Sat TV Trends: 31st Oct 2015

The LIVE C4 action this Saturday comes from Ascot, Wetherby and Down Royal – as always we’ve got all the key trends for each of the live races.

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Ascot Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)

1.45 - Ascot Underwriting Novices´ Limited Handicap Chase Cl3 2m3f CH4

Just two previous runnings
Venetia William won the race 12 months ago
Paul Nicholls has a 25% record at the track with his chasers
Jamie Snowden has a 50% record with his chasers at the track
Daryl Jacob has a 29% record riding over fences at Ascot

 2.15 – Byrne Group Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f CH4

10/12 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
9/12 – Irish (4) or French (5) bred
9/12 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
7/12 –  Favourites unplaced
7/12 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
7/12 – Rated 130 or lower
7/12 – Having their first run of the new season
5/12 – Aged 8 years-old
4/12 – Won their last race
4/12 – Raced at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
3/12 – Won carrying 11-12
3/12 – Favourites
3/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
Ulck Du Lin won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Ascot

2.50 -William Hill Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m CH4

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11/11 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
11/11 – Won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles
10/11 – Yet to race at Ascot
8/11 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
8/11 – Having their first run of the season
7/11 – Unplaced in their last race
6/11 – Favourites placed
5/11 – Raced at Huntingdon (2) or Aintree (3) last time out
5/11 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
5/11 – Favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
4/11 – Won by a French bred horse
3/11 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
2/11 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/11 – Won by Paul Nicholls
2/11 -  Won by the Nicky Henderson yard
2/11 – Ridden by AP McCoy
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 6/1

3.25 – Sodexo Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m CH4

11/11 – Won a chase race over at least 2 ½m before
9/11 – Didn’t win their last race
8/11 – Raced at Ascot before (4 won)
8/11 – Won at least 3 times over fences before
8/11 – Favourites unplaced
8/11 – Won a chase race over at least 3m before
7/11 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
7/11 – Aged 8 or older
7/11 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
7/11 – Having their first run of the season
7/11 – Unplaced last time out
6/11 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
5/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/11 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/11 – Raced at Sandown last time out
2/11 – Ridden by AP McCoy
2/11 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 12/1
What A Warrior won the race 12 months ago
Houblon Des Obeaux won the race in 2013

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


2.00 –  bet365 West Yorkshire Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y CH4

13/13 – Won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
12/13 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles before
12/13 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
10/13 – Didn’t win last time out
10/13 – Favourites placed
10/13 – Officially rated 149 or higher
8/13 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
8/13 – Raced at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
6/13 – Finished unplaced in their last race
6/13 – Won at Wetherby before
4/13 – Favourites
3/13 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

2.30 – OLBG.com Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y CH4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
7/8 – Unplaced last time out
7/8 – Never raced at Wetherby
7/8 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
7/8 – Were having their first run of the season
5/8 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
5/8 – Favourites placed
4/8 – Won a NH Flat race previously
4/8 – Raced at Punchestown last time out
3/8 – Favourites
2/3 – Trained by John Quinn
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 4/1
3.05 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f CH4

12/13 – Having their first run of the season
11/13 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Won over at least 3m over fences
11/13 – Rated 151 or higher
10/13 – Aged 8 or older
9/13 – Raced at either Ayr (3), Aintree (4) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
9/13 – Favourites placed
9/13 – Won at least 4 times over fences before
8/13 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
6/13 – Raced at Wetherby before (2 won)
6/13  - Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
3/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Ridden by Paul Moloney
2/13 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/13 – Trained by Evan Williams
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005 & 2007
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 7/1

Down Royal Horse Racing Trends (ATR)

2.40 – JNwine.com Champion Chase (Grade 1) 3m CH4

11/13 – Won at least a Grade 2 Chase before
11/13 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
9/13 – Aged 8 or older
9/13 – Won over at least 3m over fences before
9/13 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
9/13 – Winning distance 2 ½ lengths or more
7/13 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/13 – Had won a Grade 1 Chase before
6/13 – Having their first run of the season (including 5 of last 6 winners)
5/13 – Favourites
5/13 – Raced at Down Royal before
4/13 – Raced at Aintree last time out
4/13 – Raced at Limerick last time out
4/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/13 – Trained by Arthur Moore
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 5/1

 

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