Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 26th Aug 2017

Another jam-packed Saturday of horse racing action as we’ve the final day of the York Ebor Festival, plus the ITV cameras are also at Goodwood – as always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats.

 

Saturday 26th August 2017

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.55 - Betfred Mobile Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m208y ITV

14/14 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/14 – Had won at least twice in the their career
13/14 – Had between 2 and 4 runs already that season
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Had won over a mile before
9/14 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
9/14 – Favourites to finish in the top three
8/14 – Placed horses from stall 2
7/14 – Unplaced last time out
7/14 – Won by Godolphin
7/14 – Previous Group race winners
6/14 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/14 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/14 – Had won at York before
Scottish (5/1) won the race in 2016
Note: The 2009 running was a dead-heat

2.25 - Betfred Melrose Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

12/14 – Not raced at York before
12/14 – Had 4 or more runs that season
11/14 – Won carrying 9-0 or less
11/14 – Had won over 1m4f or further
10/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
10/14 – Had a top 5 finish last time out
9/14 - Drawn in stall 8 or lower
7/14 – Winning distance 1 length or less
6/14 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
5/14 – Won their previous race
3/14 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/14 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Wall Of Fire (16/1) won the race in 2016

 

3.00 – Al Basti Equiworld Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

14/14 – Won just 1-2 times before
14/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/14 – Won just once before
9/14 – Foaled in March or later
9/14 – Had won over 6f before
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
6/14 – Won by a March foal
5/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
3/14 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/14 – Trained by William Haggas
2/14 – Ridden by Jimmy Fortune
2/14 – Winning favourites
Blue Point (11/8 fav) won the race in 2016

3.35 - Betfred Ebor (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

15/15 – Carried 9-4 or less
14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
12/15 – Won from a double-figure stall
12/15 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
11/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/15 – Winning Distance - 1 length or less
9/15 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – Had run at York before
5/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/15 – Ran at Galway last time out
2/15 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/15 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/15 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2011, third 2013)
1/15 – Winning favourites
Just one winning favourite since 1999
Luca Cumani has won the race in 1999, 2004 & 2007
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1980, 1991 & 1996
Heartbreak City (15/2) won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 22/1

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.10 – Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

11/12 – Finished in the top three last time out
12/12 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
11/12 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
10/12 – Had no more than 2 previous runs
9/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Had won just once before
9/12 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
8/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Won over 7f before
5/12 – Winning favourites
5/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/12 – Trained by John Gosden
Kilmah (5/1) won the race in 2016

 

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2.45 – Grosvenor Sport Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

11/12 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Had 3 or more runs that season
10/12 – Had won 3 or more times before
10/12 – Had won over 7f before
10/12 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
10/12 – Placed favourites
10/12 – Aged 4 or older
10/12 – Finished 5th or better last time out
8/12 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/12 – Had run at Goodwood before
4/12 – Previous course and distance winners
5/12 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/12 – Won last time out
Certificate (7/2 fav) won the race in 2016

3.20 - Grosvenor Sport Celebration Mile (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV

11/12 – Winning distance 1 ½ lengths or shorter
10/12 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
10/12 – Aged 5 or younger
10/12 – Had won over a mile before
9/12 – Had won 4 or more times before
9/12 – Priced 7/1 or less
8/12 – Had 3 or more runs that season
7/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/12 – Previous Group winners
7/12 – Had run at Goodwood before (3 CD winners)
6/12 – Ran at either Goodwood (3) or Newbury (3) last time out
4/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/12 – Won by a mare
2/12 – Won last time out
Lightning Spear (4/1) won the race in 2017

 

 

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