Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 25th Sept 2021

The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to show four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in two competitive handicaps - as always, we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RACINGTV)

 

1.50 - Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV4

19/19 – Had won one or two races before
18/19 – Had won over 7f or further before
18/19 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
17/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/19 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
15/19 - Either US or Irish bred
13/19 – Had only won over 7f before
12/19 – Foaled in Feb or March
10/19 – Won last time out
7/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden
2/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner 6 times
12 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

 

2.25 – Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV4

19/19 – Finished in the top two last time out
18/19 – Had won over 6f before
17/19 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
17/19 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
16/19 – Foaled in Feb or March
15/19 – Had 3 or more previous runs
15/19 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
13/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 – Won last time out
11/19 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
10/19 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
8/19 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
7/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/19 – Winners drawn in stall 6
3/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 5 runnings)
2/19 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
2/19 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/19 – Trained by Brian Meehan
10 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.00 - Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV4

18/18 – Won over 6f previously
17/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/18 – Won their last race
16/18 – Won at least twice previously
15/18 – Had run 3 or more times previously
15/18 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
14/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
14/18 – Foaled in either Feb or March
12/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
6/18 – Ran at Deauville last time out
6/18 – Favourites that won
5/18 – Won by an Irish-based stable
4/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/18 - Trained by Clive Cox
2/18 - Trained by Mark Johnston
1/18 – Winners that came from stall 1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004, 2011, 2017 & 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

3.40 – Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

19/19 – Aged 6 or younger
16/19 – Won 3 or more times in their career
16/19 – Carried 9-5 or less
15/19 – Won from a double-figure stall
14/19 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
14/19 – Unplaced favourites
14/19 – Had won over 1m2f before
13/19 – Finished 5th or better last time out
13/19 – Rated between 90-100
13/19 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
12/19 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/19 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/19 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden
3/19 – Won their last race
2/19 - Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/19 - Trained by Marcus Tregoning
The last 6 winners came from stalls 21 or higher
13 of the last 15 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 21/1


HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Betway Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV4

13/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
12/14 – Didn’t win last time out
11/14 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
11/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/14 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
9/14 – Irish bred winners
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
7/14 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Tom Dascombe
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

2.40 – Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

14/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/14 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
14/14 – Had won over 5f before
13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
11/14 – Came from stalls 7-11 (inc)
11/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/14 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
11/14 – Had won between 2-4 times before
10/14 – Favourites placed
8/14 – Rated between 92-96
8/14 – Had raced at Haydock before
8/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/14 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/14 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/14 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
Dakota Gold won the race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

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