Sat TV Trends: 24th Nov 2012

Long Run is back on course this Saturday

We've got all the TV Trends from the LIVE C4 races at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday.....

 

Ascot (C4/ATR)

2.10 – Amlin 1965 Chase Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 2m3f

9/9 – Aged 8 or younger
7/9 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/9 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
7/9 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
6/9 – Won by a French-bred horse
6/9 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
6/9 – Favourites placed
6/9 – Had won over this trip (fences) before
6/9 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
4/9 – Aged 5 years-old
4/9 – Ran at Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
4/9 – Won last time out
4/9 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
4/9 – Won by Paul Nicholls
2/9 – Won by Alan King
2/9 – Won by Nicky Henderson
1/9 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run, RyanAir Chase 2009)
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 6/1

Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

 

2.45 - Coral Hurdle (Registered As The Ascot Hurdle Race) Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 2m3f110y

10/10 – Priced 7/2 or less
9/10 – Won by and Irish (6) or French (3) bred horse
8/10 – Favourites placed
8/10 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
8/10 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
7/10 – Had their last race 3 month or longer ago
7/10 – Won their latest race
7/10 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
6/10 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
6/10 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
5/10 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
3/10 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/10 – Run in that season’s World Hurdle after winning this (1 won)
3/10 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
3/10 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (all finished 4th or better, no winners)
2/10 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
The average winning price in the last 10 runnings is 9/4

Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

Your first 30 days for just £1

 

3.20 -Carey Group Handicap Chase (CLASS 2) (4yo+) CH4 2m1f

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
6/6 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
6/6 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/6 – Had won over fences over this trip before
5/6 – Carried 11-1 or more
5/6 – Rated 142 or higher
5/6 – Ran at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
4/6 – Had raced at Ascot before
4/6 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/6 – Had raced within the last month
4/6 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
3/6 – Winning favourites
3/6 – Placed favourites
3/6 – Aged 6 years-old
2/6 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/6 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 6 years is 5/1

 

 

Haydock (C4/RUK)

2.30 – Betfair. Don´t Settle For Less "Fixed Brush" Handicap Hurdle Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 3m

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
7/7 - Won over at least 2 1/2m (hurdles) before
6/7 - Had between 1 and 3 previous hurdles wins
6/7 – Carried 10-10 or more
5/7 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
4/7 - Won by a French bred horse
4/7 - Having their first run of the season
3/7 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/7 - Won last time out
2/7 - Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/7 – Trained by David Pipe
The average winning SP in the last 7 years is 10/1

 

3.05 – Betfair Chase (Registered As The Lancashire Chase) Grade 1 (CLASS 1) (5yo+) CH4  3m

7 Previous runnings
7/7 – Won by and Irish (3) or French (4) bred horse
6/7 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
5/7 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
5/7 - Officially rating of 170 or higher
5/7 – Favourites placed
5/7 - Won a Grade One chase previously
5/7 - Placed in the top three in their last race
5/7 - Winning distance - 2 lengths or less
5/7 - Raced at Haydock previously
3/7 - Raced at Aintree last time out
2/7 – Won their latest race
2/7 – Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
The average winning price in the last 7 runnings is 9/1
The Paul Nicholls yard and Kauto Star took the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009 & 2011
Ruby Walsh has ridden the winner in 2006, 2009 & 2011 

 

3.40 - Read Nicholls And Mccain Exclusively On Betfair Handicap Chase (CLASS 3) (4yo+ 0-135) CH4 3m4f

1 previous running
Brian Ellison is 3 from 4 (75%) with his runners over fences here
Donald McCain has a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Alan King is 4 from 20 (20%) with his chasers here
Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 2 from 32 with his chasers here
Timmy Murphy is 5 from 11 (45%) when riding over fences here

Your first 30 days for just £1