Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 23rd Jan 2016

The C4 cameras head to Haydock and Ascot this Saturday for their LIVE coverage to help you find some winners we’ve got all the TV races covered from a trends angle…….

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Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/C4)

1.50 - OLBG.com Mares´ Hurdle (Registered As The Warfield Mares´ Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m CH4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
6/7 – Officially Rated 133 or higher
6/7 – Won twice or more over hurdles in the UK before
6/7 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
6/7 – Later ran in that season’s David Nicholson Mares’ Only Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
6/7 – Raced at either Haydock (3) or Newbury (2) in their last race
6/7 – Won over at least 2m5f (hurdles) previously
5/7 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
4/7 – Placed Favourites
3/7 – Raced at Ascot before
3/7 – Aged 6 years-old
3/7 – Won last time out
3/7 – Favourites
2/7 – Trained by Harry Fry
2/7 – French bred
2/7 - Later finished second in the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
Trainer Harry Fry won for the last 2 seasons
The average winning SP in the last 6 renewals is 5/1

2.25 – "40 Years of Keltbray" Holloway´s Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m3f58y CH4

9 previous runnings
8/9 – Returned 11/2 or bigger in the betting
7/9 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
7/9 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
7/9 – Aged 7 or younger
6/9 – Raced within in the last 4 weeks
6/9 – Officially rated 139 or higher
6/9 – French bred
6/9 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/9 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
5/9 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles in the UK previously
5/9 – Went onto race in that season’s Coral Cup (best finish 3rd)
5/9 – Had run at Ascot before
3/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – Aged 6 years-old
3/9 – Trained by David Pipe
3/9 – Ran at Cheltenham in their last race
2/9 – Later raced in that season’s World Hurdle (best finish 3rd)
2/9 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
1/9 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 11/1
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Haydock

3.00 - Sodexo Clarence House Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m1f CH4

13/13 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
13/13 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
13/13 – Won at least 3 times (fences) before
12/13 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
11/13 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
11/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
11/13 – Placed Favourites
9/13 – Won by a French-bred horse
9/13 – Ran at Sandown (6) or Wetherby (3) last time out
9/13 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (4 winners)
9/13 – Won last time out
8/13 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
8/13 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
6/13 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/13 – Favourites
4/13 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
3/13 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 4 times in all)
2/13 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/13 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/13 – Won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
3/13 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, 2014 Sire de Grugy, 2015 Dodging Bullets)
Since 1989 there have only been 2 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (25 runnings) there have been 11 winners aged 8 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 4/1
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005 – Renewal at Cheltenham

3.35 – bet365.com Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y CH4

10/10 – Won between 1-3 times over fences in the UK previously
10/10 – RaN within the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
9/10 – RaCED within the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Either French (3) or Irish (5) bred
8/10 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
7/10 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
7/10 – Aged 8 or younger
7/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
7/10 – Officially Rated 130 or higher
5/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
5/10 – From the top 3 in the betting
5/10 – Winning distance  - 6 lengths or further
4/10 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Chepstow (2) last time out
4/10 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (last 2 runnings)
2/10 – Ridden by Andrew Thornton
2/10 – Trained by Richard Rowe
1/10 – Won their last race
1/10 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 9/1
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Uttoxeter
 
Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

2.05 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m

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9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged 7 or younger
9/9 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
8/9 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Aged 5 years-old
5/9 – Ran at Haydock before
5/9 – Won last time out
4/9 – Favourites
3/9 -  Raced at Haydock last time out
3/9 – French bred
2/9 – Went onto win the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle
2/9 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/9 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/9 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/9 – Trained by Donald McCain Jnr
2/9 – Ridden by Jason Maguire
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 5/2
2004 Renewal was staged at Wetherby

2.40 – stanjames.com Champion Hurdle Trial (Grade 2) Cl1 2m CH4

10/10 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
10/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
8/10 – Placed in the top three in their last race
8/10 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
8/10 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle
8/10 -  From the top 3 in the betting
8/10 – Priced 9/4 or shorter
7/10 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
7/10 – Officially Rated 152 or higher
7/10 – Aged 7 or younger
7/10 – Either French (3) or Irish (4) bred
6/10 – Raced at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (2) last time out
5/10 – Favourites
3/10 – Placed in the top 4 in that season’s Champion Hurdle (no winners)
3/10 – Won their last race
1/10 – Went onto win that season’s World Hurdle
The average winning SP in the last 7 renewals is 7/4

3.15 - Peter Marsh Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f CH4

12/12 – Aged 8 or older
12/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/12 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously
11/12 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
11/12 – Run within the last 36 days
9/12 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
8/12 – Officially Rated 140 or higher
8/12 – Won at Haydock before
8/12 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/12 – Favourites unplaced
8/12 – Won before (fences) over at least 3m
8/12 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
7/12 – Won between 3-5 times over fences before
7/12 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
6/12 – Irish bred
6/12 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
6/12 – Raced at Wetherby last time out
6/12 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
5/12 – Ran in the Roland Meyrick (Wetherby) last time out
4/12 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/12 – Won over fences at Haydock before
2/12 – Trained by Sue Smith
2/12 – Trained by the McCain stable
2/12 – Won last time out
1/12 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 12 renewals is 11/1

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