Sat TV Trends: 23rd Mar 2013

Doncaster

It's Lincoln Day At Donny.....

Weather permitting it’s the William Hill Lincoln Handicap this weekend, while the C4 cameras also head to Newbury for a decent NH card – Andy Newton’s got all the key trends & stats......

DONCASTER (ATR/C4)

2.05 – WILLIAM HILL-NO 1 DOWNLOADED BETTING APP HANDICAP (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-100) 6f

8/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/8 – Had won over 6f before
7/8 – Had won between 1-5 times before
6/8 – Had raced at Doncaster before
6/8 – Had won 3 or more times before
6/8 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
6/8 – Drawn in stall 9 or less
6/8 – Had not run for at least 4 months
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
5/8 – Came from stall 1-4
5/8 – Rated between 80-88
5/8 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/8 – Carried 9-0 or less
5/8 – Unplaced last time out
5/8 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
2/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/8 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 23/1

2.40 – WILLIAM HILL SPRING MILE (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 1m

9/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/11 – Aged 4 years-old
9/11 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
9/11 – Carried 8-13 or more
7/11 – Won over a mile before
6/11 – Won from a double-figure draw
1/11 – Winning favourites
1/11 – Won last time out
0/11 – Won a race at Doncaster before
0/11 – Winners from stalls 3-8
The average winning SP in the last 11 renewals is 18/1
No winner aged older than 6 years-old in the last 11 years

3.15 – WILLIAM HILL - NEW IPAD APP CAMMIDGE TROPHY (Listed Race) 6f

9/10 – Had won between 2-5 times before
9/10 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
8/10 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/10 – Rated 103 or higher
7/10 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had won over 6f before
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
6/10 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
6/10 – Having their first run of the season
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
5/10 – Had raced at Doncaster before
2/10 – Won by the Hills (Barry/Charlie) stable
2/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Neil Callan
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/1
Note: 2007 running was at Newcastle, 2006 running was at Redcar

3.50 - WILLIAM HILL LINCOLN (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 1m

10/10 – Won between 2-4 times previously
10/10 – Aged 6 or younger
9/10 – Carried 9-4 or less
9/10 – Won over at least 1m previously
8/10 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
8/10 – Came from stall 9 or higher
7/10 – Favourites unplaced
7/10 – Officially rated between 95-98
7/10 – Having their first run of the season
6/10 – Won by a horse aged 4 years-old
6/10 – Finished  first or second in their last race
5/10 – Came from the top 3 in the market
5/10 – Ran at either Newmarket (3) or Lingfield (2) last time out
5/10 – Returned a double figure price
4/10 – Had ran at Doncaster previously
4/10 - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
4/10 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
4/10 – Won their last race
3/10 – Favourites that won
2/10 – Ridden by Johnny Murtagh
2/10 – Trained by William Haggas
2/10 – Trained by Mark Tompkins
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 12/1

Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

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NEWBURY (RUK/C4)

2.20 – EBF/THOROUGHBRED BREEDERS´ ASSOCIATION MARES´ NOVICES´ CHASE FINALE (Handicap) (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (5yo+) 2m6f

10/10 – Aged 8 or younger
9/10 – Had won no more than twice over fences before
8/10 – Carried 10-13 or less
8/10 – Placed favourites
8/10 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
7/10 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
7/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/10 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
6/10 – Had won just once over fences before
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/2

Note: From 2006 back the race was staged at Uttoxeter

2.55 – EBF ULTIMA BUSINESS SOLUTIONS MARES´ "NATIONAL HUNT" NOVICES´ HURDLE FINALE LIMITED (H´cap) (Listed) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m5f

10/10 – Had won between 1-2 times before
9/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/10 – Had won over at least 2 ½m before
9/10 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
9/10 – Placed in the top three last time out
7/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged 6 years-old
7/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/10 – Officially rated between 120-130
6/10 – Placed favourites
6/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Had raced at Newbury before (no winners)
3/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

3.30 - ULTIMA - BEST COMPANY AWARD WINNER HANDICAP CHASE (CLASS 3) (5yo+ 0-140) 3m2f

3 previous runnings
3/3 – Carried 10-8 or less
2/3 – Aged 9 years-old
0/3 – Winning favourites
Nick Gifford is 0-from-19 with his chasers at the track
Brendan Powell is just 1 from 21 with his chasers at the course
Anthony Honeyball has a 40% record with his chasers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers at the course
AP McCoy has a 23% strike-rate when riding over fences at Newbury
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