Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 21st Oct 2017

More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 21st October - and what a day in prospect! A top card at Ascot for Champions Day that sees four Group Ones, a Group Two and a super-competitive handicap. Bundles to look forward to and as always, we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these key trends to find the best profiles of past winners.

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.25 - Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Cl1 2m ITV

13/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Won at Listed or better class previously
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or less
11/15 – Aged 5 or older
10/15 – Returned 9/2 or shorter
10/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Raced at least 5 times that season
10/15 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat previously
10/15 – Won at least 5 times previously
8/15 – Raced at Longchamp (3), Ascot (2) or Doncaster (3) last time out
6/15 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
7/15 – Won their latest race
4/15 – Irish-trained winners
Sheikhzayedroad (11/1) won the race in 2016
Since 2011: 5 of the last 6 winners came from stalls 2-4 (inc)
Since 2011: Horses from stall 7 have been placed in 3 of the last 5
The average winning odds in the last 11 runnings is 11/2
Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Newmarket

 

2.00 - Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

15/15 – Won over 6f previously
14/15 –  Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Raced at least 4 times that season
14/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
14/15 – Won at least 3 times previously
13/15 – Won at Listed or better class previously
12/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/15 – Raced at Ascot previously (3 won)
11/15 – Won a Group race previously
11/15 – Finished in the top 4 in their latest race
10/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Raced at Haydock (5), Goodwood (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/15 – Won their latest race
4/15 – Favourites that won
The Tin Man (13/2) won the race in 2016
Since 2011: 4 of the last 6 winners have come from stalls 12 (2) or 14 (2)
Since 2011: 4 of the last 6 winners came from double-figure stalls
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 12 placed 4 of the last 6 runnings
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 14 placed 4 of the last 6 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 13/2
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

2.40 - Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

9/9 – Raced 3 or more times that season
8/9 – Won over 1m4f previously
8/9 – Won at Listed or better class previously
7/9 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
7/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
7/9 – Won at least 3 times previously
7/9 – Raced within the last 9 weeks
6/9 – Rated 110 or higher
5/9 – Favourites placed
5/9 – Aged 3 years-old
5/9 – Won their last race
2/9 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/9 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/9 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1
Journey (4/1) won the race 12 months ago
Note: The 2009 & 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket

 

3.15 - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

15/15 – Raced at Goodwood, Longchamp or Leopardstown last time out
15/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
15/15 – Raced at least 3 times that season
15/15 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
14/15 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
13/15 – Finished in the top three in their last race
12/15 – Favourites placed
11/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/15 – Raced at Ascot previously (5 won)
8/15 – Won their latest race
8/15 – Won at least 7 times previously
7/15 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
7/15 – Favourites that won
4/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Minding (7/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4
Since 2011: Horses from stall 2 and 7 have won 4 of the last 6 runnings
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

3.50 - Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f ITV

15/15 – Won at least 4 times previously
14/15 – Won between 4 and 8 times previously
14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
14/15 – Finished in the top 3 in their latest race
13/15 – Won over 1m2f previously
13/15 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
11/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/15 – Raced 5 or more times that season
9/15 – Won their last race
7/15 – Raced at either Longchamp (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
6/15 – Favourites unplaced
6/15 – Returned a double-figure price
4/15 – Won by a French-based trainer
3/15 – Ridden by Tom Queally
3/15 – Favourites
Almanzor (11/8 fav) won the race 12 months ago
Since 2011: Horses from stall 5 have won 2 of the last 4 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 7/1

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4.30 - Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) Cl2 1m ITV

Just 3 previous runnings
All 3 previous winners aged 5 years-old
All 3 previous winners draw 10 or lower
All 3 previous winners ran at Newmarket last time out
No winning favourite
Horses from stalls 12 or 13 have been placed in the last 3 runnings

 

 

 

Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

 

 

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