Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 26th Feb 2022

This weekend the ITV cameras head to Kempton, with their newly-sponsored Coral Trophy Handicap Chase their feature contest, while they are also at Lingfield for the Winter Derby and the Newcastle for their Eider Chase.

Here at GeeGeez we are on hand with all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races.

Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends (ITV)

1.50 – Coral Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

16/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 -  Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Had won no more than once over hurdles in the UK
13/17 – Winners that went onto run in the Triumph Hurdle (3 winners)
13/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
12/17 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
11/17– Won carrying either a 4lb or 7lb penalty
10/17 – Won last time out
9/17 – Winning favourites
7/17 – French bred
5/17 – Irish bred
5/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/17 – Trained by Alan King (won two of last 4 runnings)
4/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/17 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Triumph Hurdle
Zarkandar, Soldatino and Penzance went onto land that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

 

2.25 – Coral Pendil Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

14/16 – French (8) of Irish (6) bred
13/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
12/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/16 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/16 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
10/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (won 7 of the last 11)
9/16 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
8/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Winning favourites

 

 

3.00 – Sky Bet Dovecote Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

14/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
13/15 – Returned a single-figure price in the betting
13/15 – Had never raced over hurdles at Kempton before
12/15 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – French bred
4/15 – Trained by Alan King
4/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

 

3.37 – Coral Trophy Chase Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV

16/19 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
16/19 – Aged 9 or younger
16/19 – Rated 139 or higher
14/19 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
13/19 – Won a Class 2 chase or better before
13/19 – Carried 10-13 or more
13/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
12/19 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/19 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
11/19 – Rated between 139 and 150
10/19 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/19 – Carried 11-5 or more
8/19 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
7/19 – Won last time out
6/19 – Aged 8 years-old
5/19 – French bred
4/19 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
4/19 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/19 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner)
3/19 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
3/19 – Trained by Tom George
2/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/19 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/19 – Trained by Neil Mulholland (won 2 of the last 5)
2/19 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (won 2 of the last 5)
2/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs (won it 4 times in all)
2/19 – Ran in the King George VI Chase last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown Park

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ITV)

3.15 – Vertem Eider Handicap Chase Cl2 4m1f ITV

17/17 – Had won over at least 3m before
15/17 – Aged 10 or younger
14/17 – Carried 10-13 or more
14/17 – Priced 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/17 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
11/17 – Irish-bred
11/17 – Winners came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
11/17 – Officially rated between 131-140
11/17 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
9/17 – Placed favourites
5/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Won over 3m4f or further before
3/17 – Carried 11-12 in weight
2/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 10/1

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV)

1.30 – Betway Hever Sprint Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV

12/14 – Rated 96+
12/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had raced at Lingfield before
10/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/14 – Raced 6 weeks or longer ago
9/14 – Placed favs
8/14 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
4/14 – US bred
5/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Mare winners
3/14 – Trained by David Barron
0/14 – Winners from stall 1
Lord Riddiford won the race in 2021
Hareem Queen won the race in 2020
Royal Birth won the race in 2017

 

2.05 - Betway Winter Derby (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f ITV

17/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or shorter
16/19 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
15/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
15/19 – Had run at Lingfield previously
15/19 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
15/19 – Had raced at either Lingfield (11) or Kempton (4) last time out
13/19 – Winning distance – less than a length
13/19 – Drawn in stall 7 or less
13/19 – Came from the top 3 in the market
13/19 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
12/19 – Placed in their last race
12/19 – Won at Lingfield previously
11/19 – Won their last race
9/19 – Won at least 6 times previously
8/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of last 3 runnings)
3/19 – Trained by John Gosden (last 3 runnings)
2/19 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (2 of last 9)
2/19 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (2 of last 7)

Just 2 of the last 15 Winter Derby Trial winners have gone onto win the Winter Derby
The average winning SP in the 19 renewals is 11/2

 

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