Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 28th Oct 2017

Bundles going on this Saturday with something for everyone as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster & Newbury for some decent flat action, plus they are also over the jumps for the first time this season at Cheltenham – As always we got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle…….Can leading Irish handler Aidan O’Brien, who’s already had a cracking season, land yet another Racing Post Trophy and his 26th Group One of the year?

 

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.45 – Bet Through The Racing Post App Doncaster Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

10/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
9/10 – Foaled in February or later
9/10 – Had won over 6f before
9/10 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
7/10 – Carried 9-1 in weight
7/10 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
7/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
6/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
5/10 – March-born foals
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
Trainer Marco Botti has a 21% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charles Hills is just 4 from 43 (9%) with his 2 year-olds at the track

 

3.25 – Racing Post Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) ITV 1m

15/15 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
13/15 - Foaled in February or later
13/15 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
13/15 – Placed favourites
12/15 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/15 – Raced with the last month
10/15 – Winning favourites
10/15 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/15 – Had raced at least twice previously
10/15 – Won their last race
9/15 – Ran at either the Curragh (3) or Newmarket (6) last time out
5/15 – Won by an Irish-based yard
4/15 – Won by a Montjeu-bred colt
4/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/15 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
3/15 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
1/15 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
1/15 – Went onto win the St Leger
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 7 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011 & 2012
The average SP in the last 15 runnings is 7/1
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 25% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 25% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Aidan O’Brien is just 1 from 18 with his 2 year-olds at the track

 

4.00 – Sun Bets Responsible Betting Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

13/13 – Ran 5 or more times that season
12/13 – Had won over 5f before
12/13 – Aged 5 or younger
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
8/13 – Carried 8-10 or less
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Had run at Doncaster before (4 won)
5/13 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
5/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Winners from stall 1
1/13 – Winning mare/filly
7 of the last 10 winners came from a double-figure stall
Soie D’Leau won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the 10 years is 11.5/1

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.15 - Worthington´s “Indigo Leisure Stakes” (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
14/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
13/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Had won at least twice before
12/15 – Had at least 4 runs that season
12/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
9/15 – Rated 107 or higher
9/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
9/15 – Placed horses from stall 6
7/15 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/15 – Won by a filly or mare
6/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding
0/15 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

2.50 – Bathwick Tyres Stakes (Registered As The Horris Hill Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV4

13/14 – Foaled in Feb or later
11/14 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Never raced at Newbury
11/14 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
10/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
10/14 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
9/14 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
8/14 – Won over 7f before
7/14 – Foaled in February
7/14 – Won their last race
7/14 – Favourites unplaced
6/14 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
4/14 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
4/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
1/14 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends ITV/RUK)

 

2.00 – Randoxhealth.com Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV

10/10 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting market
9/10 – Won over at least 3m previously
8/10 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/10 – Favourites unplaced
8/10 – Rated 136 or higher
8/10 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
8/10 – First run of the season
7/10 – Irish bred winners
6/10 – Had won at Cheltenham previously
5/10 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
5/10 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/10 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
5/10 – Unplaced in their last race
1/10 – Winning Favourites
Coologue (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

 

Your first 30 days for just £1

2.35 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

7/8 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
5/8 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Carried 10-12 in weight
4/8 – Irish bred winners
4/8 – Favourites placed
4/8 – Placed in their last race
3/8 – Winning favourites
3/8 – Won 3 times over hurdles previously
2/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average SP in the last 8 runnings is 5/1

3.10 – Randox Health Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f199y ITV

Only 2 previous runnings
Fox Norton won the race in 2017 for trainer Neil Mulholland
Boondooma won the race in 2016 for trainer Dr Richard Newland
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a +£19 level stakes profit with his chasers at the track
Trainer Jessie Harrington is 3 from 11 (27%) with her chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is only 1 from 27 with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams is only 3 from 83 with her chasers at the track
Trainer Henry De Bromhead is only 2 from 43 with her chasers at the track

 

3.45 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV

 

7/8 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/8 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
7/8 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
6/8 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
6/8 – Had run at Cheltenham before (2 winners)
5/8 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
4/8 – Won last time out
3/8 – Irish Bred
2/8 – Mare winners
2/8 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
1/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 10/1

 

 

 

Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

 

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 20 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

GET INVOLVED

Your first 30 days for just £1
0 replies

Leave a Reply

Want to join the discussion?
Feel free to contribute!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *