Sat TV Trends: 25th March 2017

Another busy day this Saturday with seven LIVE ITV4 races at Newbury and Kelso

As always, we’ve got the key trends and stats for all the LIVE ITV4 races – we hope they help pin-point a few winners.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends


1.50 – Be Wiser Insurance Handicap Chase Cl3 3m2f ITV4

Just 6 previous runnings
5/6 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
5/6 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
5/6 – Had won over 3m before (fences)
5/6 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
4/6 – Had raced over fences at Newbury before
4/6 – Aged 9 years-old
4/6 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
4/6 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
3/6 – Irish bred
1/6 – Winning favourites
1/6 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 8/1

 

2.25 – Insure With Be Wiser Handicap Chase Cl2 2m4f ITV4

Three previous runnings
All three winners returned between 4/1 and 8/1
No winning favourite
All winners carried between 11-3 and 11-12 in weight
The last 2 winners ran (placed) at Exeter last time out
Trainer Robin Dickin won the race in 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2015
Trainer Venetia Williams won the race in 2014
Paul Nicholls has a 22% record with his chasers at the track
Oliver Sherwood has a 22% record with his chasers at the track
David Dennis has a 50% record with his chasers at the track
Kerry Lee has a 33% record with her chasers at the track


3.00 - EBF Stallions & TBA Mares´ "National Hunt" Novices´ Hurdle Finale Limited Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

11/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
11/12 – Won between 1-2 times before (hurdles)
9/12 –  Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/12 – Aged 6 years-old
8/12 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Unplaced favourites
4/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Ran at Huntingdon last time out
2/12 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
The last 10 winners carried 11-3 or less in weight
8 of the last 10 winners carried 11-0 or less in weight
Trainer Harry Fry has a 28% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 26% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams is only 1 from 30 (3%) with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Charlie Longsdon is just 1 from 22 (5%) with his hurdlers at the track


3.35 – OCSL Juvenile Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m ITV4

9/9 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
8/9 – Won by an ex-flat horse
8/9 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Had won between 0-1 times before
7/9 – Had between 4-7 previous runs over hurdles
7/9 – Favourites placed in the top three
7/9 – Carried 10-9 or more in weight
5/9 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
3/9 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
3/9 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
2/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

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Kelso Horse Racing Trends


2.05 – Belhaven Best Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m ITV4

6/6 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
5/6 – Unplaced last time out
5/6 – Had raced at Kelso before
4/6 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
4/6 – Unplaced favourites
4/6 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
3/6 – Aged 7 years-old
2/6 – Winning favourites
1/6 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 7/1
Trainer Malcom Jefferson has a 30% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Richards has a 26% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Alistair Whillans is just 2 from 56 (4%) with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Donald Whillans is only 2 from 33 (6%) with his hurdlers at the track


2.40 – Edinburgh Gin Handicap Chase Cl2 3m2f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
All three previous winners carried 11-7 or more in weight
1 winning favourite in the last 3 runnings
The last two winners were third at Haydock last time out
Trainer Simon Waugh is 2 from 4 (50%) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Dr Richard Newland is 2 from 5 (40%) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Jennie Candlish is 2 from 3 (66%) with her chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 25% (14 from 56) record with his chasers at the track

 

3.15 – Liz Adam Memorial Handicap Chase Cl2 3m2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Simon Waugh is 2 from 4 (50%) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 25% (14 from 56) record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Richard has a 22% record (9 from 41) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Maurice Barnes is just 2 from 32 (6%) with his chasers at the track

 

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