Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 30th Sept 2017

The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to show four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in three competitive handicaps that include the rescheduled Ayr Gold Cup that was cancelled last weekend  - as always we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 - Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV4

15/15 – Had won one or two races before
14/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/15 – Had won over 7f or further before
14/15 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
12/15 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
11/15 - Either US or Irish bred
11/15 – Foaled in Feb or March
10/15 – Had only won over 7f before
8/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/15 – Trained by John Gosden
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner 5 times
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

2.20 – Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV4

15/15 – Finished in the top two last time out
15/15 – Had won over 6f before
14/15 – Foaled in Feb or March
14/15 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
12/15 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Had 3 or more previous runs
11/15 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
10/15 – Won last time out
10/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
8/15 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
8/15 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
6/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/15 – Winners drawn in stall 6
2/15 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
2/15 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/15 – Trained by Brian Meehan
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

2.55 - Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV

14/14 – Won over 6f previously
13/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
12/14 – Won their last race
12/14 – Had run 3 or more times previously
12/14 – Won at least twice previously
11/14 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
11/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/14 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/14 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
9/14 – Favourites placed
5/14 – Ran at Deauville last time out
4/14 – Favourites that won
3/14 – Won by an Irish-based stable
2/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
1/14 – Winners that came from stall 1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004 & 2011

3.35 - Betfred Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

15/15 – Aged 6 or younger
14/15 – Won 3 or more times in their career
12/15 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
12/15 – Carried 9-4 or less
11/15 – Won from a double-figure stall
11/15 – Finished 5th or better last time out
11/15 – Unplaced favourites
11/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
11/15 – Had 5 or more runs that season
10/15 – Rated between 90-100
10/15 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
8/15 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/15 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by John Gosden
2/15 – Won their last race
9 of the last 11 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 20/1

4.45 - British Stallion Studs EBF "Jersey Lily" Fillies´ Nursery Handicap Cl2 7f RUK

12/12 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
12/12 – Won no more than twice before
11/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Won 1-2 times before
9/12 – Carried 8-8 or more
9/12 – Unplaced favourites
9/12 – Foaled in March
8/12 – Failed to win last time out
8/12 – Had won over 7f before
7/12 – Officially rated between 75-79
5/12 – Irish bred
3/12 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by William Haggas
2/12 – Won by Godolphin

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – Watch Racing UK On BT TV Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
8/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
5/10 – Irish bred winners
4/10 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 - Trained by Tom Dascombe
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

2.40 – nationwidevechilecontracts.co.uk Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
10/10 – Had won over 5f before
9/10 – Aged 6 or younger
8/10 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
8/10 – Came from stalls 7-11 (inc)
7/10 – Had raced at Haydock before
7/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/10 – Rated between 92-96
7/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Had won between 2-4 times before
6/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/10 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/10 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.15 – 32Red Gold Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 6f ITV4

15/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
12/15 – Failed to win their last race
12/15 – Had won over 6f before
10/15 – Carried 9-1 or more
10/15 – Had 7 or more runs that season
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Rated 90-100
9/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Came from a double-figure stall
9/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/15 – Had raced at Ayr before
7/15 – Ran at either Doncaster (3), Goodwood (2) or Haydock (2) last time out
7/15 – Winning distance 1 length or less
4/15 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
1/15– Winning favourites (2 winning favs since 1980)
0/15 – Filly or mare winners
Since 1980 just five winners aged 6 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronsiea in 1930/31
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 16/1

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Note: This race is normally staged at Ayr

 

 

 

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