Sat TV Trends: 28th March 2015

It’s the start of the turf flat season at Doncaster this Saturday with the Betway Lincoln Handicap the traditional curtain-raiser. The C4 cameras head there and are also at Kempton.


DONCASTER (ATR/C4)


2.00 – Betway Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m CH4

Just 2 previous running
No winning favourites
Both winners priced 5/1 or shorter
Aged 5 or 6 years-old
Penitent won the race in 2012
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 2 from 64 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Marco Botti is just 2 from 25 with his older horses at the track
Jockey Jimmy Fortune is just 1 from 28 riding older horses here
Jockey Paul Mulrennan is just 2 from 72 riding older horses here

2.35 - Betway Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

11/11 – Aged 7 or younger
10/11 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/11 – Winning distance – less than a length
9/11 – Won no more than 5 times previously
9/11 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
9/11 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/11 – Ran at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
9/11 – Priced 14/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Won over 6f previously
7/11 – Last raced 4 months or longer ago
7/11 – Officially Rated 102+
6/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/11 – Favourites unplaced
6/11 – Had ran at Doncaster previously
2/11 – Favourites
2/11 – Won their last race
1/11 – Won at Doncaster previously
Dinkum Diamond won the race 12 months ago
Jack Dexter won this in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/1

Note: The 2007 running was staged at Newcastle
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Redcar

3.10 - Betway Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

11/13 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
10/13 – Aged 4 years-old
10/13 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
10/13 – Placed fourth or worse last time out
9/13 – Won over a mile previously
8/13 – Won from a double-figure draw
2/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Won their last race
1/13 – Won a race at Doncaster previously
0/13 – Winners from stalls 3-8
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15.5/1
Just 1 winner aged older than 6 years-old in the last 13 years

3.45 - Betway Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

12/12 – Aged 6 or younger
11/12 – Won between 2-4 times previously
11/12 – Had won over at least 1m previously
11/12 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
9/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
8/12 – Having their first run of the season
8/12 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
8/12 – Favourites unplaced
7/12 – Officially rated between 95-98
7/12 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
6/12 – Aged 4 years-old
6/12 – Finished first or second last time out
6/12 – Ran at either Newmarket (3) or Lingfield (2) last time out
6/12 – Ran at Doncaster before
5/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
4/12  - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
4/12 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
4/12 – Won their last race
3/12 – Favourites
2/12 – Ridden by Johnny Murtagh
2/12 – Trained by Mark Tompkins
2/12 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 12 runnings is 14/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

KEMPTON (RUK/C4)

2.15 - 888Sport Magnolia Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f CH4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged 6 or younger
8/9 – Won over 1m2f previously
7/9 – Unplaced in their last race
7/9 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/9 – Drawn in stall 1-4
7/9 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/9 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
4/9 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
4/9 – Favourites unplaced
4/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Favourites
3/9 – Had won at Kempton previously
2/9 – Trained by William Haggas
2/9 – Trained by John Gosden
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 4/1

2.50 - 888Sport.com Rosebery Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Cl2 1m3f CH4

12/12 – Won over at least 1m1f previously
11/12 – Won between 2-4 times previously
9/12 – Rated between 89 and 99
9/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
8/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
8/12 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
7/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/12 – Favourites unplaced
6/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/12 – Aged 4 years-old
4/12 – Won their last race
3/12 – Raced at Lingfield last time out
2/12 - Trained by Mark Johnston
1/12 – Favourites
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

3.25 - 888Sport Handicap Cl2 6f CH4

Just 3 previous runnings
All 3 winners aged 4 or 5 years-old
2 of the 3 winners were aged 4 years-old
All 3 winners carried 9-0 or more
All 3 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
James Fanshawe has a 33% record with his older horses here
Mick Channon is just 1 from 33 with his older horses here
Jnae Chapple-Hyam is just 5 form 104 with her older horses here
Jamie Osborne is just 4 from 71 with his older horses here

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"Mawaqeet - Bottom weight and again ridden by Killian Moore who takes 3lbs off. Having just his second start for me today he didn't go on the ground on his last run at Warwick where he got bogged down. He has ability and has some decent flat form as well as a win over hurdles and we expect better today. Not without an each way chance at a big price."
Mick Appleby

21/03/15 1st 12/1

"Jean Fleming continues to be so consistent.  She has never been out of the first three.  Her run at Ffos Las was good and if she doesn't find the ground too quick then she's a decent chance of getting her head in front again."
Jamie Snowden

21/03/15 1st 9/4

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