Sat TV Trends: 21st Feb 2015

As we head into another big weekend of racing the LIVE C4 action comes from Kempton, Lingfield and Newcastle with the BetBright Chase and Eider Chase the two feature contests.

 

Kempton (RUK/C4)

2.00 - BetBright Cheltenham Festival Fund Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m CH4

11/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/11 -  From the top 3 in the betting
10/11 –Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/11 – Favourites placed
9/11 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
9/11 – Won no more than once over hurdles in the UK
8/11 – Won over 2m (hurdles) previously
8/11 – Went onto run in the Triumph Hurdle (3 winners)
7/11– Won carrying either a 4lb or 7lb penalty
6/11 – Won their last race
6/11 – Favourites
5/11 – French bred
3/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – Went onto win that season’s Triumph Hurdle
3/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Trained by Alan King
2/11 – Ridden by Robert Thornton
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewlas is 11/4
Zarkandar, Soldatino and Penzance went onto land that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

TRAINER/JOCKEY STATS:
Nicky Henderson has a 26% record with his hurdlers here
Jim Best is 4 from 8 with his hurdlers here
Venetia Williams is just 1 from 29 over hurdles here

 

2.35 - BetBright Best For Festival Betting Pendil Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f110y CH4

9/10 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
9/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/10 – French (6) of Irish (3) bred
8/10 – Priced 5/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/10 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
7/10 – Won between 1-2 times over fences previously
7/10 – Won their last race
7/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/10 – Favourites
1/10 – Had run at the track previously
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

TRAINER/JOCKEY STATS:
Chris Gordon has a 33% record with his chasers here
Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers here
Alan King is just 7% with his chasers here
Leighton Aspell has a 5% record riding over fences here
Tom Cannon has a 22% record riding over fences here


3.10 – Sky Bet Dovecote Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m CH4

8/9 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
8/9 – Never raced over hurdles at Kempton previously
8/9 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) previously
7/9 – Favourites placed
7/9 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
6/9 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles previously
6/9 – From the top 3 in the betting
5/9 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/9 – Won their last race
3/9 – French bred
3/9 – Trained by Alan King
3/9 – Ridden by Robert Thornton
3/9 – Favourites
2/9 - Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/9 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/9 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 6/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

TRAINER/JOCKEY STATS:
Nicky Henderson has a 26% record with his hurdlers at the track
Gary Moore is just 4 from 65 with his hurdlers here
Richard Johnson has a 22% record riding over hurdles here
Josh Moore is just 1 from 23 over hurdles here


3.45 - BetBright Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m CH4

11/12 – Rated 140 or higher
11/12 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/12 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
9/12 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
9/12 – Won a class 2 chase or better previously
9/12 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) previously
8/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
9/12 – Aged 9 or younger
8/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/12 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
8/12 – Rated between 140 and 150
7/12 – Had won at least 4 times over fences previously
7/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Carried 11-5 or more in weight
5/12 – Aged 8 years-old
5/12 – French bred
3/12 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
3/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/12 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/12 – Ridden by Richard Johnson (won it 5 times in all)
2/12 – Ridden by AP McCoy
2/12 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/12 – Trained by Tom George
2/12 – Trained by Philip Hobbs (won it 4 times in all)
2/12 – Ran in the King George VI Chase last time out
1/12 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner)
The average winning SP in the last 11 renewals is 10.6/1
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown Park
Bally Legend won the race 12 months ago

TRAINER/JOCKEY STATS:
Nicky Henderson has a 33% record with his chasers here
Harry Fry has a 67% record with his chasers here
Alan King is just 7% with his chasers here
Sam Waley-Cohen is 3 from 5 riding over fences here
Will Kennedy has a 33% record riding over fences here


Newcastle (ATR/C4)


2.20 – Betfred "Still Treble Odds On Lucky 15´s" Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m CH4

7/7 – Ran within the last 3 weeks
6/7 – Unplaced in their last race
6/7 – Rated 120 or higher
6/7 – Won at least twice over hurdles previously
5/7 – Aged 7 or older
5/7 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle previously
5/7 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
4/7 – Favourites placed
4/7 – Irish bred
3/7 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/7 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
2/7 - Favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 6 renewals is 7/1

TRAINER/JOCKEY STATS:
John Quinn has a 50% record with his hurdlers here
David Pipe has a 50% record with his hurdlers here
Brian Hughes is just 4 from 66 riding over hurdles here


2.55 - Betfred Eider (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 4m1f CH4

11/11 – Won over at least 3m previously
10/11 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
9/11 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Aged 10 or younger
9/11 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/11 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
8/11 – Winners came from the top 3 in the betting
8/11 – Irish-bred
7/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Officially rated between 131-139
6/11 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
4/11 – Won their last race
4/11 – Won over 3m4f or further previously
3/11 – Carried 11-12 in weight
2/11 – Favourites
2/11 – Irish-trained winners
Wyck Hill won this in 2014
Portrait King won this in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 11 renewlas is 9.6/1

TRAINER/JOCKEY STATS:
Stuart Coltherd has a 22% record with his chasers here
James Reveley has a 24% record riding over fences here
Brian Hughes has a 23% record riding over fences here


Lingfield (ATR/C4)

1.45 – Unibet Cleves Stakes (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Listed Race) Cl1 6f1y CH4

7/8 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
7/8 – Ran 6 weeks or longer ago
7/8 – Rated 96+
6/8 – Favourites placed
6/8 – Ran at Lingfield previously
6/8 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/8 – Raced at Lingfield last time out
4/8 – USA bred
3/8 – Favourites
3/8 – Mare winners
3/8 – Trained by David Barron
0/8 – Winners from stall 1
The average SP in the last 8 renewals is 7/1

TRAINER/JOCKEY STATS:
Ryan Moore has a 23% record riding 4+ year-old horses here
Tom Eaves is just 4 from 53 riding 4+year-old horses here

 

3.25 - coral.co.uk Winter Derby Trial Stakes (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f CH4

9/9 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/9 – Won over 1m2f previously
9/9 – Had won at least 4 times before
9/9 – Aged 6 or younger
7/9 – Favourites placed
7/9 – Winners from stall 6 or lower
6/9 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/9 – Ran in the last 10 weeks
6/9 – Ran at Lingfield previously
6/9 – Winning favourites (last 6 years)
5/9 – Won at Listed or better class before
3/9 – Trained by Marco Botti
2/9 – Won their last race
0/9 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 9/4

TRAINER/JOCKEY STATS:
William Haggas has a 42% record with his older horses here
Charlie Appleby has a 31% record with his older horses here
John Gosden has a 27% record with his older horses here
Ryan Moore has a 23% record riding 4+ year-old horses here

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"Walk Like A Giant: Second last time out at Chelmsford - a 7 race maiden, but seems to be going the right way - needs to settle a bit better, but seems to be by the race and off the same mark as last time and under these conditions gives him a great chance of going one better. Alan Bailey's Pearl Ransom is the danger in my book."
Mick Appleby

16/02/15 1st 3/1

"Jean Fleming - She's very consistent and never out of the top 3. Having had a year off she needed her last run and should give a good account of herself again today."
Jamie Snowden

15/02/15 2nd 7/1

"Monbeg Dude: Been in great form all season - All conditions should suit and great to have the champ on board - has solid place claims in my book."
Michael Scudamore

14/02/15 3rd 13/2

"Malaysan Boleh - Been in solid form this Winter and probably did not stay 8f at Chelmsford last time. This is a lesser event and he has gone close in this type of race before though he is wrong at the weights. Small field will suit and no surprise to see him staying on late."
Simon Dow

13/02/15 1st 3/1

"Flashman - Trappy little race and will be better for the extra distance this time. Very strong claims."
Gary Moore

12/02/15 1st 10/3

"Bleu Et Noir: First run - been doing well at home and we take off 7lbs to help with Alan's claim - will learn a lot from today, but just hoping for a nice introduction."
Tim Vaughan

12/02/15 2nd 16/1

"De Blacksmith - A competitive race but hopefully the drop back in trip will help.  Should be thereabouts."
Gary Moore

12/02/15 2nd 10/1

"Kilgeel Hill: Slightly disappointing last time, even though he was beaten by a nice horse. In great form at home hopeful of a good run."
Oliver Sherwood

12/02/15 1st 5/4

 



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