Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 25th May 2019

More LIVE ITV4 horse racing this Saturday as the cameras take in NINE races across FOUR venues – Haydock, York and Goodwood – with the feature contest the Group Two Temple Stakes at Haydock Park, while they are also over at the Curragh to take in the Irish 2,000 Guineas.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 25th May 2019

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

1.55 – Betfair Best Odds On ITV Festival Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m1f192y ITV4

14/15 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Had won at least 3 times before
10/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/15 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/15 – Finished in the top two last time out
8/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/15 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15– Ridden by Tom Queally
2/15 – Won last time out
Spark Plug was second in 2017 and third in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

2.30 – Betfair Each Way Edge Handicap (3yo) Cl2 7f ITV4

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Came from stalls 2-6 (inc)
6/6 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
6/6 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
5/6 – Winners from stall 2 or 3
5/6 - returned 9/2 to 12/1
4/6 - carried between 8-0 and 8-4
3/6 – Rated between 77-81
3/6 – Won just once before
3/6 – Winners from stall 3
2/6 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/6 winning favourites
2/6 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (last 2 runnings)
William Haggas, Richard Hannon, Mark Johnston (2), Andrew Balding and Mick Channon are the past winning yards
Trainer William Haggas has a 29% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock has a 19% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is 2 from 32 with his 3 years-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hughes is just 1 from 29 with his 3 year-olds at the track
The average SP in the last 6 runnings is 7/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

3.05 – William Hill Bronte Cup Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) (4yo+) Cl1 1m6f ITV4

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Just 1 previous runnings
Trainer John Gosden has a 32% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston is just 3 from 52 (6%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Channon is just 1 from 24 (4%) is this 4+year-olds at the track

 

3.45 – William Hill Leading On Course Bookmaker Sprint Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

Only 5 previous runnings
4/5 – Drawn in stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/5 – Raced in the last 2 weeks
4/5 – Didn’t win last time out
4/5 – Winning distance ½ length or less
3/5 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/5 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
2/5 – Aged 4 years-old
1/5 – Winning favourites
Copper Knight won the race in 2017
Trainer Michael Easterby is just 5 from 120 (4%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Paul Midgley is just 3 from 8 (4%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Roger Fell is just 1 from 40 (3%) with his older horses at the track

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.15 – Amix Ready Mixed Concrete Handicap Cl2 2m45y ITV4

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Winners aged 4 or 5
5/5 – Didn’t win last time out
5/5 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
5/5 – Came from stalls 2-8 (inc)
5/5 – Unplaced favourites
5/5 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
4/5 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
4/5 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
4/5 – Winners carried 8-13 or more
4/5 – Rated between 90-98
No winning favourite yet
Trainers Wiliam Haggas, Mark Johnston, Tim Easterby, Brian Ellison and Lucy Wadham were previous winners of the race


2.50 - Amix Silver Bowl Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

16/16 – Had won between 1-3 times before
15/16 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/16 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
13/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/16 – Placed last time out
12/16 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/16 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
6/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2 of last 6)
David Probert has ridden 2 of the last 9 winners.
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2


3.25 – Armstrong Aggregates Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 6f ITV4

15/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
14/15 – Had won over 6f before
13/15 – Had won between 1-3 times before
13/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – From stall 5 or higher
8/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Came from stall 8 or 9
3/15 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/15 – Raced at York last time
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2009 and 2015


4.00 – Armstrong Aggregates Temple Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV4

16/17 – Trained in the UK
15/17 – Had won over 5f before
14/17 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
12/17 – Raced within the last 2 months
11/17 – Placed third or better last time out
10/17 – Favourites that were placed
10/17 – Had won a Group race before
9/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Won their latest race
2/17 – Owned by Qatar Racing (2 of last 5 runnings)
2/17 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 3 runnings)
2/17 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (2 of last 3 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 6/1
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower

Curragh Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

3.35 Tattersalls Irish 2,000 Guineas (Group 1) (3yo) 1m ITV4

17/17 – Had run within the last 3 weeks
14/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
14/17 – Had won over either 7f or 1m before
13/17 – Favourites that finished in the top two
13/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Had won between 1-4 times before
12/17 – Irish bred
11/17 – Had run at the Curragh before
11/17 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
10/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
9/17 – Had won a Group 1 race before
8/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
8/17 – Winning favourites
8/17 – Unplaced last time out
7/17 – Trained by a UK-based stable
7/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Won the 2,000 Guineas (Newmarket) that season
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 5/1
Rock of Gibraltar (2002), Cockney Rebel (2007), Henrythenavigator (2008), Gleneagles (2015) & Churchill (2017) all did the English/Irish 2,000 Guineas double

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