Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 22nd Sept 2018

It’s Ayr Gold Cup day at the Scottish venue this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are also heading to Newbury for their Dubai Duty Free Day – We’ve 8 LIVE races in total.

As always, we've  got all the TV trends for you. Use these to find the best profiles of past winners and whittle down the runners.


Saturday 22nd September 2018

AYR Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.00 - William Hill Supports The Fight Against Parkinson's Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
10/11 – Had won over 1m before
10/11 – Won between 2-6 times before
9/11 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Winners from stalls 9 or lower
9/11 – Placed 4th or worse in their last race
9/11 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
8/11 – Aged 4 or older
8/11 – Returned between 7/1-14/1 in the betting
7/11 – Had run at the track before
7/11 – Rated between 89-93
7/11 – Unplaced favourites
6/11 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/11 – Trained by Michael Dods
2/11 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

2.40 – William Hill Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

15/15 – Carried 8-11 or more
13/15 – Aged 5 or younger
13/15 – Previous winners over 6f
13/15 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/15 – Had raced at Ayr before (5 won)
12/15 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/15 – Carried 9-0 or more
10/15 - Had either 2 or 3 career wins to their name
10/15 – Finished 5th or better last time out
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
7/15 – The first 4 home all returned a double-figure price
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/15 – Winning Favourites
3/15 – Drawn in stalls 8 to 20 (inc) i.e horses drawn either high or low have done best
0/15 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/1

 

3.15 – William Hill Firth Of Clyde Stakes (Group 3) (for The Ayrshire Agricultural Challenge Cup) Cl1 6f ITV4

13/15 – Previous winners over 6f
13/15 – Finished 4th or better last time out
13/15 – Had never raced at Ayr before
13/15 – Had won once or two times before
12/15 – Winning distance 1 length or further
11/15 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
11/15 – Had 3 or more runs that season
10/15 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/15 – Trained by Bryan Smart
2/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1

 

3.50 – William Hill Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

16/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
14/16 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
13/16 – Had won over 6f before
12/16 – Failed to win their last race
11/16 – Carried 9-1 or more
10/16 – Had 7 or more runs that season
10/16 – Unplaced favourites
10/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/16 – Rated 90-100
9/16 – Came from a double-figure stall
9/16 – Had raced at Ayr before
8/16 – Ran at either Doncaster (3), Goodwood (2) or Haydock (3) last time out
8/16 – Winning distance 1 length or less
4/16 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
1/16– Winning favourites (2 winning favs since 1980)
0/16 – Filly or mare winners
Since 1980 just five winners aged 6 or older
The last 10 winners came from stalls 8 or lower (4 of the last 13 winners came from stall 8)
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronsiea in 1930/31
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 15/1

Note: The 2017 renewal was staged at Haydock

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NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

1.45 – Dubai Duty Free Handicap Cl2 1m2f6y ITV4

14/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/16 – Won from stall 7 or higher
12/16 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
12/16 – Won at least twice previously
11/16 – Won over 1m2f previously
11/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/16 – Raced 5 or more times that season
10/16 – Officially rated between 89 and 94
9/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
9/16 – Won by a 4 year-old
9/16 – Won from a double-figure draw
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price
6/16 – Had raced at Newbury before (2 won)
4/16 – Trained by Luca Cumani
4/16 – Won their last race
4/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint, 1 Co)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

2.20 –Dubai Duty Free Legacy Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m3f5y ITV4

16/16 – Won over 1m2f (or further) previously
15/16 – Priced 9/1 or less
13/16 – Aged 5 or younger
12/16 – Had 4 or more career wins
12/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/16 – Had won at Listed or better class previously
10/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Raced at Newbury before
8/16 – Raced 5 or more times that season
7/16 – Had won a Group race before
6/16 – Won their last race
4/16 – Favourites that won
3/16 – Trained by David Simcock (including last 3 runnings)
3/16 – Raced at York last time
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

2.55 – Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f8y ITV4

13/16 – Won from draw 5 or lower
13/16 – Raced 3 or more times
13/16 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
12/16 – Won over 6f previously
12/16 – Favourites placed
11/16 – Foaled in March or later
10/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/16 – Favourites (or joint) to win
7/16 – Won exactly two races before
6/16 – Won by an April foal
5/16 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
4/16 – Won their previous race
4/16 – Ran in the Gimcrack last time out (York)
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/16 – Trained by Karl Burke
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/16 – Filly winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

3.30 - Dubai International Airport World Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 5f34y ITV4

16/16 – Raced four or more times that season
14/16 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
14/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/16 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
13/16 – Won a Listed or Group race before
12/16 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
12/16 – Won over 5f previously
11/16 - Aged 5 or younger
11/16 – Won 4 or more times
8/16 – Previous Group race winners
6/16 – Ran at the Curragh last time out (inc 3 of last 6 winners)
6/16 – Won their last race
5/16 – Favourites
4/16 – Mare winners
Take Cover won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

 

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