It’s Bet365 Gold Cup day at Sandown Park this Saturday – which marks the final day of the 2024-25 jumps season - and with Willie Mullins and Dan Skelton locked together the title looks like going down to the wire at the Esher track.
While the ITV cameras are also heading to Leicester & Haydock for a couple more races – As always, we’ve got all the LIVE TV ITV trends.
In total there are EIGHT live ITV races - six at Sandown and one each at the other tracks.
Put history on your side – if a certain trend has happened many times in the past then there is a good chance of it repeating itself. As always, here at GeeGeez we hope these stats help direct you towards a few winners.
SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)
1.20 - bet365 Novices’ Championship Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m110y RTV
Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged between 4-6 years old
5/6 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Carried 10st 13lbs or more in weight
4/6 – Carried 11st 5lbs or more in weight
3/6 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/6 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
2/6 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 26% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 27% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ben Pauling is just 1 from 45 (2%) with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Sean Bowen has a 26% SR riding over hurdles at the track
1.50 – bet365 Josh Gifford Novices’ Handicap Chase Cl2 2m4f ITV4
10/10 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
9/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter
9/10 – Had won over 2m4f+ before (fences)
8/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Won between 0-2 times over fences before
8/10 – Aged 6 or 7
8/10 – Had run at Sandown before
7/10 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
7/10 – Top 3 finish last time out
6/10 – Aged 7
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Winning distance a neck
2/10 – Winning favourites
Trainer Ben Pauling has a 27% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 22% SR with his chasers at the track
Jockey Ben Jones has a 31% SR riding over fences at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 24% SR riding over fences at the track
Jockey Sean Bowen is just 1 from 21 riding over fences at the track
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2
2.25 - bet365 Oaksey Chase (Grade Two) (for The Menorah Challenge Trophy) Cl1 2m6f ITV4
10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 - Trained by Hobbs (4), Henderson (2) or Nicholls (3)
8/10 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
7/10 – Officially rated 161-169 (inc)
6/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
4/10 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5 of the last 6 favourites have won
Paul Nicholls has won 3 of the last 5 runnings
Nicky Henderson has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 22% SR with his chasers at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 24% SR riding over fences at the track
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4
3.00 – bet365 Select Hurdle (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m 5 1/2f ITV4
10/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Aged 8 or younger
8/10 – Won over at least 2m4f
7/10 – Rated 149 to 155
7/10 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
7/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/10 – Aged 7 or younger
6/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
5/10 – Had won at Sandown before
4/10 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/10 – Ridden by David Bass
3/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/10 – Trained by Kim Bailey
2/10 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
Impaire Et Passe (4/5) won the race in 2024
3.35 - bet365 Celebration Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4
21/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
21/21 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
19/21 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
18/21 – Aged 9 or younger
18/21 – Placed favourites
17/21 – Came from the top three in the betting
17/21 – Had raced at Sandown (fences) before
16/21 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
15/21 – Rated 160 or higher
11/21 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/21 – Winning favourite
9/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Irish bred
6/21 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won it 7 times in all)
6/21 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (inc 6 of last 8)
6/21 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/21 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville (5 of the last 8)
3/21 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/21 – Irish-trained winners
Jonbon has won the last two runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/4
Trainer Alan King has a 25% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 22% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 21% SR with his chasers at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 24% SR riding over fences at the track
4.10 - bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV4
20/21 – Had raced in the last 63 days
18/21 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
17/21 – Had won over 3m or further before
17/21 – Aged 9 or younger
15/21 – Carried 11-0 or less
15/21 - Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
13/21 – Officially rated 140 or higher
13/21 – Came from the top 7 in the betting market
13/21 – Had raced in the last 26 days
11/21 – Finished 4th or worse last time out
5/21 – Won with 10st in weight
4/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
3/21– Trained by Paul Nicholls (4 total)
3/21 – Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
2/21 – Ran in the Aintree Grand National last time out
2/21– Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/21 – Ridden by Sean Bowen (2 of the last 9)
2/21 - Trained by Alan King (2 of last 5 winners)
1/21 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 13/1
Other Key Bet365 Gold Cup Facts
Just 1 outright winning favourite (Mr Frisk) since 1991 (Kitty's Light, 2023)
Just one 6 year-old winner since 1959
12 of the last 17 winners aged 7 or 8
3 of the last 9 winners were ridden by claiming jockeys
25 of the last 33 (76%) winners carried less than 11st
8 year-olds have won 8 of the last 21 runnings (38%)
17 of the last 21 (81%) winners were aged 7, 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times
4:45 – bet365 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 2m4f ITV4
10/10 – Aged between 5-7
10/10 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Won between 2-3 times before
8/10 – Carried 11-2 or more
7/10 – Favourites placed
5/10 – French bred
5/10 – Aged 6 years-old
5/10 – Rated between 135-137
5/10 – Top 4 finish last time out
5/10 - Had run at Sandown before (2 won)
2/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Won by Nicky Henderson
2/10 – Won by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Won by Philip Hobbs
Willie Mullins won this race in 2016
Ike Sport won the race last year
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 26% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Neil Mulholland has a 23% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 2-26 with his hurdlers at the track
HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)
2:40 – Try Unibet’s New Same Race Multis Handicap Cl2 7f ITV4
10/11 – Won over 7f in the past
10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
8/11 – Aged 5 or younger
8/11 – Irish bred
7/11 – Carried between 8-7 and 9-5 in weight
6/11 – Came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
4/11 – Rated between 95-100 (inc)
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/11 – Trained by William Haggas
2/11 – Trained by John Quinn
9 of the last 10 winners aged between 4-6
Trainer William Haggas has won race in 2016 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1
Trainer Simon & Ed Crisford has a 40% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Edward Bethell has a 21% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 21% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 2-50 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Jim Goldie is just 1-40 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
LEICESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)
2.05 – Carling King Richard III Cup Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV
Only two past runnings
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 33% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Appleby is just 5-from-81 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Billy Loughnane is just 1-21 riding 4+ year-olds at the track
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