Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 27th April 2019

We've LIVE racing for  Bet365 Gold Cup day at Sandown Park this Saturday as the curtain comes down on another jumps season, while the ITV cameras are also heading to Leicester & Haydock for a couple more races

So, as always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RUK)

1.50 - bet365 Novices’ Championship Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m110y ITV

One previous running
Ballymoy (Nigel Twiston-Davies) 13/2 jfav won the race in 2018
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 29% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 29% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Alan King has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is 0 from 35 with his hurdlers at the track

2.25 - bet365 Oaksey Chase (Grade Two) (for The Menorah Challenge Trophy) Cl1 2m6f ITV

Just 5 previous running
Menorah (Owned by Diana Whateley) won the race in 2014, 2015, 2016 & 2017
5/5 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
5/5 – Officially rated 161-169 (inc)
4/5 – Irish bred
4/5 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
4/5 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/5 – Ran at Aintree last time out
Top Notch (4/5 fav) won the race in 2018
The average SP in the last 5 runnings is 11/4
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 24% record with his chasers at the track

3.00 - bet365 Celebration Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

16/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
13/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
12/16 – Had raced at Sandown (fences) before
11/16 – Rated 160 or higher
9/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/16 – Irish bred
6/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Winning favourite
4/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won it 5 times in all)
4/16 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/16 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/16 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville
2/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Ridden by Jamie Moore
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
Altior won the race in 2017 & 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1
Jockey Daryl Jacob has a 31% record riding over fences at the track

3.35 - bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV

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16/16 – Had raced in the last 56 days
15/16 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
13/16 – Carried 11-0 or less
13/16 – Had won over 3m or further before
12/16 – Aged 9 or younger
11/16 - Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Had raced in the last 25 days
9/16 – Officially rated 140 or higher
9/16 – Came from the top 7 in the betting market
8/16 – Finished 4th or worse last time out
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Ran in the Aintree Grand National last time out
2/16 – Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
2/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/16 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
0/16 – Winning favourites
Step Back (7/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 14/1

Other Key Bet365 Gold Cup Facts

The last winning favourite was Beau in 2000
Just one 6 year-old winner since 1959
23 of the last 28 (82%) winners carried less than 11st
8 year-olds have won 6 of the last 15 runnings (40%)
12 of the last 16 (75%) winners were aged 7, 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times


HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Old Boston Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 5 or younger
5/6 – Carried between 8-7 and 9-5 in weight
5/6 – Came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
5/6 – Won over 7f in the past
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
4/6 – Irish bred
3/6 – Rated between 96-100 (inc)
3/6 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/6 – Winning favourites
Safe Voyage (14/1) win the race in 2018
Trainer William Haggas has won race in 2016 and 2017
Trainer Richard Hannon won the race in 2015
Trainer Roger Fell has a 22% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track

LEICESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RUK)

2.45 – EBF Stallions King Richard III Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 7f ITV

10/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Winners from stalls 2-5 (inc)
8/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Won at least twice in the past
8/10 – Had won over 7f in the past
8/10 – Irish bred winners
7/10 – Last ran 2+ months ago
7/10 – Officially rated 107 or higher
7/10 – Didn’t win last time out
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Hugo Palmer
2/10 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
Emmaus (9/4 fav) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 3/1
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has a 31% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

 

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