Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 27th Feb 2016

The C4 cameras head to Kempton Park this weekend, with their BetBright Chase the feature contest, while they are also at Lingfield Park for the Winter Derby and up at Newcastle for their Eider Chase.

As always we’ve got all the key trends and stats for the LIVE C4 races to help you narrow down the runners – we hope they help!

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Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

2.00 - BetBright #realfansonly Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m CH4

12/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 -  Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/12 – Placed favourites
10/12 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
10/12 – Had won no more than once over hurdles in the UK
9/12 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
9/12 – Winners that went onto run in the Triumph Hurdle (3 winners)
8/12– Won carrying either a 4lb or 7lb penalty
7/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Winning favourites
5/12 – French bred
3/12 – Irish bred
3/12 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Triumph Hurdle
3/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 – Trained by Alan King
Zarkandar, Soldatino and Penzance went onto land that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

2.35 - BetBright Best For Festival Betting Pendil Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f110y CH4

10/11 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/11 – French (7) of Irish (3) bred
9/11 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/11 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
8/11 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
8/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
7/11 – Won last time out
6/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/8

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3.05 – Sky Bet Dovecote Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m CH4

9/10 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
9/10 – Had never raced over hurdles at Kempton before
9/10 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
8/10 – Placed favourites
8/10 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
7/10 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
7/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/10 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – French bred
4/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Trained by Alan King
3/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/10 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

3.35 - BetBright Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m CH4

12/13 – Rated 140 or higher
11/13 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
10/13 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
10/13 – Carried 10-13 or more
10/13 – Won a class 2 chase or better before
10/13 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/13 – Aged 9 or younger
9/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
9/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/13 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
8/13 – Rated between 140 and 150
7/13 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
7/13 – Won last time out
7/13 – Carried 11-5 or more
5/13 – Aged 8 years-old
5/13 – French bred
4/13 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
3/13 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/13 – Ridden by Richard Johnson (won it 5 times in all)
2/13 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/13 – Trained by Tom George
2/13 – Trained by Philip Hobbs (won it 4 times in all)
2/13 – Ran in the King George VI Chase last time out
1/13 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner)
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 9/1
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown Park

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/C4)

2.20 – Betfred "Still Treble Odds On Lucky 15´s" Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m CH4

8/8 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
7/8 – Unplaced last time out
7/8 – Rated 120 or higher
7/8 – Had won at least twice over hurdles before
6/8 – Aged 7 or older
6/8 – Had raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
5/8 – Carried 11-0 or more
5/8 – Irish bred
4/8 – Placed favourites
4/8 – Ran at Musselburgh last time out
3/8 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
2/8 Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 7/1

2.50 - Betfred Eider (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 4m1f CH4

12/12 – Had won over at least 3m before
11/12 – Aged 10 or younger
10/12 – Carried 11-0 or more
9/12 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
9/12 – Irish-bred
8/12 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/12 – Officially rated between 131-139
8/12 – Winners came from the top 3 in the betting
7/12 – Placed favourites
7/12 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
4/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Won over 3m4f or further before
3/12 – Carried 11-12 in weight
2/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 10/1

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ATR/C4)

1.45 – Unibet Hever Sprint Stakes (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y CH4

8/9 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/9 – Rated 96+
7/9 – Raced 6 weeks or longer ago
7/9 – Placed favs
7/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/9 – Had raced at Lingfield before
5/9 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
4/9 – US bred
4/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Mare winners
3/9 – Trained by David Barron
0/9 – Winners from stall 1

3.20 - Coral Winter Derby (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f CH4

13/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or shorter
11/13 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
10/13 – Had run at Lingfield previously
10/13 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
10/13 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
10/13 – Had raced at either Lingfield (6) or Kempton (4) last time out
10/13 – Winning distance – less than a length
9/13 – Placed in their last race
9/13 – Drawn in stall 7 or less
8/13 – Won at Lingfield previously
8/13 – Came from the top 3 in the market
8/13 – Won their last race
8/13 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
7/13 – Won at least 6 times previously
6/13 – Favourites to win
The average winning SP in the 13 renewals is 6/1

 

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