Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 23rd March 2019

Another busy day this Saturday with the ITV4 cameras at Newbury and Kelso – we’ve seven races across the two venues to take in.

As always, we’ve got it all covered from a trends angle.

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends

2.05 – Insure With Be Wiser Handicap Chase Cl3 3m2f ITV4

Just 8 previous runnings
7/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
7/8 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
7/8 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
6/8 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
6/8 – Had won over 2m7f (or further) before (fences)
5/8 – Aged 9 years-old
5/8 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
4/8 – Had raced over fences at Newbury before
4/8 – Irish bred
1/8 – Winning favourites
1/8 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 15/2

 

2.40 –Be Wiser Handicap Hurdles Cl2 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Won no more than twice over hurdles before
10/10 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Favourites placed in the top three
9/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Rated 113 or higher
7/10 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
3/10 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/10 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

3.15 - EBF & TBA Mares´ "National Hunt" Novices´ Hurdle Finale Limited Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

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13/14 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
13/14 – Won between 1-2 times before (hurdles)
10/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Aged 6 years-old
9/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Unplaced favourites
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Ran at Huntingdon last time out
2/14 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/14 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
The last 12 winners carried 11-3 or less in weight
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 28% record with his hurdlers at the track

KELSO Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – EBF Mares’ Novices’ Chase (Qualifier For The EBF Mares’ Chase Series) Cl3 (5yo+) 2m 5 1/2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 33% record (5 from 15) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Michael Scudamore is 2 from 5 (40%) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Iain Jardine has a 29% record with his chasers at the track

2.25 – Bernhard Lighting Rig Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

7/8 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
7/8 – Unplaced last time out
6/8 – Had raced at Kelso before
6/8 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
6/8 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
6/8 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
4/8 – Unplaced favourites
4/8 – Aged 7 years-old
3/8 – Winning favourites
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 50% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Tom George has a 50% record with his hurdlers at the track

3.00 – Liz Adams Memorial Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m2f ITV4

4 previous runnings
4/4 – Aged 9 or younger
4/4 – Unplaced last time out
3/4 – Had raced at the track before
3/4 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
3/4 – Had run at Kelso before
2/4 – Ran at Kelso last time out
1/4 – Winning favourites
Trainer Tom George has a 60% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 44% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 33% record with his chasers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 4 years is 15/2

3.35 – Paxton’s Exclusively Kverneland Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 3m2f ITV4

Only 5 previous runnings
3 of the last 5 winners carried 11-7 or more in weight
Trainer Lucinda Russell has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
The last 3 winners were ridden by a conditional jockey
3 of the last 5 winners were aged 7 or 8 years-old
4 of the last 5 winners returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
4 of the last 5 winners carried 11-1 or more
2 of the last 3 winners were aged 7 years-old
1 winning favourite in the last 5 runnings
3 of the last 4 winners were placed at Haydock last time out
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 50% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Tom George has a 50% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Keith Dalgleish has a 31% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Richards has a 27% record with his hurdlers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 5 years is 5/1

 

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