Sat TV Trends: 21st March 2015

Kelso and Newbury provide the LIVE C4 action this Saturday – as normal we’ve got all the key trends for the big races.

Newbury (C4/RUK)

2.00 - Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Chase Cl2 2m4f CH4

One previous running
Venetia Williams’ Petite Rose won the race last year
Paul Nicholls has a 23% record with his chasers at the course
Colin Tizzard is just 3 from 36 with his chasers at the course
Jonjo O’Neill is just 3 from 36 with his chasers at the course
Philip Hobbs has a £52 (21%) level stakes profit with his chasers at the course

2.35 - EBF Stallions & TBA Mares´ "National Hunt" Novices´ Hurdle Finale Limited Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f CH4

10/10 – Won by a horse aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/10 – Won between 1-2 times previously (hurdles)
8/10 –  Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Won over 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
7/10 – Priced 15/2 or sorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged 6 years-old
6/10 – Won their last race
5/10 – Favourites Unplaced
4/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/10 – Raced at Huntingdon last time out
3/10 – Favourites
2/10 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 9/1
Note: 2013 running was staged at Kempton

3.10 - Ultima Business Solutions Silver Jubilee Handicap Chase Cl3 3m2f110y CH4

4 previous runnings
3/4 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
3/4 – Aged 9 years-old
1/4 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 4 renewals is 9/1
Paul Nicholls has a 23% record with his chasers at the course
Colin Tizzard is just 3 from 42 with his chasers at the course
Mark Bradstock is 3 from 9 with his chasers at the course
Philip Hobbs has a £52 (21%) level stakes profit with his chasers at the course
Look for anything Alan King runs - Ultima Business Solutions sponsor their yard

3.45 - Doom Bar Juvenile Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m3f CH4

9/9 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
8/9 – Won no more than once over hurdles previously
7/9 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles (UK)
6/9 – Favourites placed
5/9 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
3/9 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
3/9 – Raced at the track (hurdles) before
2/9 – Ridden by Leighton Aspell
2/9 – Won their last race
1/9 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 8/1

Kelso (C4/RUK)

2.15 - Liz Adam Memorial Handicap Chase Cl2 3m2f CH4

One previous running
Donald McCain has a 25% record with his chasers at the course
Mark Walford has a 50% record with his chasers at the course
Nicky Richards at a 24% record with his chasers at the course

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2.50 – Thakeham Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m3f CH4

One previous running
Lucinda Russell won the race 12 months ago
Donald McCain has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
James Moffatt is just 2 from 46 with his hurdlers at the track
Alistair Whillans is just 4 from 57 with his hurdlers at the track
Donald Whillans is just 1 from 37 with his hurdlers at the track

3.25 - John Smith´s Novices´ Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y CH4

No previous runnings
Donald McCain has a 25% record with his chasers at the course
Jonjo O’Neill is 1-from-1 with his chasers at the course
Nicky Richards at a 24% record with his chasers at the course
Jockey James Reveley has a 28% record riding over fences at the course
Craig Nichols has a 25% record riding over fences at the course

 

 

 

 

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