Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 3rd Dec 2016

Another massive Saturday of NH jumping action with the C4 cameras heading to Sandown Park and Aintree, with the Tingle Creek Chase and Becher Chase the feature contests - As always we’ve got all the big-race trends and stats for all the LIVE races.

 

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Sandown Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


1.55 - Racing Post Henry VIII Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m CH4

13/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/13 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
12/13 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 2m
12/13 – Aged 6 or younger
11/13 – Won last time out
11/13 – French (8) or Irish (3) bred
10/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Winners went onto run in that season’s Arkle Chase (1 winner)
9/13 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
8/13 – Winning distance – 2 ¾ lengths or more
6/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/13 – Winners went onto finish 1st or 2nd in that season’s Arkle Chase
2/13 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1

 

2.25 - Jumeirah Hotels And Resorts December Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f216y CH4

12/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/13 – Raced within the last month
12/13 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
11/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Aged 4,5 or 6 years-old
10/13 – Carried 10-13 or less
10/13 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
9/13 – Rated between 116-128
8/13 – Won last time out
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
7/13 – Irish bred
3/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/13 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 13/2

 

3.00 – Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m CH4

13/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Aged 9 or younger
12/14 – Had won a Grade One chase before
12/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s QM Champion Chase
11/14 – Officially rated 165 or higher
10/14 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
10/14 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
10/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/14 – French bred
10/14 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
8/14 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
8/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
8/14 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
5/14 – Went onto win the Champion Chase (Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
3/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
1/14 – Went onto win the Gold Cup (Kauto Star) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
Sire de Grugy won the race in 2013 and 2015
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 5/2

Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Cheltenham

 

3.30 – Betfair London National Handicap Chase Cl2 3m5f110y CH4

12/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Aged 7 or older
11/12 – Won between 2-6 times over fences before
11/12 – Had won (fences) over at least 3m before
10/12 – Rated 126 or higher
10/12 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
9/12 – Unplaced favourites
9/12 – Aged 8 or older
8/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/12 – Irish bred
7/12 – Carried 11-0 or more
6/12 – Had raced over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
4/12 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Towcester (2) last time out
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/12 – Trained by Tom George
1/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 13/2

 


Aintree Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


1.35 - Betfred Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f CH4

11/14 – Irish bred winners
11/14 – Carried 10-12 or less
11/14 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
11/14 – Aged 9 or older
11/14 – Officially rated between 123-138
10/14 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
10/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/14 – Had no more than 1 start that season
9/14 – Had raced at Aintree before
9/14 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/14 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
5/14 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
5/14 – Placed favourites
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Irish-trained winners
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/14 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
Highland Lodge won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 14/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 5 times since 1993

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2.10 - Betfred "Home Of Goals Galore" Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f CH4

10/12 - Carried 10-9 or more in weight
9/12 - Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/12 - Aged 6 or younger
9/12 – Rated 123 or higher
9/12 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
8/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/12 – Favourites placed
7/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
7/12 – Had won over at last 2m4f before
7/12 – Had run at Aintree before (3 had won there before)
7/12 – Won last time out
7/12 – French (4) or Irish (3) bred
6/12 - Winning favourites
2/12 - Trained by Peter Bowen
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/12 – Trained by Dan Skelton
Trainer Dan Skelton & Nicky Henderson have trained the last 4 winners between them
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1


2.40 - Betfred Lotto "£100K Cash Giveaway" Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m210y CH4

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
5/5 – Aged 8 or younger
3/5 – Winning favourites
Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 & 2014
Nicky Henderson won the race in 2011
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 5/2
Venetia Williams is just 2 from 34 (6%) with his chasers at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes is only 3 from 38 riding over fences here


3.15 - Betfred Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y CH4

10/11 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
10/11 – Aged 8 or older
9/11 – Rated 124 or more
8/11 – Irish bred
8/11 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
8/11 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Had run at Aintree before (3 over the GN style fences)
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6/11 – Returned a double-figure price
6/11 – Carried 10-12 or more
5/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites
1/11 – Won last time out
1/11 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (5th)
Bennys Mist won the race 12 months ago
9 of the last 10 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/1

 

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 20 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Darebin - I have always thought a lot of this horse but very disappointing last time. First-time blinkers today and if he can put his last run behind him - was his first for over 6 months - should have a decent chance. E/W price."
Gary Moore

29/11/16 1st 12/1

"Kassis is still nicely handicapped and should go well today back over hurdles with the trip and conditions to suit we hope for a good run."
Jamie Snowden

27/11/16 1st 5/1

"Pensax Lady won well last time out and remains in good form at home coming out of the race well. This looks a bit more competitive than the race she won but we hope that she can go close again!"
Mark Loughnane

26/11/16 2nd 7/1

"Win Lose Draw, Down to lowest handicap mark and with Ali's claim then we look to have a fair chance. Decent draw in 2 and we put the cheekpieces on for the first time. We think they will help and has a fair amount of experience of this track. Not the best-looking race and we should be open to improvement with just 7 career runs. Each-way chance."
Mick Appleby

26/11/16 1st 9/2

 

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