Sat TV Trends – 28th Sept 2013

NewmarketBetting

It's Cambridgeshire Day at HQ!

The C4 cameras head to Newmarket, Haydock and Market Rasen this Saturday - As always Andy Newton's on hand with all the key trends and stats......
Newmarket (C4/RUK)

2.00 - Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m CH4

11/11 – Had won one or two races before
10/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/11 – Had won over 7f or further before
10/11 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
9/11 – Foaled in Feb or March
9/11 – Had run within the last month
5/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by John Gosden
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)


2.35 - Connolly´s Red Mills Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f CH4

11/11 – Finished in the top two last time out
11/11 – Had won over 6f before
10/11 – Foaled in Feb or March
10/11 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
9/11 – Had 3 or more previous runs
9/11 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Won last time out
8/11 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
7/11 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
7/11 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
7/11 – Placed favourites
6/11 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
4/11 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/11 – Winners drawn in stall 6
2/11 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2


3.10 - Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m CH4

9/11 – Finished 3rd or better last time out
9/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/11 – Had won 3 or more times before
8/11 – Previous Group race winners
8/11 – Had won over 1m or further before
7/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
6/11 – Aged 3 years-old
7/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/11 – Returned 7/1 or bigger in the betting
6/11 – Won by a French (4) or Irish (2) trained horse
4/11 – Had won a Group 1 before
3/11 – Ran at Leopardstown last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1


3.50 - Betfred Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f CH4

11/11 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
10/11 – Won 3 or more times before
9/11 – Had won over 1m2f previously
9/11 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
9/11 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
9/11 – Came from a double-figure draw
8/11 – Officially rated between 90-100
8/11 – Favourites unplaced
7/11 – Winners that returned a double (or treble) figure price in the market
7/11 – Placed 5th or better in their last race
7/11 – Raced 5 or more times that season
6/11 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
5/11 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/11 – Trained by John Gosden
2/11 – Favourites that won
1/11 – Won their last race
Since 1977 there have been just 7 winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 24/1
Luca Cumani trained the winner in 1982 & 1986
Sir Mark Prescott trained the winner in 1988 & 1997


Market Rasen (C4/RUK)

2.15 - Bet totescoop6 At totepool.com Hurdle (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f CH4

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5/5 – Aged either 5 or 8 years-old
5/5 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
5/5 – Had won over 2m1f before
4/5 – Had won between 2-4 times before
4/5 – Unplaced favourites
4/5 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/5 – Aged 5 years-old
3/5 – Ran on the flat last time out
3/5 – Had raced at Market Rasen before
3/5 – Unplaced last time out
3/5 – Carried 10-10 or less
3/5 – Rated 122-125 (inc)
2/5 – Ran at Bangor last time out
2/5 – Aged 8 years-old
0/5 – Winning favourites

2.50 - totepool Home of King Size Pools Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m6f110y CH4

9/9 – Aged 9 or younger
9/9 – Had won between 2 and 4 times over fences
9/9 – Had won over at least 2m4f before
8/9 – Finished 4th or better in their last race
7/9 – Had raced within the last 10 weeks
6/9 – Carried 10-12 or more
6/9 – Unplaced favourites
5/9 – Rated between 123 and 125
5/9 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
4/9 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/9 – Had run at Market Rasen before
4/9 – Ran a Newton Abbot last time out
3/9 – Trained by Peter Bowen
0/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 11/1


Haydock (C4/RUK)

3.30 - Betfair Supports Racing Welfare Handicap Cl2 5f CH4

10/10 – Previous winners over 5f
9/10 – Carried 9-4 or less
9/10 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
9/10 – Had run at Haydock before (4 won)
8/10 – Had 5 or more runs that season
8/10 – Aged 4 or older
8/10 – Rated 88 or higher
7/10 – Had won 4 or more times before
8/10 – Priced 7/1 or bigger in the betting
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
3/10 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites
1/10 – Mare winner
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 8.6/1

 

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