Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 28th May 2016

The C4 cameras head to Haydock and Chester this Saturday for seven races – As always Andy Newton’s got them all covered from a trends & stats angle!

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Haydock Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

 

2.00 - Free Bet at 188Bet Handicap Cl3 1m CH4

10/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Won between 1-4 times before
9/10 – Aged 6 or younger
9/10 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/10 – Rated between 82-90
8/10 – Unplaced favourites
7/10 – Had raced at Haydock before (4 won)
7/10 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/10 – Placed horses from stall 10
6/10 – Irish bred winners
3/10 – Winners from stall 10 (3 of last 5)
1/10 – Winning favourite
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2


2.35 - 188Bet.co.uk Stakes (Registered as The Pinnacle Stakes) (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m3f200y CH4

13/13 – Had won over at least 10f before
11/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/13 – Aged 4 years-old
10/13 – Rated 92 or higher
9/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/13 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
8/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/13 – Had run at Haydock before
4/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Ridden by Neil Callan
2/13 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1
Miss Marjurie won the race 12 months ago


3.10 - Timeform Jury Stakes (Registered As The John of Gaunt Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 7f CH4

13/13 – Rated 107 or higher
12/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/13 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
11/13 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Had won over 7f before
10/13 – Came from the top three in the betting
9/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
8/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Had won at least 4 times before
4/13 – Had run at the track before
3/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Aged 9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1


3.45 - 188Bet Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f CH4

12/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Had won between 1-3 times before
11/12 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Had won over 6f before
10/12 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/12 – From stall 5 or higher
7/12 – Winning favourites
6/12 – Came from stall 8 or 9
3/12 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/12 – Raced at York last time
2/12 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 3/1
William Haggas won the race in 2009 and 2015


Chester Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


2.15 – Betway Fillies´ Handicap Cl3 6f18y CH4

1 previous running
Trainer David Elsworth is 1-from-1 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 22% record at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 1 from 20 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey David Probert has a 21% record riding 3 year-olds here
Jockey Silvestre de Sousa has a 22% record riding 3 year-olds here
Jockey Shane Gray has a 22% record riding 3 year-olds here

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2.50 – Betway Handicap Cl2 7f122y CH4

1 previous running
Richard Fahey trained the winner in 2015
Trainer John Ryan has a 75% record with his older runners at the track
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has a 21% record with his runners at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 28% record with his runners at the track
Trainer Mick Appleby has a 33% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 2 from 38 with his older horses at the track


3.25 - Champions League Final Betting At Betway Handicap Cl3 1m5f89y CH4

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Won between 1-3 times (flat) before
5/6 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
5/6 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
5/6 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 – Had raced at Chester before
4/6 – Unplaced last time out
4/6 – Unplaced favourites
4/6 – Raced in the last 2 weeks
4/6 – Rated between 76-83
4/6 – Horses from stall 8 that finished second
3/6 – Raced at York last time out
2/6 – Trained by John Quinn
0/6 winning favourites
0/6 – Placed horses from stall 1
Trendsetter (John Quinn) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 8/1

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Carrigkerry - Won nicely for us last week on his stable and handicap debut. Has come out of that race well and has every chance of going in again under a penalty as he's still 3lb well-in. Yes, this looks a harder race but he's in-form and with a bit of improvement should be going close."
Jamie Snowden 24/05/16 1st 5/2

"Baadi - We are very much on 'weather-watch' with Baadi as he doesn't want the ground too quick. He is in great form though and desperate for a race so hopefully he will go close if allowed to take his chance."
Charlie Fellowes 23/05/16 1st 5/2

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