Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends – 21st November 2015

The C4 cameras head to both Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the Betfair Chase at Haydock the weekend's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered from a trends angle.

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ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)

2.05 - Stella Artois 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y CH4

11/12 – Aged 8 or younger
10/12 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
9/12 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/12 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
8/12 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
8/12 – Placed favourites
8/12 – Won by a French-bred horse
8/12 – Won over this trip (fences) or further before
7/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
7/12 – Ran at Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (5) last time out
6/12 – Favourites (2 joint)
6/12 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
5/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Aged 5 years-old
2/12 – Won by the Alan King yard
2/12 – Won by the Nicky Henderson yard
1/12 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run, RyanAir Chase 2009)
Al Ferof won the last two runnings of this race
Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

 2.40 - Coral Hurdle (Registered As The Ascot Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y CH4

13/13 – Returned 7/2 or less
12/13 – Won by and Irish (9) or French (3) bred horse
11/13 – Placed favourites
11/13 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
11/13 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
10/13 – Won last time out
9/13 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
9/13 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
9/13 – Ran last 3 month or longer ago
8/13 – Favourites (2 joint)
7/13 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
5/13 – Raced in that season’s World Hurdle after winning this (1 won)
4/13 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (all finished 4th or better, Faugheen won both in 2014-15)
3/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/13 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot before
3/13 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable

Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

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3.15 - Shawbrook Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y CH4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
9/9 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/9 – Won over fences over this trip (or further)before
6/9 – Carried 11-0 or more
6/9 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
6/9 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/9 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
5/9 – Rated 142 or higher
5/9 – Ran at Ascot before
4/9 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
4/9 – Favourites placed
3/9 – Favourites
3/9 – Aged 6 years-old
3/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

1.50 - Betfair Price Rush Hurdle Cl2 2m CH4

1 previous runnings
Paul Nicholls has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Nicky Henderson has a 20% record with his hurdlers at the track

2.25 - Betfair "Tap Tap Boom" "Fixed Brush" Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m6f177y CH4

10 previous runnings
10/10 – Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
9/10 – Won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK) before
8/10 – Carried 10-10 or more
8/10 – Rated between 132 and 143
7/10 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (no winners)
6/10 – From the top 3 in the betting
6/10 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – French bred
6/10 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
6/10 – Favourites placed
5/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Ran at Haydock previously
3/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/10 – Trained by David Pipe
2/10 – Trained by Nick Williams

3.00 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f CH4

10 Previous runnings
9/10 – Won by and Irish (3) or French (6) bred horse
8/10 - Won over at least 3m (fences) before
8/10 - Ran within the last 4 weeks
8/10 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
7/10 - Placed in the top three in their last race
7/10 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
7/10 - Won a Grade One chase before
6/10 - Ran at Haydock before
6/10 – Placed favourites
4/10 – Favourites
4/10 – Won by a previous winner of the race
4/10 - Ran at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
3/10 - Ran at Aintree last time out
3/10 – Won last time out
The average winning price in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
Ruby Walsh has ridden the winner in 2006, 2009, 2011, 2012

3.35 - Cash Out In Running With Betfair Handicap Chase Cl2 3m24y CH4

8 previous runs
8/8 – French (3) or Irish (5) bred
8/8 – Aged 9 or younger
6/8 – Carried 11-1 or more
6/8 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Won over at least 3m (chase)
6/8 – Won 2-3 times over fences
5/8 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
5/8 – From the top 3 in the betting
4/8 – Carried 11-11 or more in weight
4/8 –Winning distance – head or shorter
2/8 – Won their last race
2/8 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/8 – Favourites

 

 

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