Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 25th Feb 2017

This weekend the ITV cameras head to Kempton Park, with their BetBright Chase their feature contest, while they are also at Lingfield Park for the Winter Derby and the Newcastle for the Eider Chase.
As always we've got all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races.

 

Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)


1.50 - BetBright Genius Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

12/13 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 -  Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/13 – Had won no more than once over hurdles in the UK
10/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
10/13 – Winners that went onto run in the Triumph Hurdle (3 winners)
9/13 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
8/13– Won carrying either a 4lb or 7lb penalty
7/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites
5/13 – French bred
4/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/13 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Triumph Hurdle
3/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/13 – Trained by Alan King
Zarkandar, Soldatino and Penzance went onto land that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park


2.25 - BetBright Best For Festival Betting Pendil Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

10/12 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/12 – French (7) of Irish (3) bred
9/12 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/12 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
9/12 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
8/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
7/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/4


3.00 – Sky Bet Dovecote Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

10/11 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/11 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
9/11 – Placed favourites
9/11 – Had never raced over hurdles at Kempton before
9/11 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
8/11 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
8/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – French bred
4/11 – Trained by Alan King
3/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/11 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park


3.35 - BetBright Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV

13/14 – Rated 139 or higher
12/14 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
11/14 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
11/14 – Aged 9 or younger
11/14 – Won a class 2 chase or better before
10/14 – Carried 10-13 or more
10/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
9/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/14 – Rated between 139 and 150
7/14 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
7/14 – Won last time out
7/14 – Carried 11-5 or more
5/14 – Aged 8 years-old
5/14 – French bred
4/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
4/14 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/14 – Ridden by Richard Johnson (won it 5 times in all)
2/14 – Trained by Tom George
2/14 – Trained by Philip Hobbs (won it 4 times in all)
2/14 – Ran in the King George VI Chase last time out
2/14 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner)
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 9/1
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown Park


Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)


2.10 – Betfred "£1 Million Cashball" Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m ITV

9/9 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
8/9 – Unplaced last time out
8/9 – Rated 120 or higher
7/9 – Had won at least twice over hurdles before
6/9 – Aged 7 or older
6/9 – Had raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
6/9 – Carried 11-0 or more
5/9 – Irish bred
5/9 – Placed favourites
5/9 – Ran at Musselburgh last time out
3/9 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
2/9 - Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 15/2


2.45 - Betfred Eider (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 4m1f ITV

13/13 – Had won over at least 3m before
11/13 – Aged 10 or younger
10/13 – Carried 11-0 or more
10/13 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
9/13 – Irish-bred
9/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/13 – Winners came from the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Officially rated between 131-139
7/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
5/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Won over 3m4f or further before
3/13 – Carried 11-12 in weight
2/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 10/1

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Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)


2.05 – Betway Hever Sprint Stakes (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV

9/10 – Rated 96+
8/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/10 – Raced 6 weeks or longer ago
8/10 – Placed favs
8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/10 – Had raced at Lingfield before
6/10 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
4/10 – US bred
4/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Mare winners
3/10 – Trained by David Barron
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1
Pretend won this race in 2015


3.15 - Betway Winter Derby (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f ITV

14/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or shorter
12/14 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
11/14 – Had run at Lingfield previously
11/14 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
11/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
11/14 – Had raced at either Lingfield (7) or Kempton (4) last time out
10/14 – Winning distance – less than a length
10/14 – Placed in their last race
10/14 – Drawn in stall 7 or less
9/14 – Won at Lingfield previously
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the market
9/14 – Won their last race
9/14 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
8/14 – Won at least 6 times previously
7/14 – Favourites to win
Grendisar won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the 14 renewals is 11/2

 

 

 

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