Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 22nd July 2017

As always Andy Newton’s got all the trends for Saturday’s LIVE ITV TV races  - this weekend the action comes from Newmarket, Market Rasen & Newbury - with the Wetherbys Super Sprint and the Market Rasen Summer Plate and Hurdle the features.

 

 

Saturday 22nd July 2017

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.40 - BetBright Aphrodite Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV3

12/13 – Won over at least 1m2f or further before
11/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
8/13 – Won between 1-2 times before
6/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/13 - Winning favourite
4/13 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by John Gosden
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Bathwick Tyres Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-110) 7f ITV3

Only 2 previous runnings
Both winners aged 4+ years-old
No winning favourite
Both winners returned between 11/2 and 9/1 in the betting
Both winners carried 9-0 or more in the betting
Trainer Mark Johnston is only 1 from 29 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Marco Botti is only 1 from 36 with his 3 year-olds at the track

2.25 – bet365 Stakes (Registered as The Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV3

9/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/13 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
8/13 – Had run at the track before
8/13 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/13 – Had won a Group race before
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1
Scottish won the race 12 months ago

3.00 – bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f8y ITV3

12/13 – Won over 6f before
10/13 – Aged 5 or younger
10/13 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Had won 4 or more times before
9/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Placed favourites
6/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/13 – Had won a Group race before
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Winners from stall 8
2/13 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
1/13 – Winners from stall 1
The Tin Man won the race 12 months ago
7 of the last 10 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

3.35 - Weatherbys Super Sprint (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 5f34y ITV3

12/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/13 – Had won over 5f before
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/13 – Won 1-2 times before
8/13 – Favourites placed in the top 4
7/13 – Won by a Feb or March foal
6/13 – Irish bred horses
6/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Won by a filly
4/13 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/13 – Winners from stall 1
4/13 – Winning favourites
Mrs Danvers won the race 12 months ago
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013 and 2015
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1

Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

 

2.10 - Betfred TV Summer Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV3

14/15 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
14/15 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
12/15 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
11/15 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
9/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/15 – Had run at Market Rasen before
3/15 – Ridden by Denis O’Regan
2/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Winning favourites
The last 11 winners carried 11-5 or less
8 of the last 11 winners carried 11-0 or less
6 of the last 11 winners retuned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
Red Tornado won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

3.20 - Betfred Summer Plate (Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m6f110y ITV3

15/15 – Had run within the last 3 months
13/15 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
13/15 – Aged 7 or older
11/15 – Had won 2 or more chases before
11/15 – Carried 10-13 or less
9/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/15 – Had run at Market Rasen before
8/15 – Won their previous race
6/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
4/15 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/15 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 7)
Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
Long House Hall won the race in 2017

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