Sat TV Trends: 26th Sept 2015

The C4 cameras head to Newmarket for a top day of high-class action, including their Cambridgeshire Handicap, plus are also at Market Rasen – Andy Newton’s on hand with all the key trends.

Find those TV winners!

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

2.00 - Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m CH4

13/13 – Won one or two races before
12/13 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/13 – Won over 7f or further before
12/13 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
10/13  - Either US or Irish bred
10/13 – Raced within the last month
9/13 – Foaled in Feb or March
9/13 – Had only won over 7f
7/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Favourites
3/13 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/13 – Trained by John Gosden
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1
Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

2.35 - Connolly´s Red Mills Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f CH4

13/13 – Placed in the top two last time out
13/13 – Had won over 6f before
12/13 – Foaled in Feb or March
12/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
11/13 – Had 3 or more previous runs
11/13 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Won their last race
10/13 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
9/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Won exactly 2 previous races
7/13 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
7/13 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/13 – Favourites (1 joint)
4/13 – Winners drawn in stall 6
2/13 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas
2/13 – Trained by the Hannon yard
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

3.10 - Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f CH4

12/12 – Won over 6f
11/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/12 – Won last time out
10/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
10/12 – Had raced 3 or more times
10/12 – Won at least twice
10/12 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley)
8/12 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
8/12 – Foaled in either Feb or March
7/12 – Favourites placed
4/12 – Raced at Deauville last time out
3/12 – Won by an Irish-based stable
3/12 – Favourites
2/12 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
1/12 – Winners that came from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004 & 2011

3.50 - Betfred Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f CH4

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13/13 – Aged 6 or younger
12/13 – Won 3 or more times in their career
11/13 – Won over 1m2f
11/13 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
10/13 – Winners from a double-figure stall
10/13 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
9/13 – Placed 5th or better last time out
9/13 – Favourites unplaced
9/13 – Rated between 90-100
9/13 – Had 5 or more runs that season
8/13 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
7/13 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
5/13 – Raced at Newbury last time out
3/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Trained by John Gosden
1/13 – Won last time out
Bronze Angel won the race in 2012 & 2014
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 21/1

5.00 - British Stallion Studs EBF "Jersey Lily" Fillies´ Nursery Handicap Cl2 7f

11/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/11 – Won no more than twice
10/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Carried 8-8 or more in weight
9/11 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Won 1-2 times before
8/11 – Foaled in March
8/11 – Failed to win last time out
8/11 – Favourites unplaced
7/11 – Officially rated between 75-79
7/11 – Won over 7f before
4/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/11 – Favourites
2/11 – Trained by William Haggas
2/11 – Won by Godolphin
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/2

Market Rasen Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

2.15 - Racing Fx Prelude Hurdle Handicap Class 1 (Listed Race) Cl1 2m148y CH4

7/7 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
7/7 – Won over 2m previously
6/7 – Aged either 5 or 8 years-old
6/7 – Favourites unplaced
5/7 – Won between 2-4 times
4/7 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/7 – Unplaced in their last race
4/7 – Carried 10-10 or less in weight
4/7 – Had run at Market Rasen
3/7 – Rated 122-125 (inc)
3/7 – Aged 5 years-old
3/7 – Raced on the flat last time out
2/7 – Raced at Bangor last time out
2/7 – Aged 8 years-old
0/7 – Favourites

2.50 - Racing Fx Prelude Chase Handicap Class 1 (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f89y CH4

11/11 – Aged 9 or younger
11/11 – Won over at least 2m4f
10/11 – Won between 2 and 4 times over fences
8/11 – Placed 4th or better in their last race
8/11 – Ran within the last 10 weeks
8/11 – Carried 10-9 or more in weight
7/11 – Favourites unplaced
5/11 – Rated between 123 and 125
5/11 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
5/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/11 – Raced at Market Rasen
4/11 – Raced a Newton Abbot last time out
3/11 – Trained by Peter Bowen
0/11 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12.5/1

 

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