Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 21st July 2018

This Saturday the LIVE ITV TV races come from Newmarket, Market Rasen & Newbury.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with the key trends and stats – use these to find the best profiles of past winners of each race.

Saturday 21st July 2018

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.45 – Smarkets Betting Exchange Aphrodite Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV3

13/14 – Won over at least 1m2f or further before
12/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/14 – Won between 1-2 times before
6/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/14 - Winning favourite
5/14 – Ran at Haydock last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden
2/14 – Trained by Luca Cumani (2 of last 3 years)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – bet365 Stakes (Registered as The Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV3

9/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/13 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
8/13 – Had run at the track before
8/13 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/13 – Had won a Group race before
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

2.25 – JLT Cup Cl2 (3yo+) 2m ½f ITV3

No previous runnings
Trainer Hughie Morrison is just 3 from 37 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 17% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track

3.00 – bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f8y ITV3

13/14 – Won over 6f before
11/14 – Aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had won 4 or more times before
10/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/14 – Placed favourites
6/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/14 – Had won a Group race before
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winners from stall 8
2/14 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
2/14 – Trained by William Haggas
2/14 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 3)
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
8 of the last 11 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

 

3.35 - Weatherbys Super Sprint (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 5f34y ITV3

13/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Had won over 5f before
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/14 – Won 1-2 times before
9/14 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/14 – Won by a Feb or March foal
7/14 – Irish bred winners
6/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Won by a filly
4/14 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/14 – Winners from stall 1
4/14 – Winning favourites
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013, 2015 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1

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Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – 188Bet Summer Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV3

14/16 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
14/16 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
13/16 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/16 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/16 – Had run at Market Rasen before
2/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/16 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 11 winners carried 11-5 or less
8 of the last 12 winners carried 11-0 or less
7 of the last 12 winners retuned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

3.15 – 188Bet Summer Plate (Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m6f110y ITV3

16/16 – Had run within the last 3 months
14/16 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
14/16 – Aged 7 or older
12/16 – Had won 2 or more chases before
11/16 – Carried 10-13 or less
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/16 – Had run at Market Rasen before
9/16 – Won their previous race
6/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
4/16 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/16 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 7)
2/16 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
8 of the last 10 winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1
Alcala won the race in 2017

 

 

 

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