Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 31st March 2018

Okay, not the best Saturday's racing on the calendar, but we've still more LIVE ITV horse racing action as the cameras head to both Haydock (NH) and Musselburgh (Flat) to take in seven races across the two venues.
So, as always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV4)

 

2.05 – Smarkets Challenger Middle Distance Chase Series Final (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 2m3f203y ITV4

Two previous runnings
Ballybolley won the 2016 & 2017 runnings
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies won the race in 2016 & 2017
Jockey Daryl Jacob rode the winner in 2016 & 2017
The last 2 winners returned 9/2 or shorter
The last two winners carried 11-5 in weight
One winning favourite
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 40% (12 from 30) record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Ian Williams has a 29% (2 from 7) record with his chasers at the track
 

2.40 – Smarkets Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final (A Handicap Hurdle) Cl2 1m7f144y ITV4

Two previous runnings
Trainer Tom George won the race in 2017
Both previous winners carried 10-4 or less in weight
Both winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Tom George has a 29% (5 from 17) record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain is just 5 from 58 (9%) with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Jennie Candlish is just 2 from 27 (7%) with his hurdlers at the track

 

3.15 – Smarkets Challenger Staying Chase Series Final (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m24y ITV4

Two previous runnings
No winning favourite yet
Both winners aged between 9-10 years-old
Both winners carried between 11-3 and 11-10
Trainer Tom George won the race in 2016
Trainer Donald McCain has a 31% (11 from 35) record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Ian Williams has a 29% (2 from 7) record with his chasers at the track
Trainer David Pipe has a 19% (6 from 32) record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Tom George is just 1 from 21 with his chasers at the track

 

MUSSELBURGH Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV4)

 

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1.50 – toteplacepot Handicap Cl3 (4yo+) 7f ITV4

One previous running
Twin Appeal (David Baron) won the race in 2017
Last year’s winner came from stall 4
Trainer Mick Easterby has a 23% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Rebecca Bastiman has a 20% record with her 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Rowan Scott is just 2 from 39 (5%) riding older horses at the track

 

2.25 – totescoop6 Borderlescott Sprint Trophy Conditions Stakes (Class 2) (3yo+) 5f ITV4

10 previous runnings
10/10 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won over 5f before
9/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
8/10 – Aged 6 or older
8/10 – Officially rated 97 or higher
7/10 – Had won 6+ times before
6/10 – Winning distance ½ length or less
6/10 – Won this after 5+ months off
5/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Came from stalls 4 or 5
5/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
4/10 – Trained by Bryan Smart
4/10 – Had won at Musselburgh before
3/10 – Ridden by Tom Eaves
2/10 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/10 – Ridden by David Allan
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Desert Law (14/1) won the race in 2017
Trainer Mick Appleby has a 30% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Fell is 2 from 5 (40%) strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Rebecca Bastiman has a 20% record with her 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Rowan Scott is just 2 from 39 (5%) riding older horses at the track

 

3.00 – totesport.com Royal Mile Handicap (Class 2) (3yo) 1m ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
Trainer Richard Fahey won the race in 2017
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
All previous winners carried between 8-0 and 8-9
All previous winners came from stalls 3-6 (inclusive)
No winning favourite yet
Trainer David Brown has a 29% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Baron has a 25% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey has a 21% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan has a 21% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston has a 20% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Tom Eaves is just 2 from 44 riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

3.35 – totepool Queen's Cup Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) 1m6f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
2 of the 3 previous winners aged 7
All previous winners returned a double-figure price
2 of the 3 previous winners carried between 8-5 and 8-12
No winning favourite
All three previous winners returned double-figure prices
Trainer Jim Goldie won the race in 2014
Carbon Dating (12/1) won the race 12 months ago

 

 

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