Sat TV Trends: 25th Feb 2012

Hobbs Eyes His Fifth Racing Plus Chase Win

Can trainer Philip Hobbs land his fifth Racing Plus Chase with Planet of Sound this Saturday?

 

KEMPTON (RUK & C4)

2.00 - Download William Hill From The App-Store Adonis Juvenile Hurdle Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (4yo) CH4 Good 2m

5 of the last 10 went to the favourite
The average winning SP over the last 10 years is 7/2
6 of the last 10 winners returned 5/2 or SHORTER in the betting
3 of the last 4 winners were French bred
ALL 10 recent winners finished in the top three last time out
7 of the last 10 won their last race
8 of the last 10 had previously won over at least 2m
The last two winners went onto win the Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
Paul Nicholls (DILDAR) (2) and Nicky Henderson (UNE ARTISTE) (3) have won the last 5 runnings between them
Nicky Henderson has a 24% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track – UNE ARTISTE
Evan Williams is 3 from 11 (27%) with his hurdlers here - KAYALAR
Paul Nicholls is 15 from 68 (22%) when running hurdles at the track - DILDAR
Nick Williams is 2 from 7 (29%) with his hurdles at the course – HURRICANE HERBIE
Brendan Powell is 0 from 26 with his hurdles at Kempton – DARK AND DANGEROUS
Barry Geraghty is 17 from 48 (35%) when riding over hurdles here – UNE ARTISE
Ruby Walsh is 9 from 35 (26%) riding over hurdles at the course - DILDAR
Tom Scudamore is only 1 from 28 (4%) when riding over hurdles here – HURRICANE HERBIE
Felix De Giles is 0 from 20 over hurdles at Kempton -  ORTHODOX LAD

Note: 2006 renewal was run at Sandown

 

2.30 - William Hill App £25 Sign-Up Bonus Handicap Chase (CLASS 3) (5yo+ 0-130) CH4 Good 2m4f110y

5 of the last 10 went to the favourite
7 of the last 10 carried 11-4 or MORE
8 of the last 10 winners returned 7/2 or SHORTER in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 years was just 10/3
The last 10 winners were all aged 9 or younger
5 of the last 6 were won by either a 7 or 8 year-old
6 of the last 10 had won previously over at least this trip
4 of the last 10 had won at Kempton before
8 of the last 10 finished in the top three last time out
5 of the last 10 won their previous race
Fiona Shaw is 1 from 1 with her chasers at the track – BUSY ISIT
Barry Geraghty is 15 from 46 (33%) when riding over fences here – HUNT BALL
Jamie Moore is 8 from 38 and +£37 when riding over fences here – PANJO BERE
Felix De Giles is 4 from 12 (33%) when riding over fences at the track – BUSY ISIT

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3.05 - Racing Plus Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (5yo+) Winner £56,950 CH4 Good 3m

2 of the last 10 went to the favourite (1 joint)
An 8 year-old has won 4 of the last 5 runnings
Trainer Philip Hobbs won the prize in 1999, 2002, 2005 & 2011
7 of the last 10 carried 11-0 or MORE
7 of the last 10 won their previous race
5 of the last 10 had previously won a race at Kempton
8 of the last 10 had won over at least 3 miles before
Jockey Richard Johnson rode the winner in 2000, 2001, 2002, 2005 & 2011 – PLANET OF SOUND
The average winning SP over the last 10 years is 7/1
NACARAT won the race in 2009
Paul Nicholls is 16 from 63 (25%) with his chasers here - MICHEL LE BON
Paul Webber is 4 from 15 (27%) with his chasers at the track - SARANDO
Ruby Walsh is 13 from 30 (43%) when riding over fences here – MICHEL LE BON
Jamie Moore is 8 from 38 and +£37 when riding over fences here – HECTOR’S CHOICE

 

Note: 2006 renewal was run at Sandown

3.40 – williamhill.com Dovecote Novices´ Hurdle Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 Good 2m

1 winning favourite in the last 8 runnings
The last 6 winners were aged either 4 or 5 years-old
Average winning SP over the last 8 years is 7.4/1
3 of the last 8 winners returned a double-figure price
5 of the last 8 failed to hit the frame last time out
7 of the last 8 had won over at least this trip in the past
Paul Nicholls won the race in 2010 – DODGING BULLETS
Alan King took the prize in 2006 & 2009 - GRUMETI
Nicky Henderson won the race in 2007 - KEYS
Robert Thornton rode the winner in 2006 & 2009 – GRUMETI
Nicky Henderson is 28 from 116 (24%) with his hurdlers here - KEYS
Evan Williams is 3 from 11 (27%) with his hurdlers at the track - ZARZAL
Paul Nicholls is 15 from 68 (22%) with his hurdlers at the course – DODGING BULLETS
Barry Geraghty is 17 from 48 (35%) when riding over hurdles here - KEYS
Ruby Walsh is 9 from 35 (26%) when riding over hurdles at the track – DODGING BULLETS
 

LINGFIELD (ATR/C4)

2.15 - Blue Square Sprint Series Grand Final (Handicap) (CLASS 4) (4yo+) Winner £9,704 CH4 Standard 6f

Only 1 previous running
Trainer David Evans won the race 12 months ago – HAADEETH & NUBAR BOY
Jeremy Gask has the best strike-rate on offer with his older horses at the track – SULIS MINERVA
Martin Lane is only 4 from 85 when riding older horses here – NUBAR BOY
John Fahey is just 1 from 36 when riding 4+year-olds at the track - WAABEL

NEWCASTLE (ATR/C4)

3.25 - Betfred Eider (Handicap Chase) (CLASS 2) (5yo+ 0-150) CH4 Good To Soft 4m1f

1 winning favourite in the last 7 runnings
4 of the last 7 returned a double-figure price
All 7 recent winners aged 8 or OLDER
All  recent winners carried 11-0 or MORE
The average winning SP over the last 7 runnings is 11/1
Keith Reveley is 8 from 27 (30%) when riding over fences here – EYRE SQUARE
Nicky Richards is 5 from 21 (24%) when riding over fences at the track – MISTER MARKER
Ferdy Murphy is only 2 from 34 with his chasers at the track – NEGUS DE BEAUMONT
James Reveley is 11 from 42 (26%) when riding over fences here – EYRE SQUARE
Nick Schofield is 1 from 2 when riding over fences at the track – CAPTAIN AMERICO
Denis O’Regan is 7 from 25 (25%) when riding over fences here – PORTRAIT KING

 

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