Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 27th July 2019

Another big Saturday of horse racing action with the ITV cameras heading to Ascot for four races that include the Group One King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes, while they are also at York to take in three more contests that include the Skybet Dash.

As always, we’ve got is all covered with all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle.

 

Saturday 27th July 2019

 

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.50 – Princess Margaret Keenland Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

14/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Had won just once before
13/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
11/16 – Won over 6f before
10/16 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/16 – Winning favourite
7/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Won by the Hannon yard
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
7 of the last 13 winners were Irish bred
9 of the last 13 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 7 winners came from stall 1
Angel’s Hideaway (11/4) won the race 12 months ago

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

 

2.25 – Porsche Handicap Cl2 1m ITV

Only 8 previous runnings
7/8 – Carried 8-8 or more
6/8 – Winners between stalls 9-15
5/8 – Had won just once before
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
4/8 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/8 – Returned 10/1 or bigger in the betting
3/8 – Won last time out
3/8 – Irish bred
2/8 – Ridden by William Buick
2/8 – Winning favourite
Sunny Speed (9/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago

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Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2016
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
Trainer Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012

 

3.00 – Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

16/16 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
16/16 – Had raced at Ascot previously
15/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Won over 7f previously
13/16 – Favourites unplaced
12/16 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
12/16 – Won between 2-4 times previously
11/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/16 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
10/16 – Aged 4 years-old
10/16 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
7/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Won their last race
4/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/16 – Ridden by Jimmy Quinn
1/16 – Winning favourites
Burnt Sugar (20/1) won the race in 2018
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 9 years
10 of the last 12 winners ran at either Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
9 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall
8 of the last 12 winners finished in the top 5 last time out

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

 

3.40 – King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

17/17 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
16/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/17 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
15/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
14/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Placed last time out
13/17 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/17 – aged 4 years-old
10/17 – Had run Ascot before
10/17 – Won their previous race
8/17 – Favourites that won
8/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
6/17 – Won at Ascot before
4/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004 and 2017
2 of the last 5 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Galileo (2001) was the last horse to do the Derby/King George double
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 7/2

 

YORK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Skybet 'Get Knotted' Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

11/11 – Carried 9-3 or more
10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/11 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Had won over 7f before
9/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/11 – Had won at York before
5/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
4/11 – Returned 4/1 in the betting
4/11 – Rated between 73 and 80
3/11 – Trained by Michael Dods
2/11 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/11 – Won by the David O’Meara yard
1/11 – Won last time out
Get Knotted (11/2) won the race in 2016, 2017 & 2018

2.40 – Sky Bet Dash (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

15/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/15 – Had won between 2-6 times before
13/15 – Carried 8-12 or more
13/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Aged 5 or younger
12/15 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/15 – Had run at York before
6/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/15 – Won last time out
8 of the last 13 winners carried 9-0 or more
Flying Pursuit won the race in 2017 and 2018

3.15 – Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

12/13 – Aged 6 or younger
12/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
11/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/13 – Had won over 1m2f before
10/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/13 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/13 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
8/13 – Rated between 112 and 117
7/13 – Had run at York before
6/13 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Aged 6 years-old
2/13 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Thundering Blue (5/1) won the race 12 months ago

 

 

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