Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 21st April 2018

As we head deeper into April, this Saturday we’ve another big day of horse racing with the ITV cameras heading to both Newbury and Ayr for a mixture of both flat and jumping action. The Grand National bandwagon rolls into Scotland as Ayr racecourse hosts the Scottish Grand National, while they’ve also three supporting races that include the Scottish Champion Hurdle.

Did you know ALL of the last 15 Scottish National winners ran within the last 57 days, while 13 of the last 15 were aged 8 or older?

That’s not all - the cameras are also at Newbury as the new flat turf season ramps up another notch with their Greenham Meeting – we’ve four races for flat fans from the Berkshire track.

So, as always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/ITV)

2.00 – Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Registered As The John Porter Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

15/15 – Aged 6 or younger
15/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
15/15 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Had won between 2-5 times before
14/15 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
12/15 – Having their first run of the season
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/15 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Had raced at Newbury before
9/15 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
8/15 – Drawn 6 or higher
6/15 – Had won a Group race before
5/15 – Raced at Newbury last time out
4/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

 

 

2.35 –Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Registered As The Fred Darling Stakes) (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

14/15 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
13/15 – Having their first run of the season
13/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/15 – Had won between 1-2 times before
12/15 – Came from the top three in the betting
11/15 – Drawn 5 or higher
8/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
8/15 – Had won over 7f before
7/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Had won at Newbury before
5/15 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
4/15 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/15 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/15 – Trained by the Hannon stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

 

 

3.10– Al Basti Equiworld Supporting Greatwood Greenham Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f ITV

14/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Had won at either 6f or 7f before
13/15 – Having their first run of the season
12/15 – Won at Listed class or better before
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Won between 2-4 times before
11/15 – Finished in the top two last time out
10/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
8/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Had won over 7f before
7/15 – Had won a Group race before
7/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Had won a race at Newbury before
6/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/15 – Irish-trained
2/15 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

 

 

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3.45 – Elite Racing Club Supporting Spring Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

15/15 – Aged 6 or younger
15/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/15 – Won no more than 4 times before
13/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Rated between 85-98
12/15 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
12/15 – Won over at least 1m before
12/15 – Won between 2-4 times before
10/15 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/15 – Unplaced last time out
8/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
7/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/15 – Had run at Newbury before
3/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/15 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
1/15 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1

Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

 

 

AYR HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/ITV)

1.45 – Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV

14/15 – Aged 9 or younger
14/15 – Had won over at least 2m (chase) before
13/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Had won between 2-4 times (chase) before
13/15 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Rated between 127-139
11/15 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
10/15 – Finished in the top four last time out
10/15 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – French bred
9/15 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
7/15 – Had run at Ayr before
4/15 – Ran at Aintree last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Vaniteux won the race 12 months ago
Duke of Navan won this in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

 

 

2.20 – Dawn Homes Novices’ Championship Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV

10/10 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/10 – Last race 6 weeks or less ago
10/10 – Won no more than 3 times over fences (under rules)
9/10 – Favourites placed in the top 5
8/10 -Aged 7 years-old
7/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/10 – Had won over 3m (fences) in the past
5/10 – Irish-trained winners
4/10 – French bred winners
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites
No real weight trend with winners in the last 10 years ranging from 10-0 to 11-11
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

 

2.55 – QTS Scottish Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl2 2m ITV

15/15 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
13/15 – Had won between 2-4 times over hurdles before
13/15 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Carried 10-13 or less
12/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
12/15 – Aged 7 or younger
11/15 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Rated 137 or higher
9/15 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
9/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/15 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Ran at Aintree last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/15 – Irish-trained winners
Chesterfield won the race 12 months ago
Ch’Tibello won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1

 

 

3.30 – Jordan Electrics Ltd Future Champion Novices´ Chase Grade 2 Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

15/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Aged 8 or younger
14/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
14/15 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
8/15 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/15 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
6/15 – Raced at Aintree last time out
5/15 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
5/15 – Had raced at Ayr before
4/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Richards
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

 

4.05 – Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 4m110y ITV

15/15 – Last ran 57 days or less ago
13/15 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
13/15 – Aged 8 or older
12/15 – Fallen or unseated no more than once during their careers
11/15 – Carried 10-9 or less
11/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/15 – Finished in the first three last time out
10/15 – Aged between 8-10 years-old
10/15 – Came from the first 7 in the betting market
10/15 – Had won over 3m1f or further
9/15 – Last raced between 30-57 days ago
5/15 – Had won over 3m7f or further before
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Returned 15/2 in the betting
2/15 – Ran in the Grimthorpe Chase (Doncaster) last time out
2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (last 2 winners)
1/15 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 6 winners were won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 20/1

 

 

 

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