Sat TV Trends: 28th Jan 2012

Did you know that the last eight Sky Bet Chase winners ALL carried 11-2 or less? Andy Newton is on hand with all the trends that matter ahead of this weekend's LIVE C4 action.

 

 

CHELTENHAM (RUK & C4)

2.05 - Murphy Group Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (5yo+) CH4 Good To Soft 2m5f

8 of the last 9 winners were aged either 8 or 9 years-old
NO winner aged younger than 8 in the 9 runnings
6 of the last 9 carried 10-7 or LESS
2 winning favourites in the last 9 years
8 of the last 9 returned 9/1 or SHORTER in the betting
7 of the last 9 finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5 of the last 9 ran at Cheltenham last time out
4 of the last 9 had previously won at Cheltenham
8 of the last 9 had won over this trip or further before
The Pipe team won this in 2003 & 2007 – TAMARINBLEU
Tom George is just 1 from 24 with his chasers here - TARTAK
Colin Tizzard has a £51 level stakes profit with his chasers at the track – HELL’S BAY
Ruby Walsh is 19 from 102 (19%) when riding over fences here - AERIAL

2.35 - Argento Chase (Registered As The Cotswold Steeple Chase) Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (5yo+) CH4 Good To Soft 3m1f110y

Your first 30 days for just £1

No winning favourite in the last 9 years
2 of the last 4 returned a double figure price
Paul Nicholls has won the last two runnings -
3 of the last 4 were aged 10 years-old
Looks Like Trouble (2000) and Master Oats (1995) went onto win the Gold Cup that same season
6 of the last 9 had previously won at Cheltenham
6 of the last 9 were yet to win over this trip or further
5 of the last 9 finished unplaced in their previous race
Paul Nicholls won this in 2010 & 2011 – TIDAL BAY
Nigel Twiston-Davies won this in 2008 – LITTLE JOSH
Ruby Walsh is 19 from 102 (19%) when riding over fences here – TIDAL BAY
Dougie Costello is 5 from 17 (29%) when riding over fences here – MIDNIGHT CHASE
Paul Webber is 3 from 13 (23%) with his chasers here – TIME FOR RUPERT
Neil Mullolland is 5 from 9 (56%) with his chasers at the track – MIDNIGHT CHASE

3.10 - Neptune Investment Management Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As Classic Novices´ Hurdle Race) Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 Good To Soft 2m4f110y

6 previous runnings
3 of the last 6 went to the favourite
The last 5 winners returned 7/2 or SHORTER in the betting
All 6 winners were aged either 5 or 6 years-old
4 of the last 6 were aged 6 years-old
Nicky Henderson won the race in 2008 & 2011 - BROADBACKBOB
2 of the last 6 went onto win a race at the Cheltenham Festival that same season
4 of the 6 had previous won over this trip or further
2 of the last 3 had previous winning form at Cheltenham
David Pipe is only 11 from 152 with his hurdlers at the track – CATCH TAMMY
Martin Keighley is 5 from 24 (21%) with his hurdles at the course – HARD TO SHALLOW
Ruby Walsh is 33 from 119 (28%, +£53) when riding over hurdles here - POLISKY
Dougie Costello is 0 from 21 when riding over hurdles here – HAWK MOUNTAIN
Andrew Tinkler is 0 from 21 when riding over hurdles here - BROADBACKBOB
Wayne Hutchinson is only 1 from 40 when riding over hurdles here - BATONNIER
Jason Maguire is just 2 from 50 when riding over hurdles at Cheltenham - BOWNTOBEBAD

 

3.40 - Rewards4Racing Cleeve Hurdle Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (5yo+) CH4 Good To Soft 3m

3 of the last 7 returned at double-figure prices
2 winning favourites in the last 7 years
BIG BUCK’S won this race in 2009
2 of the last 4 went to a 9 year-old
2 of the last 7 went onto win a race at the Festival that same season
3 of the last 4 won their previous race
5 of the last 7 were previous course winners at Cheltenham
3 of the last 4 had won at least over this trip before
David Pipe won this 12 months ago – DYNASTE
Ruby Walsh is 33 from 119 (28%, +£53) when riding over hurdles here – BIG BUCK’S
Willie Mullins is 10 from 48 (21%) with his hurdles here - MOURAD
Jason Maguire is just 2 from 50 when riding over hurdles at Cheltenham – ACROSS THE BAY

 

DONCASTER (ATR & C4)

2.50 -
Sky Bet Chase (Handicap) (Listed Race) (formerly the Great Yorkshire Chase) (CLASS 1) (5yo+ 0-155) Winner £42,713 CH4 Good To Soft 3m

2 of the last 8 went to the favourite
7 of the last 8 were aged 9 or YOUNGER
All 8 recent winners carried 11-2 OR LESS
7 of the last 8 returned 9/1 or SHORTER in the betting
7 of the last 8 had previously won over this trip or further
5 of the last 8 ran at either Cheltenham or Chepstow last time out
2 of the last 8 were previous course winners at Doncaster
The Pipe team won this in 2003 & 2008 – I’MSINGINGTHEBLUES
Paul Nicholls won this 12 months ago – AITEEN THIRTYTHREE
Nicky Henderson is 6 from 20 (30%) with his chasers here – OSRIC & SHAKALAKABOOMBOOM
Paul Nicholls is 7 from 25 (28%) with his chasers at the track - AITEEN THIRTYTHREE
Malcolm Jefferson is just 1 from 20 with his chasers at the course – CAPE TRIBULATION
David Bass is 2 from 3 (67%) when riding over fences here - OSRIC
AP McCoy is 2 from 4 (50%) when riding over fences at the course – GALAXY ROCK
Jack Doyle is 2 from 5 when riding over fences here – QIANSHAN LEADER

Note: The 2006 & 2007 renewals were run at Southwell

3.25 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The River Don Novices´ Hurdle Race) Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 Good To Soft 3m110y

6 previous runnings
50% went to the favourite
ALL 6 returned 8/1 or SHORTER in the betting
4 of the 6 winners were aged either 6 or 7 years-old
All 6 finished either 1st or 2nd last time out
Only 1 had won over this trip or further previously
None had won at the track before
Nigel Twiston-Davies won this in 2008 – SAME DIFFERENCE
Paul Nicholls is 4 from 17 (24%) with his hurdlers here – ROCKY CREEK
Brian Hughes is just 2 from 40 when riding over hurdles here – SAME DIFFERENCE
Sam Thomas is only 1 from 20 when riding over hurdles here - LOVCEN
Jack Doyle is 2 from 5 when riding over hurdles at the track - GULLINBURSTI

Click on a race title to compare all the best price odds

Your first 30 days for just £1