Sat TV Trends: 31st Mar 2012

Did you know there's only been one Lincoln Handicap winner that's carried more than 9-5 to win since 1985?


DONCASTER (C4/ATR)

 

2.05 – William Hill Spring Mile (Handicap) (CLASS 3) (4yo+) Winner £24,900 CH4 Good 1m

1 winning favourite in the last 10 years
9 of the last 10 returned a double-figure price
8 of the last 10 were won by a 4 year-old
8 of the last 10 carried 8-13 or MORE
None of the last 10 had previously won a race at Doncaster
7 of the last 10 had won over a mile before
None of the last 10 won from stalls 3-8
6 of the last 10 hailed from a double-figure stall
Only 1 of the last 10 won their previous race
8 of the last 10 finished fourth or WORSE last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/1
No winner aged older than 6 years-old in the last 10 years
Richard Fahey won the race in 2002 & 2010 – ARABIAN SPIRIT, KAY GEE BE & KYLLACHY STAR
Dandy Nicholls is only 3 from 134 with his older horses at the course – SNOW BAY
Ed Vaughan is 2 from 7 (29%) with his older horses here - REDVERS
Mark Johnston is only 3 from 56 (5%) with his older horses at the track – CROWN COUNSEL & KINGSCROFT
Tom Eaves is only 2 from 67 when riding older horses here – KIWI BAY
Dane O’Neill boasts a +£31 level stakes profit when riding here – LEVIATHAN

 

2.40 – New William Hill iPhone App Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) Winner £18,714 CH4 Good 6f

9 of the last 10 were aged 4 or OLDER
8 of the last 10 were aged between 4 and 6 years-old
2 of the last 10 went to the favourite
6 of the last 10 returned 11/1 or SHORTER in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/1
7 of the last 10 carried 9-2 or MORE
7 of the last 10 came from stall 8 or lower
8 of the last 10 had won over 6f before
8 of the last 10 DIDN’T win their last race
5 of the last 10 were unplaced last time out
None of the last 10 had won at Doncaster before
Clive Cox won the race 12 months ago with JIMMY STYLES
Mark Johnston is only 3 from 56 (5%) with his older horses at the track - BANNOCK
Clive Cox is 5 from 24 (21%) with his older horses at the track – JIMMY STYLES
Ed Vaughan is 2 from 7 (29%) with his older horses here - GOOGLETTE
Freddie Tylicki is 9 from 37 (24%) when riding 4+ year-olds here -INTERNATIONALDEBUT
Phillip Makin is just 3 from 65 when riding older horses here - GOOGLETTE
James Sullivan is just 2 from 39 (5%) when riding 4+year-olds here – BORIS GRIGORIEV

 

3.15 –William Hill Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) Winner £62,250 CH4 Good 1m

All of the last 10 winners were aged 6 years-old or younger
9 of the last 10 won from stall 6 or higher
8 of the last 10 won from stalls 6-16 inclusive
8 of the last 10 won this as their first run of the new season
7 of the last 10 carried 9-0 or less to victory
6 of the last 10 runnings were won by a 4 year-old
6 of the last 10 had won over a mile before
4 of the last 10 won their last race
3 of the last 10 were won by the market leader
0 of the last 10 winners had won a race at Doncaster before
Since 1988 only one winner aged 8 or older
Only one winner has carried more than 9-5 to win since 1985
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1
18 winners priced at double-figure odds since 1985
Jockey Jimmy Fortune has rode the winner in 2000, 2001 and 2009 - PINTURA
Trainer William Haggas won the prize in 1992, 2007 & 2010 - FURY
Trainer Dandy Nicholls is only 3 from 124 (3%) with his 4+year-olds at the track – LOWTHER & DON’T CALL ME
Trainer Chris Dwyer is 3 from 14 (21%) with his 4+year-olds at the track – MIA’S BOY
Jockey Tom Eaves is only 2 from 67 (3%) when riding 4+ year-olds at Doncaster – LIGHT FROM MARS
Jockey Dane O'Neill is 5 from 30 (17%) and +£31 when riding 4+ year-olds here – START RIGHT

3.50 – Download William Hill From The App Store Brocklesby Conditions Stakes (CLASS 4) (2yo) Winner £6,469 CH4 Good 5f

Only 1 winning favourite in the last 10 years (co-fav)
8 of the last 10 winners returned 9/1 or SHORTER in the betting
7 of the last 10 won this first time out
Of those that had a previous run (3) they all finished placed last time out
7 of the last 10 came from stall 10 or HIGHER
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/2
Bill Turner won the race in 2002, 2006, 2008 & 2011 – JUST PAST ANDOVER
Bill Turner is 2 from 8 in the last 5 years with his 2 year-olds here – JUST PAST ANDOVER
Mick Channon is only 1 from 42 (2%) with his 2 year-olds here – PERFECT WORDS
David Allen is just 1 from 31 (3%) when riding 2 years-olds here – LUCKY LODGE

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KEMPTON (C4/RUK)

2.20 –William Hill App-Download Today! Magnolia Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) Winner £18,714 CH4 Standard 1m2f

6 previous runnings
1 winning favourite in the last 6 years
All 6 winners were aged 6 or younger
John Gosden won the race in 2007 – ARTIC COSMOS
The average winning SP in the last 6 years is 5/1
4 of the last 6 returned 3/1 or SHORTER in the betting
All 6 had previously won over 1m2f
All 6 were UNPLACED last time out
John Gosden is 4 from 19 (21%) with his older horses here – ARTIC COSMOS
Derek Haydn Jones is 0 from 30 with his older horses at the track - TINSHU
Marc Halford is only 2 from 52 when riding older horses here – MR WILLIS

 

3.30 - williamhill.com Rosebery Handicap (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-105) Winner £18,675 CH4 Standard 1m3f

Only 1 winning favourite in the last 10 years
8 of the last 10 were aged 4 or 5 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 14/1
9 of the last 10 carried 8-12 or MORE
7 of the last 10 returned a double-figure price
None of the last 10 had won at Kempton before
3 of the last 10 won at Lingfield last time out
John Gosden is 4 from 19 (21%) with his older horses here - ESHTIBAAK
Mick Channon is only 3 from 53 (6%) with this 4+ year-olds at the track – FORK HANDLES
Tom McLaughlin is just 8 from 156 (5%) when riding older horses here – ROMEO MONTAGUE
Martin Harley is just 2 from 53 (4%) when riding older horse here – FORK HANDLES

 

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