Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 23rd Sept 2017

It's a shame that we've lost the Ayr Gold Cup Meeting due to a waterlogged track, but we've still LIVE ITV4 contests at Newbury that include the Group Two Mill Reef Stakes.

As always we've  got all the TV trends for you. Use these to find the best profiles of past winners and whittle down the runners.


Saturday 23rd September 2017

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.15 –Dubai Duty Free Legacy Cup Stakes (Registered As The Arc Trial) (Group 3) Cl1 1m3f5y ITV4

15/15 – Won over 1m2f (or further) previously
14/15 – Priced 9/1 or less
12/15 – Aged 5 or younger
11/15 – Had 4 or more career wins
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/15 – Had won at Listed or better class previously
9/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Raced at Newbury before
8/15 – Raced 5 or more times that season
7/15 – Had won a Group race before
6/15 – Won their last race
4/15 – Favourites that won
3/15 – Raced at York last time
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Trained by David Simcock (including last 2 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

2.50 – Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f8y ITV4

12/15 – Won from draw 5 or lower
12/15 – Raced 3 or more times
12/15 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
11/15 – Won over 6f previously
11/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Foaled in March or later
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/15 – Favourites (or joint) to win
7/15 – Won exactly two races before
6/15 – Won by an April foal
5/15 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
4/15 – Won their previous race
4/15 – Ran in the Gimcrack last time out (York)
2/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/15 – Trained by Karl Burke
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/15 – Filly winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

3.25 – Dubai Duty Free Handicap Cl2 1m2f6y ITV4

13/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/15 – Won from stall 7 or higher
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/15 – Won at least twice previously
10/15 – Won over 1m2f previously
10/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/15 – Raced 5 or more times that season
9/15 – Officially rated between 89 and 94
9/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
8/15 – Won by a 4 year-old
8/15 – Won from a double-figure draw
7/15 – Returned a double-figure price
6/15 – Had raced at Newbury before (2 won)
4/15 – Trained by Luca Cumani
4/15 – Won their last race
3/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
Baydar won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

4.00 - Dubai International Airport World Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 5f34y ITV4

15/15 – Raced four or more times that season
13/15 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
13/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/15 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
12/15 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
12/15 – Won a Listed or Group race before
11/15 – Won over 5f previously
11/15 - Aged 5 or younger
10/15 – Won 4 or more times
7/15 – Previous Group race winners
6/15 – Ran at the Curragh last time out (inc 3 of last 5 winners)
5/15 – Won their last race
5/15 – Favourites
4/15 – Mare winners
Cotai Glory (9/2) won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

AYR Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

**THE 2017 AYR GOLD CUP MEETING HAS BEEN ABANDONED DUE TO A WATERLOGGED TRACK**

2.00 – William Hill Firth Of Clyde Stakes (Group 3) (for The Ayrshire Agricultural Challenge Cup) Cl1 6f ITV4

13/15 – Previous winners over 6f
13/15 – Finished 4th or better last time out
13/15 – Had never raced at Ayr before
13/15 – Had won once or two times before
12/15 – Winning distance 1 length or further
11/15 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
11/15 – Had 3 or more runs that season
10/15 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/15 – Trained by Bryan Smart
2/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1

 

2.35 – William Hill Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

14/15 – Carried 8-11 or more
13/15 – Aged 5 or younger
13/15 – Previous winners over 6f
13/15 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/15 – Had raced at Ayr before (5 won)
12/15 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/15 – Carried 9-0 or more
10/15 - Had either 2 or 3 career wins to their name
10/15 – Finished 5th or better last time out
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
7/15 – The first 4 home all returned a double-figure price
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/15 – Winning Favourites
3/15 – Drawn in stalls 8 to 20 (inc) i.e horses drawn either high or low have done best
0/15 – Filly or mare winners
Tatlisu won the race in 2015
Huntsmans Close won the race in 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/1

 

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3.10 - William Hill Supports Clic Sargent Ayrshire Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
10/11 – Had won over 1m before
10/11 – Won between 2-6 times before
9/11 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Winners from stalls 9 or lower
9/11 – Placed 4th or worse in their last race
9/11 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
8/11 – Aged 4 or older
8/11 – Returned between 7/1-14/1 in the betting
7/11 – Had run at the track before
7/11 – Rated between 89-93
7/11 – Unplaced favourites
6/11 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/11 – Trained by Michael Dods
2/11 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

3.45 – William Hill Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

15/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
12/15 – Failed to win their last race
12/15 – Had won over 6f before
10/15 – Carried 9-1 or more
10/15 – Had 7 or more runs that season
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Rated 90-100
9/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Came from a double-figure stall
9/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/15 – Had raced at Ayr before
7/15 – Ran at either Doncaster (3), Goodwood (2) or Haydock (2) last time out
7/15 – Winning distance 1 length or less
4/15 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
1/15– Winning favourites (2 winning favs since 1980)
0/15 – Filly or mare winners
Since 1980 just five winners aged 6 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronsiea in 1930/31
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 16/1

 

 

 

 

 

 

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