Sat TV Trends: 30th June 2012

Andy Newton gives you the key trends, plus trainer/jockey stats for the LIVE C4 races at Newmarket and the Northumberland Plate at Newcastle today.....

Newcastle (C4 and ATR)

 

3.20 - John Smith´s Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+) Winner £86,226 CH4 Heavy 2m19y

9/10 – Carried 8-11 or less
9/10 - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
9/10 – Finished fifth or better last time out
8/10 – Came from stall 14 or lower
8/10 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/10 – Aged 6 or younger
7/10 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
7/10 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
6/10 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
4/10 – Won by a National Hunt yard
3/10 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 6 years)
2/10 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
2/10 – Won their previous race
1/10 – Winning favourites

Newcastle Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Chris Grant is 5 from 20 with his older horses
David O'Meara is just 1 from 21 with his older horses
Kelly Harrison is only 2 from 35 riding older horses here
Jamie Spencer is just 1 from 21 riding 4+year-olds at the track
Silvestre De Sousa is only 3 from 66 riding older horses here

 

Newmarket (C4 and RUK)

 

2.00 - £150,000 Tattersalls Millions 3-Y-O Cup (CLASS 2) (3yo) Winner £81,150 CH4 Good 1m2f

Only 1 previous race

Roger Varian won the 2011 running – CAMERON HIGHLAND

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Newmarket Trainer/Jockey Stats:

John Gosden has a 21% record (20 from 97) with his 3 year-olds
Andrew Balding has a 20% record (8 from 41, +£30) with his 3 year-olds
Mick Channon is just 1 from 35 with his 3 year-olds
Clive Brittain is 0-from-33 with his 3 year-olds
William Buick is 11 from 51 (22%) riding 3 year-olds at the track
John Fahy is 3 from 7 (43%) riding 3 year-olds here
Darryll Holland is just 2 from 37 riding 3 year-olds here
Adam Kirby is only 1 from 22 riding 3 year-olds here


2.30 -
ACD Projects Supporting The Animal Health Trust Empress Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) Winner £13,043 CH4 Good 6f

10/10 – Never raced at the track before
9/10 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
9/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
7/10 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
7/10 – Came from stall 4 or lower
7/10 – Didn’t win their previous race
4/10 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 2 Queen Mary)
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

Newmarket Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Hugo Palmer is 1 from 1 with his juveniles
Richard Hannon has a +£47 level stakes profit with his 2 year-olds here
Mark Johnston is just 2 from 45 with his 2 year-olds
Frankie Dettori has a 28% record riding 2 year-olds at the track
Richard Hughes has a 28% record riding 2 year-olds at the track
Kieren Fallon is 7 from 32 (22%) riding juveniles here
Darryll Holland is just 2 from 33 riding 2 year-olds here
Tom Queally is only 4 from 51 riding 2 year-olds here

 

3.00 - Betfair Supports The Animal Health Trust Fred Archer Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) Winner £18,714 CH4 Good 1m4f

10/10 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
8/10 – Had between 0 and 2 previous runs that season
8/10 – Placed favourites
8/10 – Didn’t win their previous race
7/10 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had won over 1m4f before
7/10 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
7/10 – Aged 4 years-old
5/10 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/10 – Won by the Kremlin House stable
2/10 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

Newmarket Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Hughie Morrison has an 18% record with his older horses
John Gosden has a 17% record with his older horses
James Fanshawe is just 1 from 19 with his older horses
Frankie Dettori is 7 from 36 (19%) riding older horses at the track
Kieren Fallon is only 2 from 40 riding older horses at the track


3.35 -
John Sunley Memorial Criterion Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) Winner £31,191 CH4 Good 7f

9/10 – Won over 7f before
9/10 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
8/10 – Had at least 1 run already that season
7/10 – Aged 5 or younger
7/10 – Came from stall 3 or lower
7/10 – Finished unplaced last time out
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Richard Hannon’s LIBRANNO won the race 12 months ago

Newmarket Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Richard Fahey is just 1 from 29 (3%) with his older horses
Mickael Barzalona has a 33% record (4 from 12) riding older horses
Frankie Dettori has a 19% record when riding older horses here

 

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