Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 2nd Jan 2016

Another MASSIVE day for the C4 horse racing cameras as they move to Ayr, Chelmsford and Sandown for more LIVE coverage.

Like every Saturday horse racing trends expert Andy Newton takes you through all the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and hopefully find a few winners.

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1.50 – 32Red Casino Handicap Chase Cl2 2m CH4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Won over at least 2m (chase) previously
7/9 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/9 – Ran within the last 2 months
8/9 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
7/9 – Never raced at Sandown
8/9 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
7/9 – Irish bred
7/9 – Officially rated 135 or higher
7/9 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
7/9 – Favourite placed
7/9 – From the top 3 in the betting
6/9 – Won between 1-4 times over fences in the UK previously
4/9 – Unplaced last time out
5/9 – Favourites
5/9 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
4/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/9 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/9 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/9 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Champion Chase, Grand Annual)
3/9 – Won their last race

2.25 – 32Red Tolworth Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y CH4

11/11 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
11/11 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
10/11 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Priced  5/1 or shorter
9/11 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
9/11 – Came from the top three in the market
9/11 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
8/11 – Won last time out
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
6/11 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
6/11 – Won by an Irish bred horse
4/11 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
5/11 – Favourites
4/11 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
2/11 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
3/11 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
2/11 – Ran at Sandown before
3/11 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
2/11 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
1/11 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Noland 2006)
5 or 6 years-old have won 17 of the last 23 runnings
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger

Note: 2002 – Running staged at Warwick
2003 – Running staged at Wincanton

3.00 - 32RedSport.com Veterans´ Handicap Chase Final (The Final of The 2015 Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m37y CH4

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No previous runnings
Fergal O’Brien has a 50% record (2 from 4) with his chasers here
Charlie Mann has a +£34 level stakes profit with his chasers here
Colin Tizzard is just 2 from 22 with his chasers here
Nigel Twiston-Davies is 0 from 23 with his chasers here

3.35 –32Red Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y CH4

9/10 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
9/10 – Won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) previously
9/10 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/10 – Unplaced last time out
8/10 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
7/10 – Placed in the top three last time out
7/10 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
6/10 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/10 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
5/10 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
5/10 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
4/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Raced at either Ascot (2) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
4/10 – From the top 3 in the betting
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/10 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/10 – Trained by Venetia Williams
0/10 – Favourites

Note: 2002 & 2003 runnings were staged at Ascot

Ayr Horse Racing Betting Trends (C4/RUK)

2.05 - 32Red £10 Free Handicap Chase Cl3 3m67y CH4

No previous runnings
Nicky Richard has a 29% record with his chasers at the track
Martin Todhunter has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
Malcolm Jefferson is just 1 from 18 with his chasers at the track
Brian Harding has a 23% record when riding over fences here
Craig Nichol is just 1 from 22 riding over fences here
2.40 - 32Red Casino Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m5f91y CH4

Donald McCain has a 26% record with his hurdlers here
John Quinn has a 40% record with his hurdlers here
Nicky Richards has a 21% record with his hurdlers here
Donald Whillans has a 25% record with his hurdlers here
S R B Crawford is just 4 from 43 with his hurdlers here
R Mike Smith is 0 from 22 with his hurdlers here

Chelmsford Horse Racing Betting Trends (C4/ATR)

3.20 - Scoop6Soccer £1 Million Football Bet Handicap Cl2 1m5f66y CH4

No previous runnings
Alan King is 2 from 5 with his runners at the track
Dave Evans is only 1 from 20 5% with his runners at the track
Oisin Murphy has a 20% record riding older horses at the track
Fergus Sweeney has a 22% record riding older horses at the track
Andrew Mullins is just 3 from 33 riding older horses here

 

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