Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 2nd July 2022

The ITV cameras head to Sandown and Haydock on Saturday 2nd July with the Coral-Eclipse, plus the Lancashire Oaks and Old Newton Cup the clear highlights – as always, here at Geegeez we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 - Coral Charge (Registered as The Sprint Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 5f6y ITV

19/20 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
18/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Favourites placed
15/20 – Had won at least 3 times before
14/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/20 – Winning favourites
7/20 – Had won at Sandown before
6/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Ran at Ascot last time out
10 of the last 16 winners were Irish bred
12 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)

 

2.25 – Coral Challenge (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

19/20 – Aged 6 or younger
18/20 – Carried 8-8 or more
18/20 – Previous winners over 1m (or further)
17/20 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
16/20 – Didn’t win their previous race
14/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Aged 4 years-old
11/20 – Had run at Sandown before
9/20 – Ran at either York (2) or Ascot (7) last time out
8/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/20 - Trained by William Haggas (won 2 of the last 3 runnings)
12 of the last 16 winners came from stall 8 or lower

3.00 – Coral Distaff (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m14y ITV

17/18 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
17/18 – Had never run at Sandown before
15/18 – Had won over 7f or further before
15/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/18 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/18 – Favourites that finished in the top three
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 - Trained by William Haggas (2 of last 3)
2/18 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 6)
The last 15 winners came from stalls 3-9 (inc)
9 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 3,4,5 or 6

3.35 – Coral-Eclipse (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

Eclipse Stakes Betting Trends

20/20 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
16/20 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
16/20 – Won by a previous Group One winner
16/20 – Placed favourites
15/20 – Placed in their last race
14/20 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
11/20 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (three won there)
10/20 – Favourites that won
6/20 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
5/20 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
5/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/20 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 10)
7 of the last 15 winners won last time out
2 of the last 13 Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 4/1
14 of out the last 17 winners had run in the previous 30 days
13 out of the last 17 winners were Group 1 winners
16 of the last 17 winners came from the first four in the betting
15 out of the last 17 winners had won over 1m 2f or further

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Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts

Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2021, 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995, 2016 & 2020
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 10 runnings

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 - bet365 Handicap Cl2 1m6f95y ITV

5 previous runnings
5/5 - Drawn between stalls 4-9 (inc)
5/5 - Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
3/5 - Carried 8-13 or more in weight
2/5 - Winning favourites
Trainer John & Thady Gosden has a 35% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 25% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 22% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 22% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
William Haggas trained the winner in 2020
Mark Johnston trained the winner in 2018 and 2019
John Gosden trained the winner in 2017

2.40 – bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m3f200y ITV

17/20 – Had won at least at Listed class before
17/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
17/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/20 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/20 – Placed favourites
14/20 – Had won between 1-3 times before
12/20 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/20 – Won last time out
11/20 – Had won over 1m4f before
7/20 – Trained by John Gosden
6/20 – Had raced at Haydock before
6/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/20 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
The last 9 runnings have been won by a 4 year-old
Alpinista (11/4 fav) won the race in 2021
Note: The 2007 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

3.15 – bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m3f200y ITV

Old Newton Cup Betting Trends

18/20 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
15/20 – Aged 5 or younger
15/20 – Won no more than 5 times before
14/20 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
14/20 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
14/20 – Had won at least 3 times before
13/20 – Carried 9-1 or less
12/20 – Favourites placed in the top 4
11/20 – Aged 4 years-old
10/20 – Irish or USA bred
10/20 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/20 – Raced within the last 7 days
8/20 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
8/20 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
6/20 – Had won a race at Haydock before
6/20 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/20 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/20 – Trained by Marco Botti
2/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 11.5/1

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