Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 24th Feb 2018

This weekend the ITV cameras head to Kempton, with their newly-sponsored Betdaq Handicap Chase their feature contest, while they are also at Lingfield for the Winter Derby and the Newcastle for their Eider Chase.

As always, we are  on hand with all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races. Use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 – Betdaq Now 2% Commission Pendil Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

11/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
11/13 – French (8) of Irish (3) bred
10/13 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/13 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/13 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
9/13 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
9/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
8/13 – Won last time out
7/13 – Winning favourites

2.25 - Betdaq #ChangingForTheBettor Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

13/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 -  Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/14 – Had won no more than once over hurdles in the UK
11/14 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
11/14 – Winners that went onto run in the Triumph Hurdle (3 winners)
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
9/14– Won carrying either a 4lb or 7lb penalty
8/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – French bred
5/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Triumph Hurdle
3/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Trained by Alan King
Zarkandar, Soldatino and Penzance went onto land that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

 

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3.00 – Sky Bet Dovecote Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

11/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
11/12 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
10/12 – Had never raced over hurdles at Kempton before
9/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/12 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
9/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – French bred
4/12 – Trained by Alan King
4/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

 

3.35 – Betdaq Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV

13/15 – Rated 139 or higher
13/15 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
12/15 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
12/15 – Aged 9 or younger
11/15 – Won a class 2 chase or better before
10/15 – Carried 10-13 or more
10/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/15 – Rated between 139 and 150
7/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
7/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Carried 11-5 or more
5/15 – Aged 8 years-old
5/15 – French bred
4/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
4/15 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/15 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson (won it 5 times in all)
2/15 – Trained by Tom George
2/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs (won it 4 times in all)
2/15 – Ran in the King George VI Chase last time out
2/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner)
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 10/1
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown Park

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

2.45 - Betfred Eider (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 4m1f ITV

14/14 – Had won over at least 3m before
12/14 – Aged 10 or younger
11/14 – Carried 11-0 or more
11/14 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/14 – Irish-bred
10/14 – Winners came from the top 3 in the betting
9/14 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
9/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/14 – Officially rated between 131-139
8/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
5/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Won over 3m4f or further before
3/14 – Carried 11-12 in weight
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 10/1

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

2.05 – Betway Hever Sprint Stakes (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV

10/11 – Rated 96+
9/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/11 – Raced 6 weeks or longer ago
8/11 – Placed favs
8/11 – Had raced at Lingfield before
7/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/11 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
4/11 – US bred
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Mare winners
3/11 – Trained by David Barron
0/11 – Winners from stall 1

3.15 - Betway Winter Derby (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f ITV

15/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or shorter
13/15 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
12/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
11/15 – Had run at Lingfield previously
11/15 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
11/15 – Had raced at either Lingfield (7) or Kempton (4) last time out
11/15 – Winning distance – less than a length
10/15 – Placed in their last race
10/15 – Drawn in stall 7 or less
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the market
9/15 – Won at Lingfield previously
9/15 – Won their last race
9/15 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
8/15 – Won at least 6 times previously
7/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the 15 renewals is 11/2

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