Sat TV Trends: 26th Oct 2012

O BrienThe C4 cameras head to Doncaster, Newbury and Aintree this Saturday - Andy Newton's got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle.......Can Aidan O'Brien land an 8th Racing Post Trophy?
Doncaster (C4/ATR)

2.40 - Download The Racing Post Mobile App Handicap Cl2 1m4f CH4

10/11 – Had 3 or more runs that season
10/11 – Rated between 82 and 87
9/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/11 – Carried 9-3 or less
8/11 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or less
7/11 – Unplaced favourites
7/11 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/11 – Drawn in a single-figure stall
6/11 – Returned a double-figure price
6/11 – Unplaced last time out
6/11 – Aged 3 years-old
5/11 – Returned between 9/2 and 6/1 in the betting
4/11 – Had run at Doncaster before
2/11 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
1/11 – Won last time out
1/11 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10.7/1

3.15 - Bet Through The Racing Post Mobile App Handicap Cl2 5f CH4

10/10 – Aged 5 or younger
10/10 – Ran 5 or more times that season
9/10 – Had won over 5f before
7/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/10 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/10 – Carried 8-10 or less
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
6/10 – Had run at Doncaster before (4 won)
6/10 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
5/10 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Winners from stall 1
1/10 – Winning mare/filly
The average winning SP in the 9 years is 9.5/1

3.50 - Racing Post Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) CH4 1m

11/11 - Foaled in February or later
11/11 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/11 – Won either 1 or 2 races in the past
9/11 – Favourites placed
9/11 – Had run within the last month
9/11 – Placed in the top two in their last race
9/11 – Foaled in either Feb or March
8/11 – Favourites
7/11 – Won last time out
7/11 – Raced at least twice before
6/11 – Raced at either the Curragh (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
5/11 – Won by an Irish-based stable
4/11 – Won by a Montjeu colt
4/11 – Won by the Aidan O’Brien yard
3/10 – Winners that went onto win the Epsom Derby
1/11 – Winners that went onto win the 2,000 Guineas Five winners have won the following season’s Epsom Derby
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 7 times in the past – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011 & 2012

Newbury (C4/RUK)

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2.20- - Worthington´s Whizz Kids Stakes (Registered As The Horris Hill Stakes) (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f CH4

10/11 – Foaled in Feb or later
9/11 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Never raced at Newbury before
9/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/11 – Had won just 1 or 2 races before
8/11 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
7/11 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
7/11 – Foaled in February
6/11 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
6/11 – Had won over 7f before
6/11 – Won last time out
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
3/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/11 – Trained by Richard Hannon
1/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

2.55 - Worthington´s Champion Shield & Victoria Club Stakes (Registered As The St Simon Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y CH4

10/11 – Aged 5 or younger
10/11 – Had won at least twice before
10/11 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Had at least 4 runs that season
9/11 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
8/11 – Rated 107 or higher
8/11 – Placed favourites
8/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/11 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
7/11 – Placed horses from stall 6
6/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/11 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
4/11 – Won by a filly or mare
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
2/11 – Won last time out
0/11 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

3.30 - Bathwick Tyres Handicap Cl2 1m2f6y CH4

11/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/11 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
9/11 – Carried 9-0 or less
9/11 – Won just 2 or 3 times before
8/11 – Ran at either York (4), Ascot  (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
8/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
8/11 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
8/11 – Had at least 5 runs that season
5/11 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
4/11 – Ran at York last time out
2/11 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
1/11 – Won last time out
1/11 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2  

Aintree (C4/RUK)

3.30 - Betfred Monet´s Garden Old Roan Chase (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 2m4f

9/9 – Won over 2m4f before
8/9 – Last ran 6 months or more ago
8/9 – Having their first run of the season
7/9 – Raced at Aintree in the past
7/9 – Raced at either Aintree (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
6/9 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
6/9 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
6/9 – Won by an Irish bred horse
4/9 – Had won at Aintree in the past
4/9 – Had an official rating between 165 and 168
3/9 – Won by the Nicky Richards yard
2/9 – Favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

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