) or 14 (2)
Since 2011: 4 of the last 7 winners came from double-figure stalls
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 12 placed 5 of the last 7 runnings
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 14 placed 4 of the last 7 runnings

The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 13/2

Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

2.40 - Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

10/10 – Raced 3 or more times that season
9/10 – Won at Listed or better class previously
8/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
8/10 – Won over 1m4f previously
8/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
8/10 – Won at least 3 times previously
8/10 – Raced within the last 9 weeks
7/10 – Returned between 4/1 and 6/1
7/10 – Rated 110 or higher
6/10 – Favourites placed
6/10 – Aged 3 years-old
5/10 – Won their last race
3/10 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/10 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/10 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1
Hydrangea (4/1) won the race 12 months ago
Note: The 2009 & 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket

 

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3.15 - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

16/16 – Raced at least 3 times that season
15/16 – Raced at Goodwood, Longchamp or Leopardstown last time out
15/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
15/16 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
14/16 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
14/16 – Finished in the top three in their last race
13/16 – Favourites placed
12/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/16 – Raced at Ascot previously (6 won)
8/16 – Won their latest race
8/16 – Won at least 7 times previously
7/16 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
7/16 – Favourites that won
4/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/16 – Trained by Freddie Head
2/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Persuasive (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1
Since 2011: Horses from stall 2 and 7 have won 4 of the last 7 runnings

Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

3.50 - Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f ITV

16/16 – Won at least 4 times previously
15/16 – Won between 4 and 8 times previously
15/16 – Aged 5 or younger
15/16 – Finished in the top 3 in their latest race
14/16 – Won over 1m2f previously
14/16 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
12/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/16 – Raced 5 or more times that season
10/16 – Won their last race
7/16 – Raced at either Longchamp (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
6/16 – Favourites unplaced
6/16 – Returned a double-figure price
4/16 – Won by a French-based trainer
4/16 – Favourites
3/16 – Ridden by Tom Queally
Cracksman (13/8 fav) won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Aidan O'Brien has never won this race
Since 2011: Horses from stall 5 have won 2 of the last 5 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 11/2

 

4.30 - Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) Cl2 1m ITV

Just 4 previous runnings
4/4 - Winners drawn 10 or lower
3/4 - previous winners were aged 5 years-old
3/4 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-3 in weight
3/4 - Winners ran at Newmarket last time out
1/4 - Winning favourite
Trainers David O’Meara, Roger Charlton, Saeed Bin Suroor and Marcus Tregoning have won the race in the past
Horses from stalls 12 or 13 have been placed in the last 3 runnings

 

 

Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

 

 

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