Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 23rd Oct 2021

Loads going on this Saturday as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster, Newbury and Cheltenham.

Yes, jump racing is back at the home of National Hunt - Cheltenham - with a cracking card or which five races at LIVE on ITV4. Then at Newbury, we’ve two decent Group Three contests to look forward too, while the LIVE ITV action concludes with three races from Doncaster that are spearheaded by the Group One Vertum Futurity Trophy Stakes - a prize that top Irish handler - Aidan O’Brien - has won a massive nine times!

 

Like all big race days, here at GeeGeez we’ve got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

 

3.15 – Vertem Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) ITV 1m

17/19 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
16/19 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
16/19 – Placed favourites
16/19 - Foaled in February or later
15/19 – Finished in the top two last time out
15/19 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
14/19 – Had raced at least twice previously
12/19 – Winning favourites
12/19 – Foaled in either Feb or March
12/19 – Ran at either the Curragh or Newmarket last time out
11/19 – Won their last race
10/19 – Had won over a mile in the past
8/19 – Won by an Irish-based yard
6/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/19 – Won by a Montjeu-bred colt
4/19 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (won 4 of the last 8)
4/19 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas (inc the last 3 winners)
3/19 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
1/19 – Went onto win the St Leger
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 9 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017 & 2018
The average SP in the last 19 runnings is 13/2

 

3.50 – Virgin Bet Doncaster Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

13/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
12/13 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
12/13 – Foaled in February or later
12/13 – Won between 1-2 times before
11/13 – Had won over 6f before
10/13 – Won last time out
10/13 – Carried 9-1 in weight
10/13 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/13 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
9/13 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
7/13 – March-born foals
6/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/13 – Trained by Brian Meehan
Trainer Marco Botti has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
2020 winner: Lipizzaner (10/3)

4.20 – Vertum Very Different Stockbrokers Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

16/16 – Ran 5 or more times that season
15/16 – Had won over 5f before
14/16 – Aged 5 or younger
12/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/16 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
10/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/16 - Carried 8-10 or less
10/16 – Unplaced favourites
10/16 – Had run at Doncaster before (5 won)
5/16 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Winners from stall 1
2/16 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
2/16 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 7)
1/16 – Winning mare/filly
Venturous (6/1) won the race in 2020
Tarboosh (8/1 jfav) won the race in 2018
9 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 


2.00 – Virgin Bet Horris Hill Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV4

16/17 – Foaled in Feb or later
14/17 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
12/17 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
12/17 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
11/17 – Never raced at Newbury
10/17 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
10/17 – Favourites unplaced
9/17 – Won over 7f before
8/17 – Won their last race
7/17 – Foaled in February
7/17 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
5/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/17 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
1/17 – Winning favourites

 

2.35 – Virgin Bet St Simon Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV4

17/18 – Aged 5 or younger
16/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
16/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Had won at least twice before
15/18 – Had at least 4 runs that season
13/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/18 – Placed favourites
12/18 – Rated 107 or higher
10/18 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
11/18 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/18 – Placed horses from stall 6
7/18 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/18 – Won by a filly or mare
6/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Won last time out
3/18 – Trained by Andrew Balding
1/18 – Winners from stall 1
Euchen Glen (9/2) won the race in 2020
Morando (8/1) won the race in 2018

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.45 - NHS Vaccinating Heroes Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle (Challenger 2m Hdl Series Qualifier) Cl3 (3 yo+ 0-140) 2m 1/2f ITV4

7 previous runnings
6/7 - Aged 6 or younger
5/7 - Returned 8/1 or shorter
5/7 - Ran in the last 8 weeks
5/7 - Won no more than twice over hurdles
5/7 - Carried 10-11 or more in weight
4/7 - Irish bred
3/7 - Had run at the track before
2/7 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/7 - Ridden by Harry Cobden
2/7 - Won last time out

 

2.20 – 888Sport What’s Your Thinking Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV4

13/14 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting market
13/14 – Won over at least 3m previously
11/14 – First run of the season
11/14 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
10/14 – Rated 134 or higher
9/14 – Irish bred winners
9/14 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
9/14 – Favourites unplaced
8/14 – Had won at Cheltenham previously
7/14 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
7/14 – Unplaced in their last race
5/14 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
5/14 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
1/14 – Winning Favourites
Frodon (9/2) won the race in 2020
Cogry (13/2) won the race in 2017
Cogry was 2nd in the race in 2020

 

2.55 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV4

9/12 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
8/12 - Had won 2 or less times over hurdles
6/12 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
6/12 – Carried 10-12 in weight
7/12 – Placed in their last race
5/12 – Irish bred winners
4/12 – Favourites placed
3/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Botox Has (11/2) won the race in 2020

3.30 - 888Sport Handicap Chase (Gbb Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 - Aged between 6 or 8 years-old (three each)
6/6 - Last race 6 months or more ago
6/6 - Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
6/6 - Had run at the track before
5/6 - Carried 11-1 or more
5/6 - Favourites placed (top three)
5/6 - Won between 2-4 times over fences
4/6 - Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/6 - Rated between 140-147
4/6 - Placed in the top 3 last time out
3/6 - French bred
2/6 - Winning favourites
2/6 - Won last time out
2/6 - Trained by Harry Whittington

 

4.05 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV4

9/12 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
9/12 – Had run at Cheltenham before (4 winners)
8/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/12 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
8/12 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
8/12 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
7/12 – Unplaced favourites
5/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Irish Bred
2/12 – Mare winners
2/12 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/12 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/12 – Winning favourites
Honest Vic (12/1) won the race in 2020

 

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